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The big four US airlines shed another $5 billion in market cap this week

Together with their regional partners, the carriers control 80% of the US market.

Max Knoblauch
3/28/25 1:56PM

Shares of the big four US airlines — Delta Air Lines, American Airlines, United Airlines, and Southwest Airlines — are wrapping up yet another bleak week amid a host of challenging factors for the aviation industry.

From Monday, March 24, through midday Friday, March 28, Delta and United shares have fallen more than 8%, American shares more than 7%, and Southwest’s more than 3%.

The sell-off represents a loss of $4.8 billion in market cap for the carriers, which with their regional partners control 80% of the US market.

March, and 2025 in general, have not been kind to aviation companies. The S&P Composite 1500 Passenger Airlines index had its worst week since the peak of the pandemic in 2022 earlier this month and is down 22% on the year. So far in 2025, the big four have collectively lost more than $24 billion in market cap — roughly the cost of 180 737 Max 10s.

A familiar batch of issues is still causing the turbulence: tariffs, tariff-impacted travel, tariff-impacted consumer spending, and general safety fears.

25% tariffs on steel and aluminum (metals that planes are made of) went into effect March 12. It’s estimated those tariffs could hike the production cost of a narrow-body aircraft by up to $2.5 million.

A slew of other broad tariffs on goods from Canada, Mexico, China, and Europe have also played a major role in the downturn, in addition to a shift away from momentum stocks that has gut-punched the market in recent weeks. Consumer confidence reached a four-year low this month, and air travel between the US and Canada has plunged as much as 76%. Delta, American, JetBlue, and a few smaller airlines have scaled back their capacity for the quarter April through June.

Repeated safety incidents and close calls in the last few months also might have consumers choosing travel options that stay on the ground. Data from Amanda Demanda Law Group shows that online searches for “are planes safe now?” were up 900% in February.

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Amazon is testing adding GM electric vans to its EV delivery fleet dominated by Rivian

Rivian may have some competition in its electric delivery van division. Bloomberg reports that Amazon is testing a small number of GM’s BrightDrop vans for its fleet.

According to Amazon, the test currently only includes a dozen of the vehicles. Amazon’s fleet also includes EVs from Ford, Stellantis, and Mercedes-Benz.

GM debuted BrightDrop in 2021, but the vehicles have struggled to sell and piled up on GM lots due to high prices and steep competition. GM began offering up to 40% rebates on the vehicles this year.

The test comes as Rivian struggles through tariffs and the end of EV tax credits. Earlier this year, it lowered its annual delivery outlook by about 13%. As of June, Amazon said it has more than 25,000 Rivian vans across the US. Earlier this week, Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe said the company is still on track to deliver 100,000 vans to Amazon by 2030 and is “thinking about what comes beyond” that initial target.

GM has sold 1,592 BrightDrop vans through the first half of the year, more than the full-year total it sold in 2024.

GM debuted BrightDrop in 2021, but the vehicles have struggled to sell and piled up on GM lots due to high prices and steep competition. GM began offering up to 40% rebates on the vehicles this year.

The test comes as Rivian struggles through tariffs and the end of EV tax credits. Earlier this year, it lowered its annual delivery outlook by about 13%. As of June, Amazon said it has more than 25,000 Rivian vans across the US. Earlier this week, Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe said the company is still on track to deliver 100,000 vans to Amazon by 2030 and is “thinking about what comes beyond” that initial target.

GM has sold 1,592 BrightDrop vans through the first half of the year, more than the full-year total it sold in 2024.

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Paramount Skydance reportedly preparing an Ellison-backed Warner Bros. Discovery takeover bid, sending shares soaring

Paramount Skydance is preparing a majority cash bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, The Wall Street Journal reported, sending shares of both companies surging. The Journal’s sources say the deal is backed by the Ellison family, led by David Ellison.

WBD shares were up 30% on the report, while Paramount Skydance jumped 8%.

The offer would cover WBD’s entire business — cable networks, movie studios, the whole enchilada. That comes after WBD announced plans last year to split into two divisions: one for streaming and studios, the other for its traditional cable and TV assets. A recent Wells Fargo note gave WBD a price target hike, primarily because the analysts viewed it as a prime takeover candidate.

If the deal goes through, it would bring together HBO, CNN, DC Studios, and Warner Bros.’ film library with Paramount+, Nickelodeon, and MTV, all under one umbrella.

The offer would cover WBD’s entire business — cable networks, movie studios, the whole enchilada. That comes after WBD announced plans last year to split into two divisions: one for streaming and studios, the other for its traditional cable and TV assets. A recent Wells Fargo note gave WBD a price target hike, primarily because the analysts viewed it as a prime takeover candidate.

If the deal goes through, it would bring together HBO, CNN, DC Studios, and Warner Bros.’ film library with Paramount+, Nickelodeon, and MTV, all under one umbrella.

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