More US teens are using AI for studying. Not all of them feel great about it.
Energy drink sales are soaring — but Red Bull’s still fly the highest
Block soars after announcing 40% workforce cut amid AI push
The final voting period has kicked off for the 98th Academy Awards. Up until last weekend, many of the main categories seemed like a lock. While “Hamnet” star Jessie Buckley has been the predicted frontrunner for the best actress statuette for some time now, the best actor and supporting actor and actress races have been upended following the BAFTA Awards.
(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)
While Timothée Chamalet still remains the frontrunner for the best actor prize, his odds have slightly gone down after losing the BAFTA Award, while the wins of Wunmi Mosaku and Sean Penn in the supporting categories have made it a more exciting race. Here’s a roundup of what some experts and awards pundits have said this week:
While Gold Derby still has Chalamet as the frontrunner for the Actor Award (and the Oscar), his odds have gone down slightly following the BAFTA Award loss. Surprisingly, the publication has “Weapons” star Amy Madigan as the frontrunner to win the Actor Award for supporting actress, while they have Penn as the frontrunner getting the Actor Award for supporting actor.
Numlock Awards reports that the BAFTA Awards reshaped the Oscar race with Chalamet’s loss throwing the best actor race “into chaos” following "I Swear" star Robert Aramayo’s win (he was not eligible to be nominated for an Oscar).
Meanwhile, Variety’s Clayton Davis reports that the Oscar race has officially become “fractured, unpredictable and thrilling” following the BAFTA Awards. However, he predicts that “Sinners” star Michael B. Jordan will win the Actor Award this weekend and has heard rumblings that “Blue Moon” star Ethan Hawke could pull a last-minute victory.
However, IndieWire’s Anne Thompson claims that Chalamet is “good to go” for the Actor Awards and the Oscar and says the supporting actress and actor categories are the ones to keep an eye on.
Deadline’s Pete Hammond believes that Chalamet’s BAFTA loss doesn't necessarily impact the Actor Awards — Aramayo isn’t nominated for an Oscar and the BAFTA Awards tend to favor homegrown actors. He agreed with many of the other pundits in that Mosaku and Penn’s wins add more suspense.
AwardsRadar’s Joey Magidson points out that no one has ever won two Actor Awards in a row, which could open Chalamet up to an upset win from Hawke.
Meanwhile, AwardsWatch’s Erik Anderson has Chalamet as a lock for the Actor Award, though he lists Jordan as the follow-up should there be a surprise win in that category.
The Actor Awards are on Sunday and whoever wins that evening could lock in the fate of the actors in the lead and supporting Oscar categories.
Shares of retail favorite Rocket Lab plunged Friday after the company pushed back plans for the first launch of its bigger Neutron rocket to the fourth quarter of 2026.
Neutron was originally set launch in late 2025. That plan was scrapped in November, with the new target date set broadly for the middle of 2026.
As CEO Peter Beck laid out for Sherwood in an interview, Neutron is the cornerstone of the money-losing company’s plans to leap to profitability, as it will enable Rocket Lab to enter the market for larger, and more lucrative, payload launches. That market is currently dominated by Elon Musk’s SpaceX.
In January, one of Neutron’s fuel tanks ruptured during a test, necessitating construction of another, as well as some design changes. During the company’s post earnings conference call last night, Beck told analysts Neutron’s first launch is now expected during the fourth quarter of 2026.
“Neutron is still scheduled to come to market in an incredibly aggressive timeframe,” Beck said.
Judging by the stumble for the shares, which by around 1:30 p.m. ET were on track for their worst drop since last fall, investors are not buoyed by those assurances.
As CEO Peter Beck laid out for Sherwood in an interview, Neutron is the cornerstone of the money-losing company’s plans to leap to profitability, as it will enable Rocket Lab to enter the market for larger, and more lucrative, payload launches. That market is currently dominated by Elon Musk’s SpaceX.
In January, one of Neutron’s fuel tanks ruptured during a test, necessitating construction of another, as well as some design changes. During the company’s post earnings conference call last night, Beck told analysts Neutron’s first launch is now expected during the fourth quarter of 2026.
“Neutron is still scheduled to come to market in an incredibly aggressive timeframe,” Beck said.
Judging by the stumble for the shares, which by around 1:30 p.m. ET were on track for their worst drop since last fall, investors are not buoyed by those assurances.
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said the company is working with the Pentagon to negotiate safety guardrails for AI models used in the battlefield, which comes as one of its top competitors, Anthropic, is at a standoff with the government.
According to a memo obtained by several media outlets, Altman told staff OpenAI believes “that AI should not be used for mass surveillance or autonomous lethal weapons, and that humans should remain in the loop for high-stakes automated decisions. These are our main red lines.”
Anthropic, the company behind the AI chatbot Claude, was one of several firms that received a $200 million contract from the Department of Defense for “agentic workflows.”
Since then, tensions between Anthropic and the Pentagon have reportedly risen as the startup insists on surveillance restrictions. The government’s attack on Venezuela last month that led to the capture of President Nicolás Maduro reportedly involved the use of Anthropic’s Claude AI models for planning, which caused the startup to push back on the alleged violation of its terms of use.
Anthropic has until 5:01 p.m. ET on Friday to reach a deal with the Pentagon, which has threatened consequences against the company if it doesn’t allow the government unrestricted use.
Altman’s comments come as the Financial Times reports that executives at Amazon, Google, and Microsoft are being pushed by workers to support Anthropic in its dispute with the Pentagon and adopt similar guardrails as the Claude company in any work they undertake with the US military.
According to a memo obtained by several media outlets, Altman told staff OpenAI believes “that AI should not be used for mass surveillance or autonomous lethal weapons, and that humans should remain in the loop for high-stakes automated decisions. These are our main red lines.”
Anthropic, the company behind the AI chatbot Claude, was one of several firms that received a $200 million contract from the Department of Defense for “agentic workflows.”
Since then, tensions between Anthropic and the Pentagon have reportedly risen as the startup insists on surveillance restrictions. The government’s attack on Venezuela last month that led to the capture of President Nicolás Maduro reportedly involved the use of Anthropic’s Claude AI models for planning, which caused the startup to push back on the alleged violation of its terms of use.
Anthropic has until 5:01 p.m. ET on Friday to reach a deal with the Pentagon, which has threatened consequences against the company if it doesn’t allow the government unrestricted use.
Altman’s comments come as the Financial Times reports that executives at Amazon, Google, and Microsoft are being pushed by workers to support Anthropic in its dispute with the Pentagon and adopt similar guardrails as the Claude company in any work they undertake with the US military.
The fast food giant’s biggest-ever burger has a premium price tag in a value-driven time. Can it deliver a big bump in sales or will it be a repeat of McDonald’s most famous flop?
The market clearly loves it. Jack Dorsey’s decision to axe some 4,000 workers has kicked off what is on track to be Block’s best day in the stock market in over three years.
The takeaways from analysts who have followed the stock — down about 80% from its August 2021 peak — are a bit more nuanced:
Evercore ISI: “Mgmt is explicitly redesigning Block as an ‘AI-native’ organization — embedding automation and efficiency tools across product development, underwriting, operations, and customer interfaces. The financial implications are significant: FY26 Adjusted Operating Income guidance of $3.2B (26% margin) sits materially above mgmt’s prior expectations at the Investor Day just a few months ago, signaling confidence that AI-driven efficiencies can expand margins structurally while sustaining or potentially accelerating product velocity.”
Morgan Stanley: “Cutting 40% of employees (to ~6,000 from ~10,000) encapsulates XYZ’s undertaking that it is now prepared to replace human labor with compute power. We certainly view it as an audacious move by the management, but one that is not without preparation... The reduced headcount should now drive a marked improvement in the gross profit/employee metric, which we expect will justify expanded valuation premium.”
Piper Sandler: “Dorsey characterized the move as a proactive step to make way for AI related productivity gains. The cost saves from lower headcount drive a $500M increase in Block’s Adjusted EBIT guidance for 2026 — now $3.2B vs. $2.7B at investor day just 3 months ago. Bottom line, while the right sizing from XYZ is being well received by investors and should boost short-term profitability, it seems like an extreme step, and we remain skeptical of XYZ’s longer term growth profile.”
