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It’s a “new world order” for the US auto industry, says UBS, downgrading GM and slashing Tesla price target

Carmakers’ stocks tumbled again Thursday, unable to hold their gains after climbing on Wednesday when President Trump’s tariff pause news generated a massive market pop.

Wall Street appears to be sobering up and recognizing that the White House’s 90-day pause doesn’t apply to sector tariffs, like those on cars, and additional duties on auto parts are coming next month.

Case in point: a sweeping reassessment of the auto sector published this morning by UBS, declaring a “new world order” for the auto industry. The firm downgraded General Motors from “buy” to “neutral” and slashed its price target by 20%. UBS also slapped Tesla, Ford, and Rivian with double-digit percentage cuts to price targets. In addition, analysts cut price targets on 17 other suppliers and online dealers by 10% or more.

While the reciprocal tariff reduction might help reduce the risk of recession and a major drop in auto demand, UBS wrote that the sector-specific auto tariffs “are likely to remain for the foreseeable future.” Even if more car manufacturing does return to the US, UBS added that finding the workforce could be difficult and expensive.

“Bottom-line, all OEMs have higher costs going forward,” they wrote.

Price targets: GM: -20%, Tesla: -16%, Ford: -10%, Rivian: -14%

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Elon Musk at Donald Trump Rally At Madison Square Garden In NYC

The Tesla directors who just proposed giving Elon Musk a trillion dollars say it’s “critical” he stay out of politics

Even still, the company doesn’t appear to be putting up hard guardrails for Musk’s political ambitions.

$1T

Tesla jumped more than 2% premarket on Friday after the company proposed an unprecedented roughly $1 trillion pay package for CEO Elon Musk, according to proxy filings.

To receive the massive payout, Musk will have to increase the company’s market cap to $8.5 trillion from the approximately $1 trillion it is today over the next 10 years.

The pay package also requires that Musk expand Tesla’s product offerings to include 1 million Robotaxis in commercial operation and the “delivery of 1 million AI Bots.” Currently the company has about 30 autonomous robotaxis in its invite-only Austin ride-hailing service, though this week the company expanded the waitlist for the service to everyone. Tesla's Optimus robots are still under development.

Musk would also have to take part in his own succession planning and develop a framework for who’s to follow him.

Investors have historically tied the fate of Tesla with Musk, so holding on to him for an extended period of time and having his blessing for the succession plan is typically seen as good news for the stock.

“We believe that Elon’s singular vision is vital to navigating this critical inflection point,” the filing reads. “Simply put, retaining and incentivizing Elon is fundamental to Tesla achieving these goals and becoming the most valuable company in history.”

A judge twice struck down Musk’s previous $56 billion compensation package. Last month the board approved a $30 billion interim pay package, saying that “retaining Elon is more important than ever.”

Shareholders will vote on the pay package at their annual meeting on November 6.

Old Navy store on 34th street in New York City, U.S.

Gap pops as the denim giant takes a big swing into beauty and accessories

The retailer is piloting beauty through shop-in-shops at Old Navy before rolling it out to Gap stores next year.

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