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Musk Elon Proxy vote on compensation
And now, we wait. (Getty Images)

Retail traders will decide whether Elon Musk is worth another $50B. Here's what they're saying.

Tesla is way, way more exposed to the will of retail investors than almost any other stock.

Arron Yohe-Mellor can admit it. He was a Tesla fanboy.

“I was on board. I was like, ‘Full self-driving? That sounds awesome.’ You know? Robotaxis?” the 43-year-old Los Angeles resident said. “And that’s originally why I bought the stock.”

But last Wednesday, he punched in an order to sell his 21 shares of Tesla, just after voting no on the reinstatement of Elon Musk’s roughly $50 billion compensation package that Delaware courts had struck down.

“Everything that they wanted, I went against, kind of just to stick it to them,” he said. “Fifty billion, that's bigger than the market cap of all of Ford. Is he worth giving all of Ford Motor Company to, for what he's done with Tesla?”

Perhaps no CEO has as direct — and increasingly fraught — a relationship with a retail shareholder base as the head of Tesla. Roughly 40% of the company’s shares are in the hands of retail investors, putting it among the top 3% of S&P 500 stocks for individual ownership.

Many of those shareholders were first drawn to Tesla by the outsized charisma of Musk, and his promises to turn a sci-fi vision of the future into today’s reality.

For years, the company made many of these people remarkably wealthy. Under Musk’s leadership, Tesla shares soared. Between the end of 2010 — the year the stock went public — and the stock’s peak in January 2022, Tesla shares rose more than 20,000%, as the companies valuation went from just over $2 billion to more than $1.2 trillion. The rise, at certain times, made Musk the wealthiest man in the world.

Since then, however, the stock has plunged by more than 50%, drastically underperforming the broader market and incinerating more than $500 billion of paper gains. Many shareholders have attributed the poor performance to the huge range of business interests that demand his attention, from his purchase of Twitter in 2022, to his space exploration company SpaceX, to his satellite internet firm Starlink, and most recently his AI-startup, xAI.

On top of those responsibilities, a string of stories about Musk’s behavior have emerged in recent years. The Wall Street Journal reported that leaders at SpaceX and Tesla have grown concerned about Musk’s drug use, which WSJ reported included LSD, cocaine, ecstasy, and psychedelic mushrooms. Separately, on Wednesday the WSJ reported on what it called “boundary-blurring relationships” with women at SpaceX.

Amid all that, stock holders are being asked for a second time to approve the largest CEO compensation package in history for Mr. Musk. This follows a Delaware judge’s decision on a shareholder lawsuit which rescinded the pay package, arguing that Musk effectively controlled the board of directors, and by extension his own compensation.

Pritam Basu, a Tesla shareholder living in London, voted to re-instate the package. He’s been a shareholder since late 2019, just before the stock exploded higher, though he stresses that he’s a long-term believer in the company.

I think he's one of the main people driving Tesla forward, like his vision and his ability to get people to do things,” said Basu, the founder of a financial technology company. “Other people have said that kind of makes you believe or pushes you to kind of do these things. So so I think he's a huge factor for the success of Tesla.”

Likewise, John Buckoke, of Nottingham, England is a big believer in Musk.

“For me it's about honesty,” said Buckoke, who works in the electric vehicle charging infrastructure industry. “It's about a deal that the non-execs didn't object to, the company supported, the shareholders voted for at the time. So a judge has come and struck it down for a very kind of, almost a technicality, but also a little bit political.”

Where the vote — which is set to be counted on Thursday at the companies annual shareholders meeting — will eventually end up is unclear.

In recent days, some analysts have suggested they don’t think the compensation provisions will pass, potentially posing a risk of a short-term sell-off for the stock. Others, such as Wedbush tech analyst Dan Ives seem to think re-approval is all but a slam dunk.

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Ford raises its full-year guidance, receives $1.3 billion tariff refund

Ford reported its first-quarter results after markets closed on Wednesday. The automaker’s shares climbed roughly 7% in after-hours trading on the news.

For Q1, Ford reported:

  • Adjusted earnings of $0.66 per share, compared to the $0.18 per share expected by Wall Street analysts polled by FactSet. The figure includes Ford’s tariff reimbursement.

  • $43.25 in total revenue, vs. the $42.66 billion consensus forecast. Automotive revenue came in at $39.8 billion, compared to estimates of $38.9 billion.

  • A $1.3 billion tariff refund.

Ford boosted its full-year guidance for adjusted earnings before interest and taxes to between $8.5 billion and $10.5 billion, up from between $8 billion and $10 billion.

Late last year, Ford announced it would take $19.5 billion in charges — one of the largest write-downs ever — relating mostly to its EV business. Of those charges, $7 billion will be spread across this year and next, the company said.

Earlier this month, Ford recorded an 8.8% drop in Q1 sales from the same period last year, a similar result to Detroit rival GM, which posted a 9.7% sales drop.

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Microsoft beats on revenue and earnings in Q3, but only meets expectations for cloud growth

Microsoft shares dipped after the company reported strong Q3 earnings postmarket Wednesday, posting ​​sales of $82.9 billion for the quarter, beating FactSet analyst estimates of $81.4 billion. Earnings per share were $4.27, handily beating estimates of $4.05. 

In a closely watched number, Microsoft’s Azure cloud business increased 40% year on year, just above the 39.7% estimated. The metric technically beat expectations, but may not be the beat investors were looking for.

Total capital expenditure for the quarter was $31.9 billion, up 49% year on year, above estimates of $27.5 billion and down from Q2’s $37.5 billion.

One thing investors were eager to find out: how is the company doing in its effort to fulfill the billions in backlogged commercial bookings? Last quarter, the company reported a staggering $625 billion in remaining performance obligations, and 45% of that was for just one customer — OpenAI.

For the third quarter, Microsoft reported a backlog of $627 billion, up 99% year on year. The company said the RPO increase was 26% — in line with “historical seasonality” — when excluding OpenAI.

Breaking down the results by the company’s business lines:

  • ☁️ 🤖 Intelligent Cloud (Azure, server products): $34.7 billion in revenue, up 30% year on year.

  • 📝 📊 Productivity and Business Processes (Microsoft 365, LinkedIn, Dynamics): $35 billion in revenue, up 17% year on year.

  • 💻 🎮 More Personal Computing (Windows, Xbox, Bing): $13.2 billion in revenue, down 1% year on year.

Microsoft CFO Amy Hood said in the earnings release:

“We delivered results that exceeded expectations across revenue, operating income, and earnings per share, reflecting strong execution and growing demand for the Microsoft Cloud.”

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