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TechCrunch Disrupt SF 2013 - Day 2
Charles River Ventures general partner George Zachary (Steve Jennings/Getty Images)

A venture firm just gave investors their money back instead of investing in a shoddy market

Facing poor market conditions, one venture fund is choosing to downsize.

Earlier this week, I discussed how Lightspeed Venture Partners, a venture capital firm with $25 billion in AUM, appears to be expanding into private equity-like investments with its latest fundraise. Why is Lightspeed diversifying away from traditional venture investing to later stage, PE-like strategies? Because $7 billion in new capital will yield a lot of management fees, but it’s really hard to effectively invest $7 billion in venture capital. Lightspeed’s solution? Allocate a large portion of that capital to mature investments.

Another solution to the market size problem, however, is to raise a smaller fund to more effectively invest in smaller startups, or, in the case of venture firm CRV, return some of the capital that you just raised back to investors. From The New York Times:

The firm (CRV) will tell its investors this week that it will return the $275 million that it has not yet invested from its $500 million Select fund, which is designed to back more mature start-ups.

The reason, four of the firm’s partners said in a joint interview, is that market conditions have changed for the worse. The valuations for start-ups are too high relative to their potential for a payoff, the partners said.

Global venture capital funding reached all-time highs in 2021, with ~$694 billion (an increase of more than 100% from the year prior) being deployed across the venture market that year, but that rapid inflow of capital pushed valuations really, really high as more and more money chased a limited number of deals. Combine climbing valuations with a dismal IPO market, and you have an environment filled with richly-valued companies and investors that can’t offload their stakes.

Given current market conditions, I think we’ll increasingly see venture funds fall into one of these two buckets: AUM conglomerates that diversify into other asset classes to make more management fees, and smaller, tactical venture funds that can still effectively navigate the startup market and find good value. 

Funds that get stuck in the middle around the ~$1 billion range are in a tough spot: it’s difficult to deploy that much capital at reasonable valuations, especially in early-stage companies, and the management fees on a billion-dollar fund still aren’t spectacular, especially if you have a large team.

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eBay stock slumps on gloomy Q4 outlook despite solid Q3 earnings

Shares of eBay fell as much as 10.5% in premarket trading on Thursday morning after the company gave a lower-than-expected profit forecast for the important holiday shopping season.

The e-commerce giant reported solid numbers for the third quarter on Wednesday, with revenue up 9% as reported to $2.8 billion and gross merchandise volume rising 10% to $20.1 billion, topping the average analyst forecast of $19.4 billion, per Bloomberg.

However, concerns about the future somewhat overshadowed these results.

eBay outlined its profit outlook for the period ending in December to $1.31 to $1.36 a share, with revenue at $2.83 billion to $2.89 billion. According to Bloomberg-compiled data, this broadly matches Wall Street’s estimates for the top line, but misses on the bottom line, with analysts forecasting EPS to come in at $1.39 — suggesting the company expects some further margin pressure.

The company has been facing macroeconomic challenges since the US ended the de minimis tariff exemption in late August, with the online marketplace reliant on shipments. One small silver lining? CFO Peggy Alford highlighted a “less durable trend” on a post-earnings call: that as commodity prices for precious metals boomed, demand for bullion and collectible coins on eBay spiked.

However, concerns about the future somewhat overshadowed these results.

eBay outlined its profit outlook for the period ending in December to $1.31 to $1.36 a share, with revenue at $2.83 billion to $2.89 billion. According to Bloomberg-compiled data, this broadly matches Wall Street’s estimates for the top line, but misses on the bottom line, with analysts forecasting EPS to come in at $1.39 — suggesting the company expects some further margin pressure.

The company has been facing macroeconomic challenges since the US ended the de minimis tariff exemption in late August, with the online marketplace reliant on shipments. One small silver lining? CFO Peggy Alford highlighted a “less durable trend” on a post-earnings call: that as commodity prices for precious metals boomed, demand for bullion and collectible coins on eBay spiked.

A screenshot from Hims & Hers' website. (Sherwood News)

Hims to begin selling GLP-1 microdosing treatments

The company reports earnings results next Monday.

Premium seats help push airlines higher following third-quarter results

Shares of American Airlines are climbing toward the carrier’s best trading day since August 12, when ultra-budget rival Spirit issued its initial warning about its ability to survive. American’s shares are up more than 7% on Friday afternoon.

Investors’ optimism comes a day after American posted a better-than-expected full-year earnings forecast. In a call with investors, American said that it’s ramping up its premium cabin offerings.

“Our ability to grow capacity in premium markets will be further supported as we take delivery of new aircraft and reconfigure our existing fleet. These efforts will allow us to grow our premium seats at nearly two times the rate of main cabin seats,” CEO Robert Isom said. American CFO Devin May said that nose-to-tail retrofits of certain wide-body jets will bump the number of premium seats available on those planes by 25%.

Extra legroom has been a boon for major carriers, particularly this quarter. Delta Air Lines said its premium product revenue grew 9% in Q3, compared to a 4% drop in economy seat revenue. Similarly, United Airlines said its premium revenue grew 6%, outpacing economy. Shares of both airlines were up more than 3% on Friday.

Carriers with less exposure to first- and business-class tickets like Southwest Airlines and JetBlue didn’t see the same amount of momentum on the day.

Ford plant Cologne

Ford rallies to 52-week high: Wall Street is optimistic about its EV reset and aluminum plant recovery plan

Ford shares reached their highest level since July 2024 in Friday morning trading.

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