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I O U: The Federal Reserve is in the red

I O U: The Federal Reserve is in the red

In its 110-year history, the Federal Reserve, America’s central bank, has been an almost constant source of funding for the US Treasury, sending billions of dollars of profits every year to bolster government spending. That all changed last year when the Fed began to operate at an unprecedented loss — the magnitude of which is becoming increasingly clear, with the central bank reporting a whopping $117 billion deficit, taking total losses since Sep 2022 to $133 billion.

What changed?

The Fed owns trillions of dollars of securities — many of which were purchased during the crisis of 2008/09 and the pandemic to stimulate the economy — and receives interest on those securities. That interest, combined with other fees for services to financial institutions, used to handsomely exceed the running costs and interest paid out to banks for parking their cash with the Fed… hence the many decades of profits sent to the Treasury.

However, in the pursuit of lowering inflation, the Fed hiked rates aggressively, sending its own interest expense soaring from $102bn last year to an eye-watering $281bn in its latest report.

The obvious question is: do the Fed losses really matter? There’s no-one at the Treasury chasing Fed members down for the $133 billion loss, with the Fed simply creating an IOU (technically a “deferred asset”), which, once profitable, will need to be paid down to zero, before it can get back to sending returns to the Treasury.

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Premium seats help push airlines higher following third-quarter results

Shares of American Airlines are climbing toward the carrier’s best trading day since August 12, when ultra-budget rival Spirit issued its initial warning about its ability to survive. American’s shares are up more than 7% on Friday afternoon.

Investors’ optimism comes a day after American posted a better-than-expected full-year earnings forecast. In a call with investors, American said that it’s ramping up its premium cabin offerings.

“Our ability to grow capacity in premium markets will be further supported as we take delivery of new aircraft and reconfigure our existing fleet. These efforts will allow us to grow our premium seats at nearly two times the rate of main cabin seats,” CEO Robert Isom said. American CFO Devin May said that nose-to-tail retrofits of certain wide-body jets will bump the number of premium seats available on those planes by 25%.

Extra legroom has been a boon for major carriers, particularly this quarter. Delta Air Lines said its premium product revenue grew 9% in Q3, compared to a 4% drop in economy seat revenue. Similarly, United Airlines said its premium revenue grew 6%, outpacing economy. Shares of both airlines were up more than 3% on Friday.

Carriers with less exposure to first- and business-class tickets like Southwest Airlines and JetBlue didn’t see the same amount of momentum on the day.

Ford plant Cologne

Ford rallies to 52-week high: Wall Street is optimistic about its EV reset and aluminum plant recovery plan

Ford shares reached their highest level since July 2024 in Friday morning trading.

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