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American Airlines sees turbulence ahead, projects surprisingly big loss in Q1

Record sales for American Airlines aren’t enough to make up for the storm clouds on the horizon.

The company posted its highest annual revenue last year ($54.2 billion), but its shares are down almost 9% in early trading on its glum outlook for the current quarter.

Management forecast an adjusted loss per share of between $0.20 and $0.40 for Q1, significantly below the $0.04 loss analysts were expecting. That forecast looks even worse considering rival Delta Air Lines said it thinks it’s going to have its best year ever.

United Airlines had a similarly rosy Q1 profit outlook.

Still, American did see a big win from its credit cards: compensation surged to $6.1 billion last year, up 17% from 2023 from its deals with Citi and Barclays. Last month, the airline said it’s dropping Barclays to partner solely with Citi and expects its card payments to grow 10% annually. Delta’s doing about a billion dollars better in the credit-card business, pulling in $7.4 billion from AmEx in 2024.

Management forecast an adjusted loss per share of between $0.20 and $0.40 for Q1, significantly below the $0.04 loss analysts were expecting. That forecast looks even worse considering rival Delta Air Lines said it thinks it’s going to have its best year ever.

United Airlines had a similarly rosy Q1 profit outlook.

Still, American did see a big win from its credit cards: compensation surged to $6.1 billion last year, up 17% from 2023 from its deals with Citi and Barclays. Last month, the airline said it’s dropping Barclays to partner solely with Citi and expects its card payments to grow 10% annually. Delta’s doing about a billion dollars better in the credit-card business, pulling in $7.4 billion from AmEx in 2024.

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JetBlue is raising its bag fees as fuel costs squeeze airlines

JetBlue will reportedly hike its bag fees, as the cost of jet fuel continues to climb amid the war in Iran. It’s the latest example of carriers finding ways to push rising costs onto travelers.

Last week, United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby said that if fuel prices remain elevated, fares would need to rise another 20% for his airline to break even this year.

As CNBC reported, when one airline raises fees, others tend to follow.

Earlier this month, JetBlue hiked its first-quarter outlook for operating revenue per seat mile to between 5% and 7%, saying that strong Q1 demand helped “partially offset additional expenses realized from operational disruptions and rising fuel costs.” Now, the carrier appears to be making moves to further boost revenue to offset those costs.

Earlier on Monday, JetBlue rival Alaska Air lowered its Q1 profit forecast. The refining margins for the carrier’s cheapest fuel option — sourced from Singapore and representing about 20% of Alaska’s overall supply — have spiked 400% since February.

JetBlue did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

As CNBC reported, when one airline raises fees, others tend to follow.

Earlier this month, JetBlue hiked its first-quarter outlook for operating revenue per seat mile to between 5% and 7%, saying that strong Q1 demand helped “partially offset additional expenses realized from operational disruptions and rising fuel costs.” Now, the carrier appears to be making moves to further boost revenue to offset those costs.

Earlier on Monday, JetBlue rival Alaska Air lowered its Q1 profit forecast. The refining margins for the carrier’s cheapest fuel option — sourced from Singapore and representing about 20% of Alaska’s overall supply — have spiked 400% since February.

JetBlue did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

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