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$1.4 billion in crypto positions liquidated, as bitcoin hits its lowest price since June

Bitcoin ETFs also continued to bleed, with $186.5 million in outflows on Monday.

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy

A whopping $1.4 billion in crypto positions have been liquidated in the past 24 hours, with $391 million in bitcoin long positions and $20.2 million in shorts, CoinGlass data shows.

Bitcoin continues its downward trajectory, dropping to its lowest level since June on Tuesday morning as risk appetite wanes. A combination of ETF outflows, macro and geopolitical concerns, and increasing concerns around digital asset treasuries selling are weighing on the asset, as the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index hits 21, “extreme fear.”

The asset is more than 17% below its October all-time high, “marking its weakest start to November since 2018,” said Timothy Misir, head of research at Blockhead Research Network.

Misir said the loss of $103,000 BTC support “would signal a shift from controlled correction to structural weakness.”

Meanwhile, market-implied probabilities derived from event contracts show that traders believe there’s a 74% chance bitcoin drops below $100,000 this year. Traders also see a 17% chance of a further drop below $80,000 in prediction markets.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

Bitcoin ETFs continue to suffer, with $186.5 million in outflows on Monday, all stemming from the largest bitcoin ETF, iShares Bitcoin Trust, according to SoSoValue. In comparison, solana ETFs, which made their debut last week, registered $70 million.

Maja Vujinovic, CEO and cofounder of digital assets at FG Nexus, told Sherwood News that too many traders were using borrowed money to bet on prices going up.

“The next few days matter: if bitcoin can stay above $100,000-$105,000, it might simply be a healthy reset. If not, we could see a deeper drop,” she said. “Big investors and companies should be cautious but also watch for smart buying opportunities, since the broader economy and market mood are still shaky.”

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$1.2B

XRP ETFs have now crossed $1 billion in assets since the funds launched, according to SoSoValue, which shows total assets of $1.18 billion.

In September, the SEC approved generic listing standards, which paved the way for speedier listings and opened the floodgates for these products, and shortly after, Rex-Osprey launched the first spot XRP ETF available in the US.

Canary followed suit in November, launching an ETF trading on the Nasdaq under the ticker XRPC, which saw a record $58.5 million in trading volume on its first day. It’s the largest XRP ETF in the US, with $342 million in assets.

Grayscale, Bitwise, and Franklin Templeton also launched their own XRP ETFs in November. On December 11, 21Shares joined the XRP fund party.

It’s a noteworthy green shoot in the crypto space, as bitcoin and its ETFs have struggled, and XRP itself is down nearly 15% over the past month.

Jake Hanley, managing director and senior portfolio specialist at Teucrium Investment Advisors — which launched the first-ever XRP-based ETF in April, the 2x Long Daily XRP ETF — told Sherwood News that he is not surprised to see this level of interest in the XRP ETFs.

“We have long held that XRP and the Ripple ecosystem present a unique investment case among crypto assets. Crossing the $1 billion mark is yet another signal of the significant vote of confidence investors have in this increasingly important asset and ecosystem,” Hanley said.

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New bitcoin AfterDark ETF will be bitcoin at night, Treasurys by day

Tidal Trust II submitted form N-1A with the SEC to register a bitcoin ETF designed to systemically capture the cryptocurrency’s overnight return profile, a time window that delivered a significant portion of bitcoin’s upside last year.

The Nicholas Bitcoin and Treasuries AfterDark ETF provides long bitcoin exposure during US overnight hours, from the closing bell until the following morning’s market open, when the fund intends to unwind its positions, according to a document filed with the SEC on Tuesday. 

To gain that exposure, the ETF may use a number of methods, including bitcoin futures contracts, US-listed ETFs, or exchange-traded options on such bitcoin underlying funds. When the market is open and daytime trading is active, the fund’s portfolio will consist of US Treasury securities and other cash equivalents. 

In 2024, most of bitcoin’s gains occurred after-hours, senior Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas reported:

The AfterDark ETF filing comes as bitcoin crossed $94,000 on Tuesday, rising 4.5% in the last 24 hours. Even though spot bitcoin ETFs saw nearly $60.5 million in outflows on Monday, the investment vehicles have a cumulative net inflow of $57.6 billion, per SoSoValue.

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