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Ethereum hits three-month low as price decline outpaces crypto peers

Spot ethereum ETFs also a fifth straight day of outflows, with roughly $219 million leaving the investment funds on Tuesday.

The price of ethereum dropped to a three-month low on Tuesday, slipping as low as $3,097, though it has recovered Wednesday. Still, its drop over the past 24 hours was the worst among the top 50 tokens by market capitalization, data pulled from CoinGecko shows.

The price action comes as spot ethereum ETFs recorded five straight days of outflows, with $219.4 million leaving the investment funds Tuesday. The ongoing streak’s total outflow now stands at $719 million, per SoSoValue.

Ethereum’s decline comes as several major treasury firms have an outstanding mNAV under 1. The metric, defined as a company’s market cap divided by the value of its crypto asset holdings, matters because it shows how much a company is worth in the public market relative to the worth of its ethereum assets, per Tony Lau, an investment partner at Primitive Ventures.

BitMine Immersion Technologies and SharpLink Gaming, the two largest ethereum treasury firms, have an mNAV of 0.93 and 0.85, respectively. The mNAVs of Fg Nexus Inc., ETHZilla, and Blockchain Technology Consensus Solutions, which have combined holdings of $727 million ethereum tokens, range 0.6 to 0.77, according to Blockworks Research.

“When mNAV>1, the company is worth more than the ethereum they are holding and hence they can do ATM (stock issuance at the market price) to buy ethereum to make the shareholder accretive on a ETH per share basis,” Lau told Sherwood News.

On the other hand, when the metric dips under 1, a firm is worth less than its ethereum holdings, losing its capacity to issue shares and buy ethereum because it doesn’t make economic sense for the company’s shareholders, Lau continued.

Ethereum was fundamentally the same when it was trading at the $2,000 level, but “now we do not have mNAV premiums anymore, treasury companies are not able to capture those premiums by doing ATM to accumulate ETH,” Lau wrote. “Moreover we are seeing treasury companies like ETHZilla selling their ETH holdings when mNAV is below 1, adding more selling pressure to Ethereum.”

Last week, ETHZilla announced it sold $40 million of its ethereum treasury to facilitate stock repurchases and has plans to continue offloading the token “until the discount to NAV is normalized,” its press release stated.

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Ethereum at a nine-month low after shedding over $100 billion in market cap in a week

Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency, has shed over $100 billion of its market capitalization in the last seven days as the price falls under the $2,200 level, a nearly nine-month low, data from CoinGecko shows

Marking a bottom on any market action is difficult, but the price of ethereum still remains weak with more downside risks. Jim Hwang, COO of crypto investment firm Firinne Capital, told Sherwood News, “Looking back to the volatility back in April 2025, we see that there may be support around $1,500.” 

Meanwhile, spot ethereum ETFs have recorded $342 million in outflows so far this year. The token’s price action and ETF outflows are in “stark contradiction” to the network’s fundamentals, namely the increase in the amount of real-world assets tokenized and usage metrics, Hwang argued.

Ethereum’s price slump comes as cofounder Vitalik Buterin said on Tuesday that the “original vision of L2s and their role in Ethereum no longer makes sense,” pointing to how the progress of layer 2 networks has been slower and more difficult than initially expected, while the “L1 is itself scaling” and reducing fees.

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Bitcoin drops to lowest level since day after Trump’s election win

Bitcoin dropped to its lowest level since November 6, 2024, the day after the US presidential election, when it had been in ascendance amid unbridled enthusiasm about the incoming “crypto president.”

While the asset had a quick rebound from the weekend bloodbath, it is now down 2.2% in the past hour, which has brought the price below its lows seen in the sessions following the announcement of reciprocal tariffs on “Liberation Day” in April 2025.

It briefly broke below $74,000 and, according to Bernstein analyst Gautam Chhugani, could still “bottom out” in the $60,000 levels.

Several experts said bitcoin was in the throes of a bear market, including Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan, who nevertheless said it was “close to an end.”

Bitfinex analysts said that the broader flow picture suggests a clear risk-off rotation, with investors reallocating toward cash and gold amid rising macroeconomic and political uncertainty.

“In this environment, the lack of ETF absorption has amplified downside volatility, reinforcing the importance of institutional spot demand as a stabilizing force during periods of market stress,” they said.

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Standard Chartered predicts solana will more than double in price by end of year

The price of solana is trading at $100, a nearly two-year low, but Standard Chartered forecasts that the token will climb to $250 by the end of 2026. 

Geoff Kendrick, the bank’s global head of digital asset research, pointed to flows on decentralized exchanges on solana beginning to shift from meme coins to solana-stablecoin pairs, aided by AI-driven micropayments. 

“AI-driven micropayments using stablecoins are starting to demonstrate that the ‘order of magnitude’ cost reduction on solana can enable entirely new markets (in this case micropayments) to develop,” Kendrick wrote in a Tuesday note. 

Market-implied probabilities derived from event contracts show that investors think there’s a 30% chance the token will go lower than $40 in 2026. On the bullish side, traders are pricing in a 41% chance it will climb higher that $200 in the same period.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

Even though the firm expects solana to trade significantly higher by the end of the year, the firm lowered its initial forecast of $310 and predicts the token will underperform ethereum in the next two years.

“Beyond that, if it achieves sufficient scale, we think SOL will be due for a catch-up as this new market takes shape,” Kendrick said.

On a longer horizon, Standard Chartered predicts the token will climb to $2,000 by 2030.

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