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Bitcoin continues its winning streak as ETFs see largest inflows since October

One expert noted that in the short term, a critical level to watch for bitcoin is $107,500, while another expressed optimism for the asset to rise to $130,000 this quarter.

Bitcoin continues its upward trajectory in the first week of 2026, driven by large ETF inflows and renewed liquidity. On Tuesday morning, bitcoin was trading around $93,800, continuing its streak of only going up each day in 2026.

Nic Puckrin, cofounder of Coin Bureau, told Sherwood News that we’ve seen a rebound in bitcoin, alongside precious metals, despite the action in Venezuela, “but likely not necessarily because of it.”

“It’s more likely we’re seeing this rebound because bitcoin was heavily oversold last year and investors are rebalancing portfolios,” he said.

Puckrin added that trading volumes still remain muted, however.

“We would need to see further improvement here for confirmation that this upward trend has legs. For now, it could be more of a reflexive bounce than a sustained shift in momentum,” he said.

Timothy Misir, head of research at Blockhead Research Network, echoed the sentiment, saying that this is a market stabilizing, not accelerating.

“The coming weeks will determine whether fresh capital can translate into durable momentum or whether time remains the dominant force shaping price,” Misir said. 

On Monday, bitcoin ETFs recorded their largest inflows since October 7, totaling $697.25 million, with BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust taking the lion’s share at $372.4 million, according to SoSoValue.

Also reflecting optimism, the CoinMarketCap Fear and Greed Index stood at 49, its highest level since early October, when the crypto market experienced enormous liquidations.

Short-term, a critical level to watch for bitcoin is $107,500, as this is where a structural break would occur, said Gracy Chen, CEO of Bitget.

She said that if the price consolidates above this level, “whether through a pullback or without it, BTC could continue moving higher toward a new ATH and beyond.”

Looking ahead, Farzam Ehsani, CEO of VALR, told Sherwood that aggressive price growth in bitcoin is likely to begin once the rally in precious metals fades, as the asset’s sideways movement against the backdrop of record-breaking gains in gold and silver resembles a calm before the storm, typically followed by a broader crypto market rally.

“The end of the precious metals rally could act like a lit match in a powder keg,” he said.

Ehsani estimated that in the first quarter of 2026, bitcoin could rise to $130,000, while in the unlikely event of a sharp decline in precious metal prices back to early 2025 levels, it could surpass $200,000.

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Buterin’s sales, ETF outflow streak weigh on ethereum

The price of ethereum remains under pressure as ethereum cofounder Vitalik Buterin selling a tranche of his holdings and sustained spot ETF outflows act as headwinds for the second-largest cryptocurrency. 

Buterin sold $5.9 million worth of ethereum over the past several days after withdrawing 3,500 tokens from lending protocol Aave, on-chain data from blockchain analytics firm Arkham Intelligence shows. Since the beginning of the month, Buterin has reportedly sold 8,000 tokens.

Vitalik Buterin sells ethereum

“Historically, his sales have funded ecosystem development or philanthropy rather than signaling reduced conviction,” per Kelly Ye, deputy chief investment officer of Avenir Group. “It may create short-term sentiment pressure, but it’s not necessarily a structural negative — especially given his continued active role in building ethereum,” Ye told Sherwood News.

Meanwhile, spot ethereum ETFs recorded $123.4 million in outflows last week, marking the fifth consecutive week of outflows. In total, nearly $1.4 billion has exited from the funds during the stretch, data from SoSoValue shows. “ETF outflows reflect positioning and liquidity conditions more than protocol fundamentals. ETH is still being treated tactically by many allocators rather than as a core allocation,” Ye added.

The longest outflow streak for the investment vehicles is eight weeks, occurring between February and April 2025, when the cryptocurrency dropped from $2,200 to under $1,600. 

Still, pockets of demand persist. BitMine Immersion Technologies, the leading ethereum treasury firm, acquired roughly $100 million worth of tokens last week, according to a press release

“In the midst of this ‘mini crypto winter,’ our focus continues to be on methodically executing our treasury strategy and steadily acquiring ETH and in turn, optimizing the yield on our ETH holdings,” BitMine Chairman Tom Lee said in a statement.

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC.