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Litecoin and solana ETFs have the best chance of approval, Bloomberg says

Even as the SEC delayed decisions on several crypto ETFs this week, odds are still high that new altcoin ETFs will eventually be approved.

The race to launch altcoin and meme coin spot ETFs is heating up, with a mind-blowing 72 filings so far, including ones for dogecoin, XRP, and $TRUMP. However, not all of these have an equal chance of approval.

Bloomberg Intelligence’s James Seyffart estimates the likelihood of a litecoin ETF or Solana ETF approval at 90%. Grayscale, Bitwise, and Franklin Templeton are among the firms awaiting decisions on funds tied to these assets. Interestingly, solana is the sixth-largest crypto by market cap, at $75.6 billion, while litecoin is a distant 24th with a $6.36 billion market cap. 

Seyffart puts the odds for an XRP ETF at 85%, though a report from Kaiko Research put it at the front of the crypto ETF race.

Finally, both dogecoin and hedera ETFs have an 80% chance of being approved, while the odds for avalanche, cardano, and polkadot ETFs are all at 75%.  

Earlier this month, Canada approved a solana spot ETF, making it the first country to do so. Canada was also the first to approve spot bitcoin ETFs.

Alexander Blume, CEO of Two Prime, said that while most applications, from XRP to dogecoin, will find their way to approval thanks to the crypto-friendly new administration, he strongly doubts their influence will be anything near that of bitcoin.

“These assets are highly speculative and have no real value. Institutional investors won’t be easily fooled by the ETF wrapper,” he said.

To put these new filings into perspective, the SEC approved bitcoin ETFs just over a year ago, in January 2024. Bitcoin spot ETFs have experienced significant success and just had their best week since December, with inflows totaling a whopping $3.2 billion.

Earlier this week, the Nasdaq exchange filed form 19b-4 with the SEC to list and trade the 21Shares dogecoin ETF. House of Doge, the corporate arm of the Dogecoin Foundation, filed for a dogecoin ETF with the SEC in tandem with 21Shares earlier this month.

Meanwhile, the SEC delayed several ETF decisions this week, including those for XRP, dogecoin, polkadot, and solana ETFs. The commission also delayed its decision on whether it would permit staking (locking up coins and earning rewards in return for helping to secure the blockchain) for the Franklin Templeton ethereum ETF.

“The Commission finds it appropriate to designate a longer period within which to take action on the proposed rule change so that it has sufficient time to consider the proposed rule change and the issues raised therein,” it said in the filing. The new date for next steps is June 15, while most final deadlines for approvals will be due in October.

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Ethereum at a nine-month low after shedding over $100 billion in market cap in a week

Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency, has shed over $100 billion of its market capitalization in the last seven days as the price falls under the $2,200 level, a nearly nine-month low, data from CoinGecko shows

Marking a bottom on any market action is difficult, but the price of ethereum still remains weak with more downside risks. Jim Hwang, COO of crypto investment firm Firinne Capital, told Sherwood News, “Looking back to the volatility back in April 2025, we see that there may be support around $1,500.” 

Meanwhile, spot ethereum ETFs have recorded $342 million in outflows so far this year. The token’s price action and ETF outflows are in “stark contradiction” to the network’s fundamentals, namely the increase in the amount of real-world assets tokenized and usage metrics, Hwang argued.

Ethereum’s price slump comes as cofounder Vitalik Buterin said on Tuesday that the “original vision of L2s and their role in Ethereum no longer makes sense,” pointing to how the progress of layer 2 networks has been slower and more difficult than initially expected, while the “L1 is itself scaling” and reducing fees.

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Bitcoin drops to lowest level since day after Trump’s election win

Bitcoin dropped to its lowest level since November 6, 2024, the day after the US presidential election, when it had been in ascendance amid unbridled enthusiasm about the incoming “crypto president.”

While the asset had a quick rebound from the weekend bloodbath, it is now down 2.2% in the past hour, which has brought the price below its lows seen in the sessions following the announcement of reciprocal tariffs on “Liberation Day” in April 2025.

It briefly broke below $74,000 and, according to Bernstein analyst Gautam Chhugani, could still “bottom out” in the $60,000 levels.

Several experts said bitcoin was in the throes of a bear market, including Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan, who nevertheless said it was “close to an end.”

Bitfinex analysts said that the broader flow picture suggests a clear risk-off rotation, with investors reallocating toward cash and gold amid rising macroeconomic and political uncertainty.

“In this environment, the lack of ETF absorption has amplified downside volatility, reinforcing the importance of institutional spot demand as a stabilizing force during periods of market stress,” they said.

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Standard Chartered predicts solana will more than double in price by end of year

The price of solana is trading at $100, a nearly two-year low, but Standard Chartered forecasts that the token will climb to $250 by the end of 2026. 

Geoff Kendrick, the bank’s global head of digital asset research, pointed to flows on decentralized exchanges on solana beginning to shift from meme coins to solana-stablecoin pairs, aided by AI-driven micropayments. 

“AI-driven micropayments using stablecoins are starting to demonstrate that the ‘order of magnitude’ cost reduction on solana can enable entirely new markets (in this case micropayments) to develop,” Kendrick wrote in a Tuesday note. 

Market-implied probabilities derived from event contracts show that investors think there’s a 30% chance the token will go lower than $40 in 2026. On the bullish side, traders are pricing in a 41% chance it will climb higher that $200 in the same period.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

Even though the firm expects solana to trade significantly higher by the end of the year, the firm lowered its initial forecast of $310 and predicts the token will underperform ethereum in the next two years.

“Beyond that, if it achieves sufficient scale, we think SOL will be due for a catch-up as this new market takes shape,” Kendrick said.

On a longer horizon, Standard Chartered predicts the token will climb to $2,000 by 2030.

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC.