Crypto
Bitcoin Continues Months-Long Steep Decline In Value
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Crypto Winter

Bitcoin rebounds after dreadful day that saw $1.26 billion in liquidations

CoinMarketCap’s Crypto Fear and Greed Index is at an all-time low of 5, representing “extreme fear.”

The bloodbath bitcoin’s been suffering seems to have been staunched, at least as of Friday morning, following the asset dropping to the $63,000 level on Thursday, it’s lowest price since October 2024. Bitcoin has climbed back above $68,000, but that’s still a 46% drop from its October 6 all-time high. This also marks bitcoin’s largest two-week drawdown since June 2022, according to K33 Research.

Reflecting the market panic, CoinMarketCap’s Fear and Greed Index hit an all-time low of 5, reflecting “extreme fear.”

Meanwhile, crypto liquidations reached $2.42 billion in the past 24 hours, CoinGlass data shows. Bitcoin suffered $1.26 billion in liquidations, with the bulk of them — $984.25 million — in long positions.

Bitunix analyst Dean Chen told Sherwood News that at this stage, the crypto market functions largely as a reflection of overall risk sentiment.

“Bitcoin has retraced toward its weekly demand zone, trading around the $66,000 level. Key structural support lies in the $62,000–$60,000 range, while a recovery above $71,000–$73,000 would be needed to signal an improvement in risk absorption,” Chen said. “Until political uncertainty is further digested, price action is likely to remain dominated by consolidation and post-deleveraging rebalancing rather than a renewed directional trend.”

Bitcoin ETFs continue to be in the red, with $434 million in outflows on Thursday. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust, which was close to $100 billion in assets under management in October, is now down to $48.68 billion, SoSoValue data shows.

John Glover, CIO of Ledn, told Sherwood that bitcoin’s current retreat also calls into question whether we see highs above $100,000 at all in 2026. 

“There is something structural in the market that is causing weakness, but one thing is clear: the bears are attacking the bulls,” he said.

Longer-term, Josh Olszewicz, VP head of trading at Canary Capital, also told Sherwood that the dearth of any bullish catalysts at the moment and the macro backdrop remaining unsupportive for crypto assets leads him to expect the bear market to likely last until Q4 of this year, “with BTC price eventually stabilizing in the $50-$60k region around the 200-week moving average,” he said.

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Altcoin trading activity has lost its mojo

Non-bitcoin cryptocurrencies have seen their trading volume plummet in the past five months. The combined trading volume of ethereum, XRP, solana, dogecoin, SUI, and chainlink has decreased by 60% since crypto’s October 10 liquidation event, according to Thomas Probst, a research analyst at crypto markets data provider Kaiko.

Main Altcoins Trading Volume in USD
The trading volume of ETH, SOL, XRP, DOGE, SUI, and LINK.

For all altcoins, spot trading volume on Binance has declined between 80% and 85% to $7.7 billion, while altcoin volume on other exchanges has dropped to $18.8 billion, down from a range of $63 billion to $91 billion in October, a Friday report from Decrypt found, citing data from CryptoQuant.

“This trend may be explained by a contraction in market liquidity over the same period,” Probst told Sherwood News. “This phenomenon is also reflected in the average 1% market depth, which stood at approximately $2.6 million before the October 10 crash and is now closer to $1.7 million when aggregated across ETH, XRP, SOL, SUI, and LINK.” 

Market depth is used by investors and traders to gauge the scale of liquidity in a market. 1% market depth refers to the amount of liquidity needed to move the market by 1%. 

CoinGlass’s Altcoin Season Index, a measure to assess the performance of non-bitcoin cryptocurrencies, has been sitting above 50 this week, suggesting that the current market is neither in a bitcoin dominant phase nor an altcoin season.

Witch

“Triple witching” day may put further pressure on bitcoin’s price

This is not “a favorable environment for risk assets.”

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Payward, parent company of crypto exchange Kraken, puts plans for IPO on hold

Payward, crypto exchange Kraken’s parent company, has paused its plans for an initial public offering until market conditions improve, according to a report from CoinDesk that cited two people with knowledge of the matter. 

Since the firm announced in November its preparation for an IPO of its common stock, the total market capitalization of the crypto industry has shed around $652.2 billion, from $3.2 trillion to $2.5 trillion as of Wednesday, data from CoinGecko shows. 

The news comes two weeks after Kraken received approval for a master account from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, allowing the crypto exchange to connect to the Fed’s payment infrastructure used by traditional banks and credit unions. 

Last year, Kraken raised $800 million at a $20 billion valuation from institutional investors such as Jane Street and Citadel Securities.

The news comes two weeks after Kraken received approval for a master account from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, allowing the crypto exchange to connect to the Fed’s payment infrastructure used by traditional banks and credit unions. 

Last year, Kraken raised $800 million at a $20 billion valuation from institutional investors such as Jane Street and Citadel Securities.

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