Crypto
Trump signs bitcoin executive order
(White House X account)
₿itcoin’s ₿ack?

Why Trump’s bitcoin reserve is letting down his big crypto backers

The action came the night before hosting the first Crypto Summit in DC.

Late last evening and on the eve of the inaugural White House Crypto Summit, President Donald Trump signed an executive order to establish the much-awaited bitcoin reserve, clarifying some questions after his Sunday announcement, in which he said the reserve would include altcoins such as XRP, Solana, and cardano. The executive order clearly prioritizes bitcoin but does allow for “digital assets other than bitcoin.”

Bitcoin dropped sharply from $91,000 to $85,000 following the announcement. This morning, most cryptos were trending down, while bitcoin has somewhat stabilized around $89,000 as of 10 a.m. ET.

“Many investors anticipated a more aggressive commitment to outright purchases for the reserve, so this pullback reflects a recalibration of expectations,” said Alan Orwick, cofounder of Quai Network. “The EO’s language — focusing on ‘budget neutral’ stockpile rather than mandating immediate buys — likely tempered the initial hype.”

Trump’s AI and Crypto Czar David Sacks posted on X that the reserve will be “capitalized with bitcoin owned by the federal government that was forfeited as part of criminal or civil asset forfeiture proceedings. This means it will not cost taxpayers a dime.”

While this seems nice for taxpayers, it’s unclear if it’s legally feasible. Using confiscated crypto assets to partly fund the reserve instead of liquidating the coins at auction — as the government has done before — would require new legislation, experts told Sherwood News in December.  

Ari Redbord, VP and global head of policy and government affairs at TRM Labs, told Sherwood that this strategy seems very prudent.

“US law enforcement agencies, from the FBI to IRS-CI, have seized billions of dollars in illicit bitcoin — $3.6 billion in the Bitfinex case alone,” Redbord said. “Ensuring an accurate accounting of those assets and putting them to use for the benefit of the US Treasury is critical.”

Redbord said this approach strikes the right balance: prioritizing the seizure of funds tied to hacks, ransomware attacks, scams, and fraud while ensuring they are used effectively for the American people.

“Utilizing trained federal agents with access to blockchain intelligence tools is the ultimate argument for government efficiency,” he said. 

The order also clarifies who will custody the assets, noting “responsible stewardship of the government’s digital assets under the Treasury Department.” 

André Dragosch, director and head of research for Bitwise, told Sherwood that the devil is in the details, saying that Sacks stated in his tweet that purchases of additional bitcoins would need to adhere to “budget neutrality.”

“Meaning the US government probably can’t increase the deficit to buy bitcoin, but that will ultimately depend on their interpretation of budget-neutrality (short- vs. long-term),” Dragosch said.

The fact sheet says the non-bitcoin digital assets will not be purchased and will be only “those obtained through forfeiture proceedings.”

Michael Bucella, cofounder of Neoclassic Capital and member of the board of directors of TeraWulf, said he’s glad the reserve was simplified “from a seemingly arbitrary basket to one of just bitcoin.”

“It is the cleanest path forward from a crypto perspective, as I have no doubt the discourse over the announcement generally will be tremendous,” Bucella said, adding that the idea of a bitcoin national reserve was almost unthinkable when he entered the industry in 2017.  “But here we are.”

“President Trump is leading on this issue because he listened to the millions of Americans looking for the inclusivity, transparency, and accountability that bitcoin provides,” Brian Morgenstern, head of public policy at Riot Platforms, told Sherwood. “His campaign promise to do this helped him get elected, and following through on it is a victory for the nation.” 

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Ethereum gives up its 2026 gains

As the overall market goes risk-off amid geopolitical tensions, ethereum has decreased 7% in the last 24 hours and is basically flat for 2026.

The cryptocurrency is hovering just below $3,000, a more than 10% pullback from this year’s high of around $3,350. The recent drawdown is the sharpest in the last 24 hours among its peers. Over the same period, bitcoin is down 3.6%, XRP dipped 5.2%, solana slumped 5.6%, and dogecoin tumbled 4%. 

Meanwhile, leading ethereum treasury firm BitMine Immersion Technologies, which recently announced a $200 million investment into Beast Industries, acquired an additional 35,268 ethereum tokens worth $108 million last week, bringing its total to 4.2 million tokens worth nearly $12.7 billion at current prices. 

The firm also allocated 581,920 tokens for staking, ethereum’s security mechanism. Participation has been on the rise, and the entry queue to start staking is multiple times longer than the exit line.

crypto

Ethereum parent chain sets new record in daily transactions

On Wednesday, the ethereum parent chain logged its highest-ever transaction count at over 2.5 million transactions, a roughly 34% increase from 1.9 million transactions on the first day of the new year, data from blockchain analytics firm Artemis shows. 

Artemis research analyst Alex Weseley told Sherwood News the largest drivers of the network’s transaction growth stems from Circle and Tether’s stablecoins, USDC and USDT, as usage of both are up over 200% year over year. 

“It has also been interesting to see that the average transaction fee has remained low at < $0.20 per transaction, compared to the $52 average transaction fee paid when transaction counts peaked in 2021,” Weseley added.

The all-time high follows the activation of Pectra and Fusaka last year, two network upgrades aimed at enhancing the scalability of ethereum. “The changes ethereum is making to scale the L1 are starting to pay off, though we are still in the early innings,” Weseley said.

The price of ethereum has increased ~7% in the past seven days, outpacing its peers bitcoin, XRP, solana, and dogecoin. Meanwhile, spot ethereum ETFs trading in the US have seen almost $415.9 million in total inflows during the year so far, with $175 million from Wednesday alone, per SoSoValue. 

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When will bitcoin break $100,000 again?

Bitcoin is having a strong start to 2026 that could see it catch up with precious metals’ rally. Bitcoin ETFs are also rallying, and saw their second consecutive day of massive inflows, recording $843.6 million on Wednesday, according to SoSoValue, bringing the total for the week to $1.7 billion.

Jake Kennis, research analyst at Nansen, told Sherwood News that a combination of easing inflation fears, geopolitical safe haven demand, stronger ETF inflows, and a technical breakout above $94,000 to $96,000 resistance are all converging to push BTC toward $100,000.

“The rally has solid institutional and onchain backing, but elevated leverage in futures markets and profit-taking by top traders near the $97K–$100K psychological resistance could trigger volatility,” Kennis said.

While bitcoin has retreated after nearing key resistance levels, Timot Lamarre, director of market research at Unchained, said that despite the asset having been well off all-time highs, it is set up for a sustainable run above $100,000.

“Institutions continue to open up bitcoin buying opportunities to new pools of capital, the macro environment continues to move toward significant monetary easing, and governments, companies, and individuals continue to increase their bitcoin stockpiles,” he said.

The analytics team at B2BINPAY echoed the sentiment, saying that the market structure remains bullish, “with potential to reach $100–105K in the coming weeks, potentially reaching the $120K–140K range later in 2026 if demand stays in place.” 

A failure would likely mean a pullback to the $88,000 to $90,000 range, where liquidity is already concentrated, they said.

“Another crucial marker is leverage. Funding rates and open interest are far from extreme, with total OI at around $65B. That’s high. Yet, it’s still below the prior record/near-record zone seen in 2025, around $72B–$75B. So the market isn’t stretched,” the analysts said.

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