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$1.4 billion in crypto positions liquidated, as bitcoin hits its lowest price since June

Bitcoin ETFs also continued to bleed, with $186.5 million in outflows on Monday.

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy

A whopping $1.4 billion in crypto positions have been liquidated in the past 24 hours, with $391 million in bitcoin long positions and $20.2 million in shorts, CoinGlass data shows.

Bitcoin continues its downward trajectory, dropping to its lowest level since June on Tuesday morning as risk appetite wanes. A combination of ETF outflows, macro and geopolitical concerns, and increasing concerns around digital asset treasuries selling are weighing on the asset, as the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index hits 21, “extreme fear.”

The asset is more than 17% below its October all-time high, “marking its weakest start to November since 2018,” said Timothy Misir, head of research at Blockhead Research Network.

Misir said the loss of $103,000 BTC support “would signal a shift from controlled correction to structural weakness.”

Meanwhile, market-implied probabilities derived from event contracts show that traders believe there’s a 74% chance bitcoin drops below $100,000 this year. Traders also see a 17% chance of a further drop below $80,000 in prediction markets.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

Bitcoin ETFs continue to suffer, with $186.5 million in outflows on Monday, all stemming from the largest bitcoin ETF, iShares Bitcoin Trust, according to SoSoValue. In comparison, solana ETFs, which made their debut last week, registered $70 million.

Maja Vujinovic, CEO and cofounder of digital assets at FG Nexus, told Sherwood News that too many traders were using borrowed money to bet on prices going up.

“The next few days matter: if bitcoin can stay above $100,000-$105,000, it might simply be a healthy reset. If not, we could see a deeper drop,” she said. “Big investors and companies should be cautious but also watch for smart buying opportunities, since the broader economy and market mood are still shaky.”

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Ethereum at a nine-month low after shedding over $100 billion in market cap in a week

Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency, has shed over $100 billion of its market capitalization in the last seven days as the price falls under the $2,200 level, a nearly nine-month low, data from CoinGecko shows

Marking a bottom on any market action is difficult, but the price of ethereum still remains weak with more downside risks. Jim Hwang, COO of crypto investment firm Firinne Capital, told Sherwood News, “Looking back to the volatility back in April 2025, we see that there may be support around $1,500.” 

Meanwhile, spot ethereum ETFs have recorded $342 million in outflows so far this year. The token’s price action and ETF outflows are in “stark contradiction” to the network’s fundamentals, namely the increase in the amount of real-world assets tokenized and usage metrics, Hwang argued.

Ethereum’s price slump comes as cofounder Vitalik Buterin said on Tuesday that the “original vision of L2s and their role in Ethereum no longer makes sense,” pointing to how the progress of layer 2 networks has been slower and more difficult than initially expected, while the “L1 is itself scaling” and reducing fees.

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Bitcoin drops to lowest level since day after Trump’s election win

Bitcoin dropped to its lowest level since November 6, 2024, the day after the US presidential election, when it had been in ascendance amid unbridled enthusiasm about the incoming “crypto president.”

While the asset had a quick rebound from the weekend bloodbath, it is now down 2.2% in the past hour, which has brought the price below its lows seen in the sessions following the announcement of reciprocal tariffs on “Liberation Day” in April 2025.

It briefly broke below $74,000 and, according to Bernstein analyst Gautam Chhugani, could still “bottom out” in the $60,000 levels.

Several experts said bitcoin was in the throes of a bear market, including Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan, who nevertheless said it was “close to an end.”

Bitfinex analysts said that the broader flow picture suggests a clear risk-off rotation, with investors reallocating toward cash and gold amid rising macroeconomic and political uncertainty.

“In this environment, the lack of ETF absorption has amplified downside volatility, reinforcing the importance of institutional spot demand as a stabilizing force during periods of market stress,” they said.

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Standard Chartered predicts solana will more than double in price by end of year

The price of solana is trading at $100, a nearly two-year low, but Standard Chartered forecasts that the token will climb to $250 by the end of 2026. 

Geoff Kendrick, the bank’s global head of digital asset research, pointed to flows on decentralized exchanges on solana beginning to shift from meme coins to solana-stablecoin pairs, aided by AI-driven micropayments. 

“AI-driven micropayments using stablecoins are starting to demonstrate that the ‘order of magnitude’ cost reduction on solana can enable entirely new markets (in this case micropayments) to develop,” Kendrick wrote in a Tuesday note. 

Market-implied probabilities derived from event contracts show that investors think there’s a 30% chance the token will go lower than $40 in 2026. On the bullish side, traders are pricing in a 41% chance it will climb higher that $200 in the same period.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

Even though the firm expects solana to trade significantly higher by the end of the year, the firm lowered its initial forecast of $310 and predicts the token will underperform ethereum in the next two years.

“Beyond that, if it achieves sufficient scale, we think SOL will be due for a catch-up as this new market takes shape,” Kendrick said.

On a longer horizon, Standard Chartered predicts the token will climb to $2,000 by 2030.

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