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American Eagle tumbles after BofA says Sydney Sweeney boost won’t beat tariffs

Analysts say the buzzy mall retailer’s pricing power is limited as tariffs add pressure to both AE and Aerie.

Nia Warfield

American Eagle shares slid as much as 4% Monday after Bank of America downgraded the stock to “underperform” (sell) from “neutral” and cut its price target to $10 from $11 — or about 22% below Friday’s close.

The downgrade comes despite a buzzy campaign with actress Sydney Sweeney that helped drive AE shares up 18% in August. Analysts said the splash may have supported near-term sales momentum, but doubted it would be enough to spark a long-term turnaround.

The bigger issue: tariffs. Analysts warned that AE and Aerie have limited pricing power, making it hard to offset new costs. Management has already said tariffs would cut fiscal 2025 gross profit by roughly $40 million, or 150 basis points, even after mitigation. Bank of America estimates that an additional 20% tariff on goods from the rest of the world would pile on another 20 to 70 basis points of margin pressure over the next two years.

Competition is also heating up: rival Gap recently launched its “Better in Denim” campaign with girl group Katseye, which the retailer says has become its most viral ad ever, resonating strongly with younger shoppers who value diversity and inclusion.

American Eagle is down 27% year to date, with the company poised to report earnings next week.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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