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Ethereum ETFs in US on track for highest monthly outflow, while nascent solana ETFs only have inflows

Despite the outflows for ethereum and inflows for solana, both cryptocurrencies are down in November.

Sage D. Young

ethereum and solana have dropped 20% and 25%, respectively, in November, putting both at lows not seen since at least July. But their spot ETFs tell a different story: one marked by substantial outflows and the other with a completely positive streak.

Spot ethereum ETFs recorded their third-highest weekly outflow last week since their inception, at $728.6 million, making November the investment funds’ worst month so far, with over $1.2 billion in outflows, per SoSoValue.

In contrast, solana’s spot ETFs have notched 14 days of consecutive inflows since Bitwise and Grayscale debuted the funds in late October, for a total of $382 million. This is a substantial difference than ethereum ETFs’ debut, which saw $405.9 million in outflows in their first 14 days. 

“SOL ETFs are far less significant than ETH ETFs, simply because, on a market-cap-weighted basis, they represent a much smaller portion of the total supply,” according to Simon Dedic, CEO and partner at crypto-native investment firm Moonrock Capital.

Spot ethereum ETFs hold nearly 6.4 million ethereum tokens worth $20.1 billion, or 5.3% of the supply, while solana ETFs have 0.6% of the token’s supply.

“Since the SOL ETFs just launched, I wouldn’t expect their flows to behave like ETH ETF flows, which have already stabilized after their early AUM growth phase,” Dedic told Sherwood News. 

Tom Lee, the chairman of the largest ethereum treasury firm, BitMine Immersion Technologies, said in a Monday press release:

“Crypto prices have not recovered since the liquidation event on Oct 10th. And the lingering weakness has the hallmarks of a market maker (or two) suffering from a crippled balance sheet.

When a market maker has a ‘hole’ on their balance sheet, they are seeking to raise capital and are reducing their liquidity functions in the market. This is the equivalent of QT (quantitative tightening) for crypto and has the effect of dampening prices.”

Lee argued that crypto prices have not peaked and predicted a cycle top will likely come in 12 to 36 months.

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OP token rises after payments card provider Ether.fi finalizes migration to the layer 2 network

OP, the governance token for OP Mainnet, has increased as much as 5% since Tuesday night following news that Ether.fi, a decentralized finance protocol known for providing noncustodial crypto payment cards, completed its migration to the ethereum layer 2 blockchain network. 

Ether.fi’s move resulted in around $220 million in total value locked coming to OP Mainnet, the largest single TVL event in the network’s history, as well as over 70,000 payment cards and more than 300,000 accounts, according to a blog post from Ether.fi

Originally on alternative layer 2 network Scroll, Ether.fi made the switch to OP Mainnet due to lower median transaction fees of $0.00001 and sub-250-millisecond finality times. 

“To ship what comes next, we needed infrastructure that could handle real-time payments at consumer volume,” Ether.fi CEO Mike Silagadze told Sherwood News. “OP Mainnet delivered on every dimension. Three days to migrate $220M with no downtime answered the question. Now we get to build.” 

The migration comes about two months after Coinbase-incubated blockchain Base announced moving away from Optimism’s OP Stack. 

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Ethereum climbs to highest point since end of January

Ethereum has rallied 8% in the last 24 hours to trade just under the $2,390 level, liquidating over $151.7 million worth of ethereum short positions in the period. 

The last time ethereum was at its current level was the last day of January, data from CoinGecko shows.

According to Jim Hwang, COO of investment company Firinne Capital, ETH has been acting as a risk asset: declining in times of heightened uncertainties such as the conflict in Iran, inflation expectations, and diminished rate cut hopes.

“Only in the last 24+ hours when these uncertainties have diminished are we seeing prices lift again. We can feel a bit of optimism but to the extent that this cease fire remains tentative, we should probably view the current ETH price gains with caution,” Hwang told Sherwood News. 

A GlassNode senior analyst, who maintains the pseudonymous X account CryptoVizArt, said on X that ethereum has “reclaimed the one-to-three month holder cost basis at around $2,300. So far, this structure is consistent with a bear market relief rally, comparable to the bounces observed in Q3-Q4 2022, rather than a structural trend reversal.” 

Tom Lee, chairman of ethereum treasury firm BitMine Immersion Technologies, said ethereum’s performance since the start of the Iran conflict demonstrates how the cryptocurrency is a “wartime store of value,” per the firm’s press release on Monday, in which it announced acquired 71,524 additional tokens worth $170.5 million. That brings its total stockpile to nearly 4.9 million tokens, or 4% of the total supply of ethereum. 

That said, the founder of venture capital firm Kenetic, Jehan Chu, told Sherwood, “It’s clear that regaining ATH [all-time high] will take real-world revenue-generation, and not just a Tom Lee narrative.” 

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