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Bitcoin options traders betting on bitcoin below $100,000

The put-to-call volume ratio on the largest bitcoin options platform has surged to 2.17 over the past 24 hours.

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy

While bitcoin hasn’t budged much since the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East, Bloomberg reports that “bitcoin options show traders are hedging against a price pullback to the $100,000 price level with geopolitical and economic uncertainty rising across global financial markets.”

Bitcoin has been trading mostly in the $104,000 to $109,000 range over the past week.

“The put-to-call volume ratio on the crypto derivatives exchange Deribit surged to 2.17 over the past 24 hours, reflecting a strong tilt toward protective bets,” Bloomberg added.

Stephen Wundke, director of strategy and revenue at quantitative digital asset investment firm Algoz, told Sherwood News that the crucial level for bitcoin currently is the $100,000 mark.

“In light of the significant speculation around US involvement in the Middle East, the longer BTC stays above this $100,000 level, the more bullish BTC looks. Should the $100,000 level break, then the next stop that’s important would be $93,000, but what might force that remains to be seen,” Wundke said.

Bitcoin treasury companies don’t appear to share the bearish sentiment of the options market and continue to accumulate the asset, with French company The Blockchain Group acquiring 182 bitcoin for about $19.6 million, giving it a total of 1,653 bitcoin.

Meanwhile, Fold Holdings announced it had entered into an agreement for a $250 million equity purchase facility to acquire additional bitcoin, and Asian food company DDC Enterprise announced a $528 million raise to “accelerate its bitcoin treasury strategy.”

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OP token rises after payments card provider Ether.fi finalizes migration to the layer 2 network

OP, the governance token for OP Mainnet, has increased as much as 5% since Tuesday night following news that Ether.fi, a decentralized finance protocol known for providing noncustodial crypto payment cards, completed its migration to the ethereum layer 2 blockchain network. 

Ether.fi’s move resulted in around $220 million in total value locked coming to OP Mainnet, the largest single TVL event in the network’s history, as well as over 70,000 payment cards and more than 300,000 accounts, according to a blog post from Ether.fi

Originally on alternative layer 2 network Scroll, Ether.fi made the switch to OP Mainnet due to lower median transaction fees of $0.00001 and sub-250-millisecond finality times. 

“To ship what comes next, we needed infrastructure that could handle real-time payments at consumer volume,” Ether.fi CEO Mike Silagadze told Sherwood News. “OP Mainnet delivered on every dimension. Three days to migrate $220M with no downtime answered the question. Now we get to build.” 

The migration comes about two months after Coinbase-incubated blockchain Base announced moving away from Optimism’s OP Stack. 

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Ethereum climbs to highest point since end of January

Ethereum has rallied 8% in the last 24 hours to trade just under the $2,390 level, liquidating over $151.7 million worth of ethereum short positions in the period. 

The last time ethereum was at its current level was the last day of January, data from CoinGecko shows.

According to Jim Hwang, COO of investment company Firinne Capital, ETH has been acting as a risk asset: declining in times of heightened uncertainties such as the conflict in Iran, inflation expectations, and diminished rate cut hopes.

“Only in the last 24+ hours when these uncertainties have diminished are we seeing prices lift again. We can feel a bit of optimism but to the extent that this cease fire remains tentative, we should probably view the current ETH price gains with caution,” Hwang told Sherwood News. 

A GlassNode senior analyst, who maintains the pseudonymous X account CryptoVizArt, said on X that ethereum has “reclaimed the one-to-three month holder cost basis at around $2,300. So far, this structure is consistent with a bear market relief rally, comparable to the bounces observed in Q3-Q4 2022, rather than a structural trend reversal.” 

Tom Lee, chairman of ethereum treasury firm BitMine Immersion Technologies, said ethereum’s performance since the start of the Iran conflict demonstrates how the cryptocurrency is a “wartime store of value,” per the firm’s press release on Monday, in which it announced acquired 71,524 additional tokens worth $170.5 million. That brings its total stockpile to nearly 4.9 million tokens, or 4% of the total supply of ethereum. 

That said, the founder of venture capital firm Kenetic, Jehan Chu, told Sherwood, “It’s clear that regaining ATH [all-time high] will take real-world revenue-generation, and not just a Tom Lee narrative.” 

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