Citi: “Several times during the Q&A, the sell side probed management’s comfort with carrying out the major headcount reduction in parallel with more extensive and more effective GenAI use over a roughly two quarter timespan. On the one hand, Block seemed confident in the organization’s ability to adapt and rise to the challenge, but on the other hand, we are aware that a 40% reduction in heads should generate many empty seats. While we believe it more likely for XYZ to succeed here, we think that more reassurance can surface should XYZ continue to do as they plan.”
RBC Capital: “The main question from investors thus far — is this just legacy bloat or real AI enhancements — only time will tell, but it feels like a combination of both... While AI efficiencies no doubt played a key role in a reduction in force of this magnitude, we also believe XYZ was moving in a direction to materially shrink the organization.”
Evercore ISI: “Mgmt is explicitly redesigning Block as an ‘AI-native’ organization — embedding automation and efficiency tools across product development, underwriting, operations, and customer interfaces. The financial implications are significant: FY26 Adjusted Operating Income guidance of $3.2B (26% margin) sits materially above mgmt’s prior expectations at the Investor Day just a few months ago, signaling confidence that AI-driven efficiencies can expand margins structurally while sustaining or potentially accelerating product velocity.”
Morgan Stanley: “Cutting 40% of employees (to ~6,000 from ~10,000) encapsulates XYZ’s undertaking that it is now prepared to replace human labor with compute power. We certainly view it as an audacious move by the management, but one that is not without preparation... The reduced headcount should now drive a marked improvement in the gross profit/employee metric, which we expect will justify expanded valuation premium.”
Piper Sandler: “Dorsey characterized the move as a proactive step to make way for AI related productivity gains. The cost saves from lower headcount drive a $500M increase in Block’s Adjusted EBIT guidance for 2026 — now $3.2B vs. $2.7B at investor day just 3 months ago. Bottom line, while the right sizing from XYZ is being well received by investors and should boost short-term profitability, it seems like an extreme step, and we remain skeptical of XYZ’s longer term growth profile.”
Citi: “Several times during the Q&A, the sell side probed management’s comfort with carrying out the major headcount reduction in parallel with more extensive and more effective GenAI use over a roughly two quarter timespan. On the one hand, Block seemed confident in the organization’s ability to adapt and rise to the challenge, but on the other hand, we are aware that a 40% reduction in heads should generate many empty seats. While we believe it more likely for XYZ to succeed here, we think that more reassurance can surface should XYZ continue to do as they plan.”
RBC Capital: “The main question from investors thus far — is this just legacy bloat or real AI enhancements — only time will tell, but it feels like a combination of both... While AI efficiencies no doubt played a key role in a reduction in force of this magnitude, we also believe XYZ was moving in a direction to materially shrink the organization.”
The upstarts participating in the disruptive industry of today as well as the speculative trades that mark the industries of the future are getting crushed on Friday.
It’s a sign of the creeping investor revolt against the capex binge.
The poster child for the move is CoreWeave, which is sinking after reporting Q4 capex figures that were larger than expected along with a 2026 investment budget that also surprised to the upside.
Neoclouds and data center companies like Nebius, IREN, Applied Digital, and Cipher Mining are also getting whacked. So too are the quantum computing companies: IonQ, D-Wave Quantum, Rigetti Computing, and Infleqtion.
What’s the common link between these two things?
Well, as we’ve discussed, speculative stocks tend to have common owners and trade in a relatively correlated fashion. And once again, this simultaneous swoon is coinciding with a perceived escalation in AI credit risk.
These smaller AI companies that have effectively bet their existence on this boom and the willingness of capital markets to fund their expansion plans would have the most to lose if either demand or access to credit shrinks. And, of course, the latter would impact other companies in nascent industries that need capital to grow.
The private credit industry, which has been broadly overweight software companies in their lending activities, is coming under severe pressure as those firms face competition from AI tools.
