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Ethereum hits three-month low as price decline outpaces crypto peers

Spot ethereum ETFs also a fifth straight day of outflows, with roughly $219 million leaving the investment funds on Tuesday.

The price of ethereum dropped to a three-month low on Tuesday, slipping as low as $3,097, though it has recovered Wednesday. Still, its drop over the past 24 hours was the worst among the top 50 tokens by market capitalization, data pulled from CoinGecko shows.

The price action comes as spot ethereum ETFs recorded five straight days of outflows, with $219.4 million leaving the investment funds Tuesday. The ongoing streak’s total outflow now stands at $719 million, per SoSoValue.

Ethereum’s decline comes as several major treasury firms have an outstanding mNAV under 1. The metric, defined as a company’s market cap divided by the value of its crypto asset holdings, matters because it shows how much a company is worth in the public market relative to the worth of its ethereum assets, per Tony Lau, an investment partner at Primitive Ventures.

BitMine Immersion Technologies and SharpLink Gaming, the two largest ethereum treasury firms, have an mNAV of 0.93 and 0.85, respectively. The mNAVs of Fg Nexus Inc., ETHZilla, and Blockchain Technology Consensus Solutions, which have combined holdings of $727 million ethereum tokens, range 0.6 to 0.77, according to Blockworks Research.

“When mNAV>1, the company is worth more than the ethereum they are holding and hence they can do ATM (stock issuance at the market price) to buy ethereum to make the shareholder accretive on a ETH per share basis,” Lau told Sherwood News.

On the other hand, when the metric dips under 1, a firm is worth less than its ethereum holdings, losing its capacity to issue shares and buy ethereum because it doesn’t make economic sense for the company’s shareholders, Lau continued.

Ethereum was fundamentally the same when it was trading at the $2,000 level, but “now we do not have mNAV premiums anymore, treasury companies are not able to capture those premiums by doing ATM to accumulate ETH,” Lau wrote. “Moreover we are seeing treasury companies like ETHZilla selling their ETH holdings when mNAV is below 1, adding more selling pressure to Ethereum.”

Last week, ETHZilla announced it sold $40 million of its ethereum treasury to facilitate stock repurchases and has plans to continue offloading the token “until the discount to NAV is normalized,” its press release stated.

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Altcoin trading activity has lost its mojo

Non-bitcoin cryptocurrencies have seen their trading volume plummet in the past five months. The combined trading volume of ethereum, XRP, solana, dogecoin, SUI, and chainlink has decreased by 60% since crypto’s October 10 liquidation event, according to Thomas Probst, a research analyst at crypto markets data provider Kaiko.

Main Altcoins Trading Volume in USD
The trading volume of ETH, SOL, XRP, DOGE, SUI, and LINK.

For all altcoins, spot trading volume on Binance has declined between 80% and 85% to $7.7 billion, while altcoin volume on other exchanges has dropped to $18.8 billion, down from a range of $63 billion to $91 billion in October, a Friday report from Decrypt found, citing data from CryptoQuant.

“This trend may be explained by a contraction in market liquidity over the same period,” Probst told Sherwood News. “This phenomenon is also reflected in the average 1% market depth, which stood at approximately $2.6 million before the October 10 crash and is now closer to $1.7 million when aggregated across ETH, XRP, SOL, SUI, and LINK.” 

Market depth is used by investors and traders to gauge the scale of liquidity in a market. 1% market depth refers to the amount of liquidity needed to move the market by 1%. 

CoinGlass’s Altcoin Season Index, a measure to assess the performance of non-bitcoin cryptocurrencies, has been sitting above 50 this week, suggesting that the current market is neither in a bitcoin dominant phase nor an altcoin season.

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This is not “a favorable environment for risk assets.”

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Payward, parent company of crypto exchange Kraken, puts plans for IPO on hold

Payward, crypto exchange Kraken’s parent company, has paused its plans for an initial public offering until market conditions improve, according to a report from CoinDesk that cited two people with knowledge of the matter. 

Since the firm announced in November its preparation for an IPO of its common stock, the total market capitalization of the crypto industry has shed around $652.2 billion, from $3.2 trillion to $2.5 trillion as of Wednesday, data from CoinGecko shows. 

The news comes two weeks after Kraken received approval for a master account from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, allowing the crypto exchange to connect to the Fed’s payment infrastructure used by traditional banks and credit unions. 

Last year, Kraken raised $800 million at a $20 billion valuation from institutional investors such as Jane Street and Citadel Securities.

The news comes two weeks after Kraken received approval for a master account from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, allowing the crypto exchange to connect to the Fed’s payment infrastructure used by traditional banks and credit unions. 

Last year, Kraken raised $800 million at a $20 billion valuation from institutional investors such as Jane Street and Citadel Securities.

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