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Great Expectations

A startup with 10 employees is now worth $5 billion

That’s more than what Macy’s is worth

A million dollars isn't cool, you know what's cool?
A billion dollars.

That’s what a young Justin Timberlake told his castmates in a scene from The Social Network — the 2010 film about the rise of Facebook.

Back then, as Silicon Valley was entering its golden era, startups seeking to change the world were doing really well if they were valued at a few million dollars. Any mention of the “B” word was typically reserved for companies making serious waves, with a billion-dollar valuation typically taking years and a revenue (or user) chart that looked like a hockey stick.

Zero to one (billion of cash)

Things have obviously changed a lot since the early 2000s. But few things in the startup world in the intervening years have been quite as remarkable as the news that Safe Superintelligence (SSI), a startup co-founded by OpenAI's former chief scientist Ilya Sutskever, has raised $1 billion in a round of investment that values the company at $5 billion, according to an exclusive report from Reuters. The company has 10 employees.

That valuation is more than what iconic department store Macy’s ($4.2 billion) is worth. It’s more than triple what pizza giant Papa John’s International is worth.

SSI valuation $5 billion
Sherwood News

The wave of AI hype that took Nvidia to a $3 trillion market cap is filtering all the way through the economy, and venture capitalists with deep pockets are willing to take bets that, even just 5 or 6 years ago, would have seemed ludicrous. Clearly, SSI is a special case and the expertise that someone like Ilya Sutskever brings is substantial, but with that kind of deal it is no wonder that nearly all of Silicon Valley’s ambitious founders say they’re working on AI in some shape or form.

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Paramount Skydance reportedly preparing an Ellison-backed Warner Bros. Discovery takeover bid, sending shares soaring

Paramount Skydance is preparing a majority-cash bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, The Wall Street Journal reported, sending shares of both companies surging. The Journal’s sources say the deal is backed by the Ellison family, led by David Ellison.

WBD shares were up 30% on the report, while Paramount Skydance jumped 8%.

The offer would cover WBD’s entire business — cable networks, movie studios, the whole enchilada. That comes after WBD announced plans last year to split into two divisions: one for streaming & studios, the other for its traditional cable/TV assets. A recent Wells Fargo note gave WBD a price target hike, primarily because the analysts viewed it as a prime takeover candidate.

If the deal goes through, it would bring together HBO, CNN, DC Studios, and Warner Bros.’ film library with Paramount+, Nickelodeon, and MTV, all under one umbrella.

The offer would cover WBD’s entire business — cable networks, movie studios, the whole enchilada. That comes after WBD announced plans last year to split into two divisions: one for streaming & studios, the other for its traditional cable/TV assets. A recent Wells Fargo note gave WBD a price target hike, primarily because the analysts viewed it as a prime takeover candidate.

If the deal goes through, it would bring together HBO, CNN, DC Studios, and Warner Bros.’ film library with Paramount+, Nickelodeon, and MTV, all under one umbrella.

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Fox and News Corp slide as investors digest $3.3 billion Murdoch succession settlement

Fox and News Corp shares dropped on Tuesday after Rupert Murdoch’s heirs agreed to a $3.3 billion settlement to resolve a long-running succession drama.

Under the deal, Prudence, Elisabeth, and James Murdoch will each receive about $1.1 billion, paid for in part by Fox selling 16.9 million Class B voting shares and News Corp selling 14.2 million shares. The stock sales will raise roughly $1.37 billion on behalf of the three heirs.

The new trust for Lachlan Murdoch will now control about 36.2% of Fox’s Class B shares and roughly 33.1% of News Corp’s stock, granting him uncontested voting authority over both companies for the next 25 years. Originally, the Murdoch trust was designed to hand over voting control of Fox and News Corp to Prudence, Elisabeth, Lachlan, and James after his death.

Investors are weighing the trade-off. Clear leadership under Lachlan may resolve conflict internally, but the share dilution, executed at a roughly 4.5% discount, means long-term investors now hold slightly less clout than before.

Both companies’ stocks were trading close to all-time highs prior to the announcement.

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