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Starbucks in Pittsburgh
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ROASTED ☕

With operating profit down 45%, the “Back to Starbucks” plans aren’t bearing any fruit yet

Brian Niccol has a tough gig on his hands, with Starbucks shares dropping sharply after a weak quarter.

Starbucks is promising a four-minute wait time for customers to get their grande latte, but investors might have to wait longer for the coffee giant to deliver the results they were hoping for when Brian Niccol took the top job at Starbucks in September.

The world’s largest coffee chain posted a 45% decline in quarterly operating income yesterday, its fifth straight quarter of declining same-store sales, with SBUX shares opening down 10% in premarket trading this morning.

Starbucks Op profit
Sherwood News

Since being poached in September for his star-studded track record at Chipotle, CEO Brian Niccol has been brewing a bold turnaround strategy to reverse Starbucks’ yearlong sales slump. So far, that “Back to Starbucks” plan has involved writing names on to-go cups, bringing back ceramic mugs, and requiring a purchase for customers to loiter in stores. 

But the investment is coming at a cost: while Niccol touted some “real momentum” with his magnum opus on Tuesday, Starbucks also said the additional labor poured to support the plan is grinding down on the coffee giant’s profitability — an expense that the chain is seemingly willing to double down on, with plans to hire even more baristas.

Double shot

Starbucks’ slumping profitability, down to become the worst non-Covid quarter in more than a decade, is another bitter shot of disappointment for the already struggling coffee chain, which has been juggling weak consumer spending and skyrocketing costs of coffee beans (thanks to a certain Diet Coke enthusiast) domestically while being squeezed out by strong competitors in China — a region that had been the Starbucks growth engine for much of the last two decades.

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China’s EV startup trio have all become profitable

China’s EV startup trio, Nio, Li Auto, and XPeng, are now all profitable, following the latter’s Q4 results released Friday.

XPeng reported a quarterly net profit of about $55 million, compared to rival Nio’s Q4 net profit (also its first) of about $40 million. Li Auto posted Q4 net profit of less than $1 million.

All three companies being profitable offers a stark contrast to the EV market in the US, where Rivian quietly delayed its 2027 profitability target in a filing about its Uber robotaxi partnership yesterday. Lucid is likely further away, and last month cut 12% of its US workforce as part of its “path toward profitability.”

Still, it’s not all rosy for China’s EV startups, either. XPeng ADRs were down more than 6% in Friday morning trading as its Q1 sales forecast came in below estimates. As China rolls back subsidies, auto sales are slumping. Chinese retail EV and hybrid sales fell 32% in February from the same month last year.

9.3%

As the war with Iran produces the biggest spike in US gas prices since Hurricane Katrina, car retailer CarMax is continuing to see heightened interest in EVs, hybrids, and plug-in hybrids.

“From Feb 1st - March 1st (inclusive), compared to March 2nd to March 15th (inclusive), we saw a 9.3% lift in page views for these vehicles,” a spokesperson for the company told Sherwood News.

As industry insiders recently told us, EV interest climbs when gas prices rise. That appears to be holding true even without EV tax credits, which the Trump administration ended under its new budget package.

CarMax also saw EV searches spike in 2022, amid Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the resulting oil price spike.

Walt Disney Chairman And CEO Bob Iger Rings Opening Bell At NY Stock Exchange

It’s the end of Disney’s Iger era (again)

Incoming CEO Josh D’Amaro is replacing Bob Iger on Wednesday, though Iger will remain a senior adviser through the end of the year.

$35.4B

The tariffs imposed by the Trump administration have cost automakers at least $35.4 billion since the start of 2025, according to a new analysis by Automotive News.

That total will continue to climb this year, since the Supreme Court’s February tariff ruling largely leaves the 25% levy on vehicles and auto parts untouched.

Toyota has taken the biggest hit, projecting more than $9 billion in tariff costs in its fiscal year ending this month, while Detroit’s big three automakers — Ford, GM, and Stellantis — were hit with a combined $6.5 billion tariff charge in 2025.

In the fourth quarter, automakers sold about 8% fewer imported vehicles in the US compared to the same period a year ago, per the Automotive News Research & Data Center.

Tariff charges come at a rough time for legacy carmakers, which are also scaling back EV plans following the Trump administration’s elimination of tax credits and fuel standard goals. According to Automotive News, the cost of EV write-downs and restructuring is, so far, nearly $70 billion.

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