Block’s job cuts, regardless of any previous mismanagement CEO Jack Dorsey is willing to cop to, will do little to allay fears that software executives may take dramatic actions to grapple with the impacts of this emergent technology.
Meanwhile, the source of that disruption — AI — is also continuing to suck in a lot of capital without much in the way of returns. It feels like the credit market simultaneously doesn’t want to fund software because of the AI disruption threat and doesn’t want to fund upstart AI firms because of the lack of visibility into free cash flow generation. Not great, Bob!
Oracle, the large-cap stock most used as a barometer for AI credit risk, enjoyed a sharp improvement in its perceived creditworthiness after management said on February 1 that about half their funding needs this year would come from equity, rather than fully from debt. Now, its five-year credit default swap spreads are poised to close at their widest level since 2009.
Netflix opened sharply higher Friday, after it withdrew from the takeover battle for Warner Bros. Discovery, ceding the ground to Paramount Skydance.
You don’t have to be much of a market sleuth to see that Wall Street never liked the idea of Netflix scooping up the assemblage of media and movie properties for a whooping $83 billion price tag.
The stock slumped both on the day Netflix submitted a bid and the day it entered into an acquisition agreement with Warner Bros.
Now, on the back of Netflix declining to raise its bid and dropping out of the race to acquire Warner Bros., the streaming platform’s shares are having their best day since the market’s bounce back from the April tariff tantrum.
Driving the gains are what HSBC analysts call its “graceful exit” from the WBD brouhaha:
“A positive turn of events in our view, as we believe NFLX’s withdrawal from the race will leave it free to refocus on its business, while its closest competitors grapple with long and distracting regulatory approval and merger integration processes, and with Paramount Skydance saddled with sizable deal debts. And one must not forget the $2.8 bllion breakup fee (around 20% of NFLX 2026 estimated EPS) that NFLX will now be owed from WBD for choosing to go with another suitor.”
You don’t have to be much of a market sleuth to see that Wall Street never liked the idea of Netflix scooping up the assemblage of media and movie properties for a whooping $83 billion price tag.
The stock slumped both on the day Netflix submitted a bid and the day it entered into an acquisition agreement with Warner Bros.
Now, on the back of Netflix declining to raise its bid and dropping out of the race to acquire Warner Bros., the streaming platform’s shares are having their best day since the market’s bounce back from the April tariff tantrum.
Driving the gains are what HSBC analysts call its “graceful exit” from the WBD brouhaha:
“A positive turn of events in our view, as we believe NFLX’s withdrawal from the race will leave it free to refocus on its business, while its closest competitors grapple with long and distracting regulatory approval and merger integration processes, and with Paramount Skydance saddled with sizable deal debts. And one must not forget the $2.8 bllion breakup fee (around 20% of NFLX 2026 estimated EPS) that NFLX will now be owed from WBD for choosing to go with another suitor.”
OpenAI has finalized a blockbuster $110 billion funding round, which values the company at $730 billion, not including the money raised.
Per the ChatGPT maker’s announcement, this investment includes $50 billion from Amazon, $30 billion from SoftBank, and $30 billion from Nvidia.
In a separate press release, OpenAI detailed the startup’s new multiyear partnership with Amazon, in which the tech giant will initially invest $15 billion then $35 billion in the coming months when “certain conditions are met,” reportedly when OpenAI goes public or achieves building “artificial general intelligence.” Beyond serving as the exclusive third-party cloud distribution provider for OpenAI Frontier, AWS is also expanding its existing $38 billion agreement with the ChatGPT maker to $100 billion over eight years, with OpenAI committing to consume ~2 gigawatts of AWS’s Trainium capacity.
In a separate press release, OpenAI detailed the startup’s new multiyear partnership with Amazon, in which the tech giant will initially invest $15 billion then $35 billion in the coming months when “certain conditions are met,” reportedly when OpenAI goes public or achieves building “artificial general intelligence.” Beyond serving as the exclusive third-party cloud distribution provider for OpenAI Frontier, AWS is also expanding its existing $38 billion agreement with the ChatGPT maker to $100 billion over eight years, with OpenAI committing to consume ~2 gigawatts of AWS’s Trainium capacity.
