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A Kroger store
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Kroger and Albertsons have already spent more than $1 billion on a merger that may never happen

And if the government squashes the deal, Kroger will owe a $600 million termination fee on top of that.

J. Edward Moreno

On its earnings call today, Kroger projected confidence that its merger with Albertsons will actually go through. 

No wonder it’s taking that position: if the deal gets squashed, Kroger will have spent hundreds of millions of dollars for nothing. According to a filing from the company today, Kroger has spent $683 million on costs associated with the merger, including bank fees and legal expenses, over the past two years.

Albertson’s, meanwhile, has spent $323 million in that timeframe, bringing the two companies’ combined total to more than $1 billion in costs associated with the deal.

And that’s not all: If the deal doesn’t go through, Kroger would owe Albertson’s another $600 million as a breakup fee.

In 2022, Kroger struck a deal to acquire Albertsons for $24.6 billion. It would be the biggest grocery store merger in American history, in an industry that has consolidated over the past couple decades. 

But the Federal Trade Commission has challenged the combination, saying it was anticompetitive and would lead to higher prices for groceries and household essentials. A federal judge will soon decide whether to issue a preliminary injunction hitting the brakes on the merger. 

Collectively, Kroger and Albertsons have more than 60 attorneys representing them on the FTC case from white-shoe law firms like Arnold & Porter Kaye Scholer LLP and Williams & Connolly LLP.

On Thursday’s call, Kroger CEO Rodney McMullen projected confidence that the court would rule in the companies’ favor, telling analysts “we remain committed to closing the merger."

When asked about 2025 guidance, McMullen said "we would expect to be in a position of where we've just completed a merger, and we would also need to update where we are relative to the merger and the integration of the merger and those factors as well."

McMullen reportedly said in court that the deal would actually result in lower prices for consumers because consolidation brings down their overall costs of operation. Albertsons CEO Vivek Sankaran said the chain may have to divest stores and lay off workers if the deal doesn't go through.

Albertsons declined to comment. Kroger didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.

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China’s EV startup trio, Nio, Li Auto, and XPeng, are now all profitable, following the latter’s Q4 results released Friday.

XPeng reported a quarterly net profit of about $55 million, compared to rival Nio’s Q4 net profit (also its first) of about $40 million. Li Auto posted Q4 net profit of less than $1 million.

All three companies being profitable offers a stark contrast to the EV market in the US, where Rivian quietly delayed its 2027 profitability target in a filing about its Uber robotaxi partnership yesterday. Lucid is likely further away, and last month cut 12% of its US workforce as part of its “path toward profitability.”

Still, it’s not all rosy for China’s EV startups, either. XPeng ADRs were down more than 6% in Friday morning trading as its Q1 sales forecast came in below estimates. As China rolls back subsidies, auto sales are slumping. Chinese retail EV and hybrid sales fell 32% in February from the same month last year.

9.3%

As the war with Iran produces the biggest spike in US gas prices since Hurricane Katrina, car retailer CarMax is continuing to see heightened interest in EVs, hybrids, and plug-in hybrids.

“From Feb 1st - March 1st (inclusive), compared to March 2nd to March 15th (inclusive), we saw a 9.3% lift in page views for these vehicles,” a spokesperson for the company told Sherwood News.

As industry insiders recently told us, EV interest climbs when gas prices rise. That appears to be holding true even without EV tax credits, which the Trump administration ended under its new budget package.

CarMax also saw EV searches spike in 2022, amid Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the resulting oil price spike.

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$35.4B

The tariffs imposed by the Trump administration have cost automakers at least $35.4 billion since the start of 2025, according to a new analysis by Automotive News.

That total will continue to climb this year, since the Supreme Court’s February tariff ruling largely leaves the 25% levy on vehicles and auto parts untouched.

Toyota has taken the biggest hit, projecting more than $9 billion in tariff costs in its fiscal year ending this month, while Detroit’s big three automakers — Ford, GM, and Stellantis — were hit with a combined $6.5 billion tariff charge in 2025.

In the fourth quarter, automakers sold about 8% fewer imported vehicles in the US compared to the same period a year ago, per the Automotive News Research & Data Center.

Tariff charges come at a rough time for legacy carmakers, which are also scaling back EV plans following the Trump administration’s elimination of tax credits and fuel standard goals. According to Automotive News, the cost of EV write-downs and restructuring is, so far, nearly $70 billion.

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