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American Airlines sees turbulence ahead, projects surprisingly big loss in Q1

Record sales for American Airlines aren’t enough to make up for the storm clouds on the horizon.

The company posted its highest annual revenue last year ($54.2 billion), but its shares are down almost 9% in early trading on its glum outlook for the current quarter.

Management forecast an adjusted loss per share of between $0.20 and $0.40 for Q1, significantly below the $0.04 loss analysts were expecting. That forecast looks even worse considering rival Delta Air Lines said it thinks it’s going to have its best year ever.

United Airlines had a similarly rosy Q1 profit outlook.

Still, American did see a big win from its credit cards: compensation surged to $6.1 billion last year, up 17% from 2023 from its deals with Citi and Barclays. Last month, the airline said it’s dropping Barclays to partner solely with Citi and expects its card payments to grow 10% annually. Delta’s doing about a billion dollars better in the credit-card business, pulling in $7.4 billion from AmEx in 2024.

Management forecast an adjusted loss per share of between $0.20 and $0.40 for Q1, significantly below the $0.04 loss analysts were expecting. That forecast looks even worse considering rival Delta Air Lines said it thinks it’s going to have its best year ever.

United Airlines had a similarly rosy Q1 profit outlook.

Still, American did see a big win from its credit cards: compensation surged to $6.1 billion last year, up 17% from 2023 from its deals with Citi and Barclays. Last month, the airline said it’s dropping Barclays to partner solely with Citi and expects its card payments to grow 10% annually. Delta’s doing about a billion dollars better in the credit-card business, pulling in $7.4 billion from AmEx in 2024.

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Walmart falls after CEO of more than a decade steps down

Walmart’s stock fell as low as 3% this morning in premarket trading on news that its longtime CEO, Doug McMillon, who helped the company beef up its e-commerce segment against Amazon, will be stepping down.

While Walmart’s sales came in above expectations last quarter, it missed on quarterly earnings. It’s also facing an increasingly dominant Amazon, which is pushing further into Walmart’s territory with same-day grocery delivery in more than 1,000 cities and towns in the US, with plans to expand to 2,300 by the end of the year.

And unlike Walmart, Amazon, in addition to e-commerce and physical stores, has a number of other, much higher-income revenue streams — most notably its fast-growing cloud business, AWS. Earlier this year, Amazon nudged ahead of Walmart in overall revenue, and is expected to continue to build on that lead when Walmart reports Q3 earnings next week.

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Tencent Music has enough users — it just needs them to start paying

The stock is down this morning, undoing some of its stunning year-to-date rise.

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Skydance Officially Closes Deal To Merge With Paramount

Paramount Skydance says its DTC streaming biz will be profitable this year

The studio reported its third-quarter earnings on Monday, the first since the Skydance takeover, and now sees $3 billion in cost savings (up from $2 billion).

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