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New-home sales burble higher

There are signs of life in new-home sales, but the bigger existing home market looks dead.

Mortgage rate lock continues to choke the life out of US existing-home sales, with sales sliding to a 14-year low in September.

But new-home sales have continued to creep higher, as would-be buyers turn to new construction in search of inventory.

Just-released numbers from the US Commerce Department showed sales of newly constructed homes climbed to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 738,000 last month, the highest in over a year.

The uptick in activity is likely due to mortgage rates, which flirted with falling below 6% in September before bouncing back to about 6.5% in recent weeks, potentially quelling activity once again.

It’s worth noting that despite being the sole meaningful source of home inventory, builders still have to sweeten the deal for buyers who are facing the most unaffordable market in decades.

In recent days, the market has beat up stocks of major builders like PulteGroup. Pulte posted better-than-expected quarterly numbers on October 22, but the stock plummeted and had its worst day in more than two years, after executives said it would have to continue offering costly incentives such as mortgage-rate buydowns to lock in sales, likely lowering future profit margins.

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Danone acquires meal replacement shake maker Huel for ~$1.2 billion

Very big things are happening today in the world of nutritionally complete products that taste like chalk, as Danone has agreed to buy the celebrity-backed protein bar, powder, meal, and meal replacement shake maker Huel for €1 billion, or around $1.2 billion.

In a statement announcing the acquisition, Danone — apparently the No. 1 yogurt producer in the US and the nation’s top plant-based food and beverage company as well — said that buying Huel will enhance its “presence in functional nutrition and extend its portfolio into the fast-growing Complete Nutrition space.” Danone, the parent company behind Evian and Actimel, also praised Huel’s “best-in-class digital execution” and fan bases across the UK, Europe, and the US.

Bulking season

Huel, a portmanteau of “human” and “fuel,” was only set up just over a decade ago, but thanks to its marketing efforts, a buzzy product range that marries on-the-go eating with nutrient-dense, plant-based ingredients, and a decent list of (mostly UK-based) celebrity investors, like actor Idris Elba and talk show host Jonathan Ross, sales have soared.

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China’s EV startup trio have all become profitable

China’s EV startup trio, Nio, Li Auto, and XPeng, are now all profitable, following the latter’s Q4 results released Friday.

XPeng reported a quarterly net profit of about $55 million, compared to rival Nio’s Q4 net profit (also its first) of about $40 million. Li Auto posted Q4 net profit of less than $1 million.

All three companies being profitable offers a stark contrast to the EV market in the US, where Rivian quietly delayed its 2027 profitability target in a filing about its Uber robotaxi partnership yesterday. Lucid is likely further away, and last month cut 12% of its US workforce as part of its “path toward profitability.”

Still, it’s not all rosy for China’s EV startups, either. XPeng ADRs were down more than 6% in Friday morning trading as its Q1 sales forecast came in below estimates. As China rolls back subsidies, auto sales are slumping. Chinese retail EV and hybrid sales fell 32% in February from the same month last year.

9.3%

As the war with Iran produces the biggest spike in US gas prices since Hurricane Katrina, car retailer CarMax is continuing to see heightened interest in EVs, hybrids, and plug-in hybrids.

“From Feb 1st - March 1st (inclusive), compared to March 2nd to March 15th (inclusive), we saw a 9.3% lift in page views for these vehicles,” a spokesperson for the company told Sherwood News.

As industry insiders recently told us, EV interest climbs when gas prices rise. That appears to be holding true even without EV tax credits, which the Trump administration ended under its new budget package.

CarMax also saw EV searches spike in 2022, amid Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the resulting oil price spike.

Walt Disney Chairman And CEO Bob Iger Rings Opening Bell At NY Stock Exchange

It’s the end of Disney’s Iger era (again)

Incoming CEO Josh D’Amaro is replacing Bob Iger on Wednesday, though Iger will remain a senior adviser through the end of the year.

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