Dell’s across-the-board beat of key earnings metrics delivered after the close of trading Thursday is receiving rave reviews from Wall Street analysts.
Here’s a smattering of the chatter, much of which focused on Dell’s surprising ability to pass a parabolic price surge in memory chip prices through to customers:
Bernstein Research: “Management highlighted record AI server orders of $34.1B and $9.5B of AI server shipments, exiting the quarter with a record $43B AI backlog. Importantly, Dell characterized enterprise as the fastest growing portion of AI portfolio and pipeline, with enterprise AI up both in absolute dollars and as a mix for both shipments and orders, supported by a growing customer base of 4,000+ AI customers and expanding use cases beyond early pilots.”
Mizuho: “Key points: 1) Fiscal 2027 AI server revenues guided up 100% y/y to ~$50B (WELL ABOVE consensus ~$36B), 2) Memory cost impact limited with AI Server operating margin reiterated at mid-single-digit percentage better than feared, with margins stabilizing post-Jan price increases.”
Citi: “An exceptional beat+raise. 4Q revenues upsided expectations (+39% year-over-year) exceeding the top end of their guide while EPS was also higher (+45% year-over-year) on higher margins. Guide also significantly upsided expectations fiscal 2027 estimated revenue up ~25%+, AI revenues to double (core server/storage MSD, CSG 1%) and EPS up 26%, with gross margins ex-AI showing improvement.”
Barclays: “Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) growth was significant — up 73% year-over-year reaching a record $19.6B revenue in the Q, marking eight consecutive quarters of double digit growth. Management expects the strong growth momentum to continue and guided to a doubling of ISG revenues in Q1. AI servers growth accelerated tremendously with $34B of AI server orders in Q4 (up from $12B the prior Q), leading to a total of $64B orders for the fiscal year, which represents a 6x increase year-over-year.”
Morgan Stanley: “Our fiscal 2027 EPS estimate of $10.97 remains well below management’s $12.90. Why? Because we struggle to conceptually understand how — excluding AI servers — DELL can significantly increase prices multiple times through the year, drive over 200 basis points of year-over-year gross margin expansion, and see limited demand elasticity. That’s what the guidance implies.”
Bernstein Research: “Management highlighted record AI server orders of $34.1B and $9.5B of AI server shipments, exiting the quarter with a record $43B AI backlog. Importantly, Dell characterized enterprise as the fastest growing portion of AI portfolio and pipeline, with enterprise AI up both in absolute dollars and as a mix for both shipments and orders, supported by a growing customer base of 4,000+ AI customers and expanding use cases beyond early pilots.”
Mizuho: “Key points: 1) Fiscal 2027 AI server revenues guided up 100% y/y to ~$50B (WELL ABOVE consensus ~$36B), 2) Memory cost impact limited with AI Server operating margin reiterated at mid-single-digit percentage better than feared, with margins stabilizing post-Jan price increases.”
Citi: “An exceptional beat+raise. 4Q revenues upsided expectations (+39% year-over-year) exceeding the top end of their guide while EPS was also higher (+45% year-over-year) on higher margins. Guide also significantly upsided expectations fiscal 2027 estimated revenue up ~25%+, AI revenues to double (core server/storage MSD, CSG 1%) and EPS up 26%, with gross margins ex-AI showing improvement.”
Barclays: “Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) growth was significant — up 73% year-over-year reaching a record $19.6B revenue in the Q, marking eight consecutive quarters of double digit growth. Management expects the strong growth momentum to continue and guided to a doubling of ISG revenues in Q1. AI servers growth accelerated tremendously with $34B of AI server orders in Q4 (up from $12B the prior Q), leading to a total of $64B orders for the fiscal year, which represents a 6x increase year-over-year.”
Morgan Stanley: “Our fiscal 2027 EPS estimate of $10.97 remains well below management’s $12.90. Why? Because we struggle to conceptually understand how — excluding AI servers — DELL can significantly increase prices multiple times through the year, drive over 200 basis points of year-over-year gross margin expansion, and see limited demand elasticity. That’s what the guidance implies.”
