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Critical Metals is now worth more than $3 billion. It had only four full-time employees at the end of June

The rare earth trade has been heating up, even in tiny stocks with very few employees.

Since President Trump’s interest in the sector kicked off a flurry of buying activity, the hottest trade on Wall Street has been in rare earth stocks.

Names like Critical Metals, MP Materials, USA Rare Earth, and United States Antimony Corp. have soared as investors wager that the US government’s involvement in the sector — which has included directly buying stakes in some companies, providing financing for others, and greenlighting a growing number of projects — will continue. With China recently stepping up restrictions on exporting rare earth metals, those bets have turned out to be well made.

Critical Metals Corp., which engages in the mining, exploration, and development of lithium metals via its Wolfsberg and Tanbreez projects, has been one of the biggest beneficiaries. From a market cap in early May that was below $150 million, the company’s stock has soared, turning it into a more than $3 billion entity as of yesterday’s close. That’s more than what embattled fitness equipment maker Peloton is worth.

In early October, CRML, which has a 92% stake in Greenland’s biggest rare earths mining project, leaped after rumors swirled that the US government was looking at taking a stake in the company. Sources later cited by Bloomberg denied that such a deal was being considered — but that hasn’t stopped the stock from taking off.

A good example of just how far investors are willing to bet on the future, CRML reported revenue — technically “other income,” which was from European Union grants or interest on cash sat on deposit — of just ~$560,000 (a typical McDonald’s restaurant does about 7x as much in a year) in its most recent fiscal year, ended June 30, 2025. Most striking of all, however, is its employee base [emphasis our own]:

“As of June 30, 2025, we had 4 full-time employees with a significant number of personnel engaged on a contractor basis. We believe we have good relations with our employees.”

That is, obviously, an astonishingly low headcount for a billion-dollar company. But what’s more astonishing is that it doesn’t seem to preclude a major deal from happening: Trilogy Metals, which has surged alongside CRML and the rest of the rare earth winners, secured a $35.6 million strategic investment by the US federal government on October 6. Trilogy Metals reported just five full-time employees in its most recent filings.

As my colleague Luke Kawa astutely observed at the end of September: why follow the Fed when you can follow the feds?

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Hedge funds are following retail traders into the Magnificent 7

Hedge funds are following retail traders into the stocks the masses never stopped buying.

“As we kick off earnings for megacap tech stocks, this stood out: [hedge funds] have started buying Mag7 stocks again this month though positioning remains well below the peak levels seen in early 2016,” writes Goldman Sachs’ Cullen Morgan.

Goldman PB Mag 7
Source: Goldman Sachs

In early April, JPMorgan strategist Arun Jain noted that retail investors had basically been selling everything but the Magnificent 7 stocks as part of a more cautious stance due to the Iran war.

(Apple has been a longstanding exception to this trend, presumably because retail traders aren't fond of its hands-off approach to AI.)

JPM Retail flows

Last August, Jain discussed how retail activity tended to “crowd in” institutional buyers in meme stocks, while Goldman’s John Marshall advised clients to piggyback on stocks beloved by retail traders. Speculative, retail-geared assets proceeded to go on a tremendous run that soured in October.

But there are some early indications that a similar bout of speculative fervor is bubbling up once more.

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POET Technologies surges above $10 for first time in 4 years amid explosion in call volumes

POET Technologies is up nearly 40% this week as options market activity goes haywire in a faint echo of what got the stock on retail traders’ radars in October.

As of 11:12 a.m. ET, more than 10 calls have changed hands for every put traded. This bullish impulse has propelled the stock above the $10 threshold for the first time since March 2022.

Shares of the optical communications firm briefly dipped last week after Wolfpack Research said it was short the company because its investors would be exposed to an “IRS tax nightmare.”

The company responded that day saying it was taking measures for US shareholders that “should mitigate certain potential adverse US federal income tax consequences to it that could otherwise result from the Company’s status as a passive foreign investment company.”

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GE Aerospace falls after leaving earnings guidance unchanged

Jet engine maker GE Aerospace slid in early trading Tuesday, as its better-than-expected Q1 results were overshadowed by uninspiring guidance.

It reported:

  • Q1 adjusted revenue of $11.61 billion vs. the $10.71 billion consensus expectation.

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $1.86 vs. the $1.60 consensus estimate.

But management left full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance where it was at between $7.10 and $7.40, compared to a consensus expectation of $7.49 from analysts.

“Were holding our full-year guidance across the board, given the macro uncertainty, though, with our strong start to the year, we are trending toward the high end of that range,” CEO Larry Culp said on the conference call.

GE Aerospace hit an air pocket in March as the start of the US war against Iran sent energy prices soaring and hurt expectations for the profitability of commercial carriers. A rally in April had pushed the stock close to positive territory for the year, but it’s solidly in the red after the results today.

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Trump says he doesn’t like potential United-American merger but would “love somebody to buy Spirit”

President Trump on Tuesday told CNBC that he doesn’t like the idea of a United Airlines-American Airlines merger, but would “love somebody to buy Spirit.”

“Maybe the federal government should help that one,” Trump said on Tuesday, referring to Spirit’s attempts to emerge from bankruptcy.

Trump’s thoughts on United-American are an update from last week, when White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said the potential megamerger was “not something the president or the White House have an ​opinion on or are weighing in on.”

American and United shares dipped following Trump’s comments, as did Spirit rival Frontier Airlines.

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