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Avatar 2: James Cameron has done it again

Avatar 2: James Cameron has done it again

Avatar: The Way of Water has firmly broken its way into the top 10 highest grossing global movies of all time, following in the footsteps of the record-breaking original from 2009, a positive sign for the movie-making industry.

At the worldwide box office, Avatar 2 is now up to $1.7bn, making it the biggest cinematic release of 2022. In the US, however, its $517m takings haven’t quite been enough to knock Top Gun: Maverick off the top spot — though it’s tracking to do so based on the first 24 days of the movie’s release. Whether Avatar maintains the trajectory to get past Tom Cruise & Co. will be interesting, as Top Gun 2 had a remarkably long cinema shelf-life.

The way of the sequel

As discussed in our annual summary, 2022 in 5 Charts, every one of the 10 biggest movies of last year were either franchise sequels, spin-offs, or reboots — with the highest-grossing original coming in the form of biopic Elvis. So it's no surprise that plans are already in place for Avatar 3, 4 and 5.

However, a small part of director James Cameron may have thought he might not end up making the later sequels, as The Way of Water needed to become one of the highest grossing of all time just to break even. With that milestone ticked, Cameron stated in an interview that "[the film] will easily pass our break even in the next few days, so it looks like I can’t wiggle out of this, I’m gonna have to do these other sequels". Looks like Disney has another mega-franchise on its hands.

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Prediction markets show “One Battle After Another” leads in Oscar race for Best Picture

It’s finally Oscars week — and with voting officially closed, all that’s left to do is count the ballots and wait to see who wins this Sunday night. 

This year, the acting categories have been the most interesting to watch, especially the showdown between “Marty Supreme” star Timothée Chalamet and “Sinners” actor Michael B. Jordan for Best Actor. While Chalamet was long the favorite, Jordan has caught up and overtaken him after winning the Actor Award.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But perhaps the most exciting race of all is for Best Picture. Out of the 10 nominees, the two at the top are Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After Another” and Ryan Coogler’s “Sinners,” both of which are studio releases from Warner Bros. Discovery

Which will win the top prize seems to be split among award pundits and experts. As of Monday afternoon, Gold Derby still has “One Battle After Another” as the front-runner with odds of 76.87%. AwardsWatch, AwardsRadar, and Numlock Awards are also still predicting that “One Battle After Another” will take the statue for Best Picture.

On the other side, reporters from some major trade publications like Variety’s Clayton Davis and The Hollywood Reporter’s Scott Feinberg predict that “Sinners” will take the top honor.

Odds in the prediction markets currently show that “One Battle After Another” is still ahead of “Sinners,” with the former priced in at 75% while the latter is priced at 23%.

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