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Crypto treasury bets are entirely unprofitable

The total unrealized loss of 22 digital asset treasury firms currently amounts to more than $19 billion.

Sage D. Young

Corporate bets on crypto treasuries are roundly unprofitable as the market remains under pressure.

Of the over 20 digital asset treasury firms tracked by blockchain analytics firm Artemis, every single one has an unrealized loss with a cost basis exceeding the spot prices of its holdings. The total unrealized loss of these firms amount to more than $19 billion.

Ethereum-focused firms BitMine Immersion Technologies, SharpLink Gaming, and The Ethereum Machine have a combined unrealized loss of $9.7 billion, compared to bitcoin-based companies Strategy, Twenty One Capital, and Bitcoin Standard, whose figure stands at $5.6 billion. 

Hyperion DeFi, which is building out its treasury with the native token of Hyperliquid, Hype, has the smallest unrealized loss of $9.3 million. 

“DATs [digital asset treasuries] are likely to consolidate, and expand their balance sheet by buying another DAT trading at a discount instead of further diluting their equity at current prices,” according to Mario Stefanidis, fundamental research lead at Artemis. The merger between Strive and Semler Scientific represents what a merger and acquisition in the industry can look like, Stefanidis said. 

“DATs trading meaningfully below all-time highs is not concerning in itself. However, investors who purchased into the complex at 3x mNAV [market-adjusted net asset value] only to experience a compression in parity along with a 40% drop in the underlying are severely underwater,” Stefanidis told Sherwood News. “These ‘burned’ investors are unlikely to underwrite future purchases of DATs at a premium to mNAV, having lost faith and capital in the complex.”

The cost basis of these firms is also unlikely to improve in the current market conditions, as crypto purchases have dropped off. “For ETH DATs for example, purchases peaked in August 2025 with 1.6 million ETH purchased in that month alone. Most recently in Jan 2026, net purchases were just 137K,” added Stefanidis. 

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Altcoin trading activity has lost its mojo

Non-bitcoin cryptocurrencies have seen their trading volume plummet in the past five months. The combined trading volume of ethereum, XRP, solana, dogecoin, SUI, and chainlink has decreased by 60% since crypto’s October 10 liquidation event, according to Thomas Probst, a research analyst at crypto markets data provider Kaiko.

Main Altcoins Trading Volume in USD
The trading volume of ETH, SOL, XRP, DOGE, SUI, and LINK.

For all altcoins, spot trading volume on Binance has declined between 80% and 85% to $7.7 billion, while altcoin volume on other exchanges has dropped to $18.8 billion, down from a range of $63 billion to $91 billion in October, a Friday report from Decrypt found, citing data from CryptoQuant.

“This trend may be explained by a contraction in market liquidity over the same period,” Probst told Sherwood News. “This phenomenon is also reflected in the average 1% market depth, which stood at approximately $2.6 million before the October 10 crash and is now closer to $1.7 million when aggregated across ETH, XRP, SOL, SUI, and LINK.” 

Market depth is used by investors and traders to gauge the scale of liquidity in a market. 1% market depth refers to the amount of liquidity needed to move the market by 1%. 

CoinGlass’s Altcoin Season Index, a measure to assess the performance of non-bitcoin cryptocurrencies, has been sitting above 50 this week, suggesting that the current market is neither in a bitcoin dominant phase nor an altcoin season.

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Payward, parent company of crypto exchange Kraken, puts plans for IPO on hold

Payward, crypto exchange Kraken’s parent company, has paused its plans for an initial public offering until market conditions improve, according to a report from CoinDesk that cited two people with knowledge of the matter. 

Since the firm announced in November its preparation for an IPO of its common stock, the total market capitalization of the crypto industry has shed around $652.2 billion, from $3.2 trillion to $2.5 trillion as of Wednesday, data from CoinGecko shows. 

The news comes two weeks after Kraken received approval for a master account from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, allowing the crypto exchange to connect to the Fed’s payment infrastructure used by traditional banks and credit unions. 

Last year, Kraken raised $800 million at a $20 billion valuation from institutional investors such as Jane Street and Citadel Securities.

The news comes two weeks after Kraken received approval for a master account from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, allowing the crypto exchange to connect to the Fed’s payment infrastructure used by traditional banks and credit unions. 

Last year, Kraken raised $800 million at a $20 billion valuation from institutional investors such as Jane Street and Citadel Securities.

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