Culture
People walk past poster for Ne Zha 2 in Beijing cinema
(Chen Yehua/Getty Images)

Tariff fallout has hit Hollywood, with China restricting US movie screenings

American films have already been falling out of favor at one of the world’s biggest box offices.

Millie Giles

Last week, the China Film Administration announced — in response to President Trump’s 125% tariffs on Chinese imports to the US — that it would moderately reduce” the number of American movies allowed to screen in the nation, effective immediately.

The government agency cited that tariffs would “inevitably further reduce the domestic audience’s favourability towards American films.” But, per Reuters, analysts are predicting that the retaliatory restriction is unlikely to make much difference to Hollywood’s bottom line, since US-produced movies have been underperforming at China’s box office for some time now.

Hollywood ending?

Even as the global box office saw strong summers in 2023 and 2024 (though, before “A Minecraft Movie,” US ticket sales had stalled so far this year), American franchises have slumped at the Chinese box office in recent years. As outlined by CNBC, nine US-produced movies surpassed a $100 million gross in China in 2019 alone; only eight American films reached the same threshold in the five years that followed.

Data from Box Office Mojo tells a similar tale for the performance of popular Hollywood franchises in Chinese theaters — even those that were wildly successful in the States. For example, “Moana 2” was one of the biggest hits in the US last year, bringing in $460 million domestically and over $1 billion worldwide. But, in China, the Disney darling accrued a paltry $15 million, down from the still-slight $33 million generated by the first movie in 2016.

China box office chart
Sherwood News

Follow-up installments from franchises that were originally big successes in China are also seeing box office takings dwindle. For example, the first “Venom” movie brought in an impressive $269 million in the country back in 2018, but its 2024 follow-up brought in just 6% of that total, and surprise international hits like last year’s “Kung Fu Panda 4” reported much smaller takings in China than previous releases managed.

Home movies

At the same time, China’s domestic film industry is flourishing. Per CNBC, Chinese animation “Ne Zha 2,” which was released domestically in January, is now the only movie in history to make $1 billion from a single market and the only non-Hollywood movie to hit $2 billion at the global box office. In fact, according to a Bloomberg newsletter published last summer, 80% of China’s box office is now generated by Chinese movies.

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Saleah Blancaflor

Drake whiffs on an expected No. 1 on Spotify

Drake started at the bottom and he’s here, but not quite at the top... of Spotify, at least.

It’s been nearly three weeks since Drake dropped his three surprise albums — “Iceman,” “Habibti,” and “Maid of Honour.” Heading into the month, prediction markets were rating it a near certainty, a 98% chance, that Drake’s sonic onslaught was enough to snag the No. 1 slot on Spotify at least once in June.

But, while he surpassed the late Michael Jackson and took up three slots on the Billboard album chart at once, his newly released songs haven’t quite cracked the popular music-streaming platform’s top charts, and market seem to think the moment has passed.

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(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

Spotify’s “Top Songs - Global” chart currently show that Jackson’s “Billie Jean,” which is more than four decades old, Justin Bieber’s “Beauty and a Beat,” which climbed back to the top of Spotify charts following his Coachella set in the spring, Olivia Rodrigo’s new angsty love song “The Cure,” and BTS’s “Swim” are all ahead of Drake’s “STFU Janice” from his “Iceman” album.

While Spotify previously reported last month that Drake’s “Make Them Cry” was the most streamed album in a single day this year, that was later revealed to be a data error.

Prediction markets currently show traders are betting there’s only a 15% chance Drake will have a No. 1 song on Spotify in June.

Meanwhile, Taylor Swift is in the lead at 98% — a day before the release of her new original song “I Knew It, I Knew You,” which she wrote and performed for Disney and Pixar’s upcoming “Toy Story 5” — followed by Olivia Rodrigo, whose highly anticipated album “You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love” comes out next Friday.

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(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

Spotify’s “Top Songs - Global” chart currently show that Jackson’s “Billie Jean,” which is more than four decades old, Justin Bieber’s “Beauty and a Beat,” which climbed back to the top of Spotify charts following his Coachella set in the spring, Olivia Rodrigo’s new angsty love song “The Cure,” and BTS’s “Swim” are all ahead of Drake’s “STFU Janice” from his “Iceman” album.

While Spotify previously reported last month that Drake’s “Make Them Cry” was the most streamed album in a single day this year, that was later revealed to be a data error.

Prediction markets currently show traders are betting there’s only a 15% chance Drake will have a No. 1 song on Spotify in June.

Meanwhile, Taylor Swift is in the lead at 98% — a day before the release of her new original song “I Knew It, I Knew You,” which she wrote and performed for Disney and Pixar’s upcoming “Toy Story 5” — followed by Olivia Rodrigo, whose highly anticipated album “You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love” comes out next Friday.

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Saleah Blancaflor

Will critics and audiences go out of this world for Steven Spielberg’s “Disclosure Day”?

Legendary director Steven Spielberg is back with his first film in four years.

While 2022s Oscar-nominated The Fabelmans was a semi-autobiographical film, it looks like hes back to his sci-fi roots with the upcoming release of Universal Pictures Disclosure Day.

The movie stars Emily Blunt, Josh O’Connor, Colin Firth, Eve Hewson, and Colman Domingo, and follows a cybersecurity whistleblower (O’Connor) and meteorologist (Blunt) who work together to uncover government secrets and expose the truth about extraterrestrial life.

Some first reactions out of early screenings shared on social media have been praising the film so far. Germain Lussier, a senior entertainment reporter at Gizmodo, posted on X that the movie is Spielberg’s “best film in 20 years,” while many have praised Blunt’s performance as one of her best. Others have said it is reminiscent of the filmmaker’s other sci-fi classics like “Close Encounters of the Third Kind” and “E.T. the Extra-Terrestrial.”

To be considered “fresh,” movies have to receive at least 60% on Rotten Tomatoes. While the global embargo for formal reviews doesn’t lift until Tuesday, June 9, at 12 p.m. ET following more advance screenings in Los Angeles, New York, and other cities ahead of the June 12 release date, traders on prediction markets are currently betting there is a 68% chance that the movie will score above 85% on the site.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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The movie stars Emily Blunt, Josh O’Connor, Colin Firth, Eve Hewson, and Colman Domingo, and follows a cybersecurity whistleblower (O’Connor) and meteorologist (Blunt) who work together to uncover government secrets and expose the truth about extraterrestrial life.

Some first reactions out of early screenings shared on social media have been praising the film so far. Germain Lussier, a senior entertainment reporter at Gizmodo, posted on X that the movie is Spielberg’s “best film in 20 years,” while many have praised Blunt’s performance as one of her best. Others have said it is reminiscent of the filmmaker’s other sci-fi classics like “Close Encounters of the Third Kind” and “E.T. the Extra-Terrestrial.”

To be considered “fresh,” movies have to receive at least 60% on Rotten Tomatoes. While the global embargo for formal reviews doesn’t lift until Tuesday, June 9, at 12 p.m. ET following more advance screenings in Los Angeles, New York, and other cities ahead of the June 12 release date, traders on prediction markets are currently betting there is a 68% chance that the movie will score above 85% on the site.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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