The announcement marks an “industry-first collaboration,” says Archer.
Meta has signed a deal with Google to rent tensor processing units to develop new AI models and is in talks to buy the chips for its data centers, The Information reports.
The agreement comes on top of a recently announced “multi-generational” partnership with Nvidia and a chip supply deal with Advanced Micro Devices that could be worth more than $100 billion, as Meta scrapped its most advanced in-house AI training chip amid design challenges.
A Meta deal with Google, which has been rumored since November, would position the search giant more directly as a competitor to Nvidia in its core business of AI processors. Some analysts have said selling its custom chips to outside customers could become a business worth hundreds of billions of dollars for Google.
A Meta deal with Google, which has been rumored since November, would position the search giant more directly as a competitor to Nvidia in its core business of AI processors. Some analysts have said selling its custom chips to outside customers could become a business worth hundreds of billions of dollars for Google.
Rocket Companies posted Q4 earnings that beat Wall Street expectations and offered a strong Q1 2026 outlook late Thursday, pushing shares up around 6% in premarket trading on Friday.
For the quarter ended December 31, 2025, the Detroit-based fintech platform reported:
Revenue of $2.69 billion, ahead of analyst estimates of $2.27 billion (per data compiled by Bloomberg).
Adjusted earnings per share of $0.11, up 75% year over year and beating expectations of $0.09.
After saying that “Rocket proved itself this quarter as a category of one,” CEO Varun Krishna commented in a press release that “we exceeded guidance in a quarter that closed out a transformational year. I’m so proud of how the Rocket, Mr. Cooper, and Redfin teams executed together.”
Indeed, Rocket shared that after closing its Redfin acquisition in July 2025, the latter had realized $140 million in expense synergies in less than half a year.
The homeownership services company also expects adjusted revenue in the first quarter in the range of $2.6 billion to $2.8 billion, again beating Wall Street projections of $2.26 billion.
Block, the payments and fintech firm led by Twitter cofounder Jack Dorsey, is up almost 20% in premarket trading after announcing plans yesterday to cut 40% of its 10,000-person workforce.
Alongside the layoff announcement, Block reported $6.25 billion in Q4 revenue, slightly ahead of expectations, while gross profit for the quarter grew 24% year on year. The company also raised its full-year guidance for both gross profit and operating income.
In a post on X, Dorsey said the decision wasn’t made because the company is in “trouble,” instead framing the move as a structural shift. Indeed, Block has invested heavily in internal AI tools, including launching its own system called Goose in early 2025. In a letter to shareholders, Dorsey said “a significantly smaller team” using these tools “can do more and do it better.”
Most of the layoffs will occur in Q1 and will be “substantially” completed by the end of Q2, with expected restructuring charges of approximately $450 million to $500 million, according to an SEC filing.
Block is the latest company to tie job cuts to AI in Corporate America. Outplacement firm Challenger estimates roughly 55,000 US layoffs were attributed to the technology in 2025, almost 13x the level two years ago. Dorsey predicted that most companies “will reach the same conclusion and make similar structural changes” within the next year.
The company had more than tripled its headcount from the end of 2019 through 2022, with its number of employees rising from 3,845 to 12,428. When presented with this tidbit, Dorsey acknowledged on X that “yes we over-hired during covid because i incorrectly built 2 separate company structures.” Last year, Block spent roughly $68 million on an event for employees, which reportedly featured performances from T-Pain and Soulja Boy.
Despite the rally, Block remains more than 75% below its 2021 peak.
Despite incredible demand, the number of data centers under construction in North America fell for the first time since 2020, according to new research from CBRE.
Total data center capacity under construction dropped about 5.6% year on year from 6.35 megawatts in 2024 to 5.99 megawatts by the end of 2025.
What’s causing the delay? Slow permitting, constrained supply chains, and growing public engagement with how deals are approved at the local level. Labor constraints also were cited in the report; a tight supply of skilled workers will increase costs.
What’s causing the delay? Slow permitting, constrained supply chains, and growing public engagement with how deals are approved at the local level. Labor constraints also were cited in the report; a tight supply of skilled workers will increase costs.