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Did Big Potato collude to keep tater tots expensive? One grocery store thinks so

Prices for frozen potato products have shot up, but one chart casts doubt on price-gouging accusations.

Four of the companies that control most of the country’s frozen-potato supply have been accused of brokering backdoor deals to keep their products expensive.

In a lawsuit filed last week, a Pennsylvania-based small grocery chain, Redner’s Markets, said a small group of companies that sell products like hash browns and tater tots colluded to artificially inflate prices starting in 2021. These companies — Cavendish Farms, Lamb Weston, McCain Foods, and the JR Simplot Company — control nearly all of the $68 billion frozen-potato market.

It’s true that the price of frozen potato products has skyrocketed and stayed high relative to other products, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics Producer Price Index.

This is how the scheme went down, Redners alleges: the potato processors saw their costs shoot up in 2021, so they rose prices, but in 2022 when their costs started coming down, they all agreed to keep their prices high and pocket the wider margin.

Lamb Weston is the only company from the group that is publicly traded. As such, it’s the only one that allows us a peek under the hood. 

Looking at their financials, it’s clear that there was a shift after the pandemic, which is true for most companies. Its profit margins declined in 2020, 2021, and 2022. But after that, they jumped back up to over 25%, just over where they were before the pandemic. 

The company has said that its faced rising costs of production — the raw potatoes and labor are more expensive than they used to be. Their costs did go up, and so did their sales.

Lamb Westons financial results alone are by no means a clear indication whether price fixing or price gouging is taking place or not. But on its face, at least for this specific company, there doesnt seem to be a smoking gun.

In a statement to Sherwood, a Lamb Weston spokesperson said they believe the claims are without merit and intend to vigorously defend our position. Cavendish Farms, McCain Foods, and the JR Simplot Company did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

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eBay stock slumps on gloomy Q4 outlook despite solid Q3 earnings

Shares of eBay fell as much as 10.5% in premarket trading on Thursday morning after the company gave a lower-than-expected profit forecast for the important holiday shopping season.

The e-commerce giant reported solid numbers for the third quarter on Wednesday, with revenue up 9% as reported to $2.8 billion and gross merchandise volume rising 10% to $20.1 billion, topping the average analyst forecast of $19.4 billion, per Bloomberg.

However, concerns about the future somewhat overshadowed these results.

eBay outlined its profit outlook for the period ending in December to $1.31 to $1.36 a share, with revenue at $2.83 billion to $2.89 billion. According to Bloomberg-compiled data, this broadly matches Wall Street’s estimates for the top line, but misses on the bottom line, with analysts forecasting EPS to come in at $1.39 — suggesting the company expects some further margin pressure.

The company has been facing macroeconomic challenges since the US ended the de minimis tariff exemption in late August, with the online marketplace reliant on shipments. One small silver lining? CFO Peggy Alford highlighted a “less durable trend” on a post-earnings call: that as commodity prices for precious metals boomed, demand for bullion and collectible coins on eBay spiked.

However, concerns about the future somewhat overshadowed these results.

eBay outlined its profit outlook for the period ending in December to $1.31 to $1.36 a share, with revenue at $2.83 billion to $2.89 billion. According to Bloomberg-compiled data, this broadly matches Wall Street’s estimates for the top line, but misses on the bottom line, with analysts forecasting EPS to come in at $1.39 — suggesting the company expects some further margin pressure.

The company has been facing macroeconomic challenges since the US ended the de minimis tariff exemption in late August, with the online marketplace reliant on shipments. One small silver lining? CFO Peggy Alford highlighted a “less durable trend” on a post-earnings call: that as commodity prices for precious metals boomed, demand for bullion and collectible coins on eBay spiked.

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