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$1.4 billion in crypto positions liquidated, as bitcoin hits its lowest price since June

Bitcoin ETFs also continued to bleed, with $186.5 million in outflows on Monday.

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy

A whopping $1.4 billion in crypto positions have been liquidated in the past 24 hours, with $391 million in bitcoin long positions and $20.2 million in shorts, CoinGlass data shows.

Bitcoin continues its downward trajectory, dropping to its lowest level since June on Tuesday morning as risk appetite wanes. A combination of ETF outflows, macro and geopolitical concerns, and increasing concerns around digital asset treasuries selling are weighing on the asset, as the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index hits 21, “extreme fear.”

The asset is more than 17% below its October all-time high, “marking its weakest start to November since 2018,” said Timothy Misir, head of research at Blockhead Research Network.

Misir said the loss of $103,000 BTC support “would signal a shift from controlled correction to structural weakness.”

Meanwhile, market-implied probabilities derived from event contracts show that traders believe there’s a 74% chance bitcoin drops below $100,000 this year. Traders also see a 17% chance of a further drop below $80,000 in prediction markets.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

Bitcoin ETFs continue to suffer, with $186.5 million in outflows on Monday, all stemming from the largest bitcoin ETF, iShares Bitcoin Trust, according to SoSoValue. In comparison, solana ETFs, which made their debut last week, registered $70 million.

Maja Vujinovic, CEO and cofounder of digital assets at FG Nexus, told Sherwood News that too many traders were using borrowed money to bet on prices going up.

“The next few days matter: if bitcoin can stay above $100,000-$105,000, it might simply be a healthy reset. If not, we could see a deeper drop,” she said. “Big investors and companies should be cautious but also watch for smart buying opportunities, since the broader economy and market mood are still shaky.”

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Altcoin trading activity has lost its mojo

Non-bitcoin cryptocurrencies have seen their trading volume plummet in the past five months. The combined trading volume of ethereum, XRP, solana, dogecoin, SUI, and chainlink has decreased by 60% since crypto’s October 10 liquidation event, according to Thomas Probst, a research analyst at crypto markets data provider Kaiko.

Main Altcoins Trading Volume in USD
The trading volume of ETH, SOL, XRP, DOGE, SUI, and LINK.

For all altcoins, spot trading volume on Binance has declined between 80% and 85% to $7.7 billion, while altcoin volume on other exchanges has dropped to $18.8 billion, down from a range of $63 billion to $91 billion in October, a Friday report from Decrypt found, citing data from CryptoQuant.

“This trend may be explained by a contraction in market liquidity over the same period,” Probst told Sherwood News. “This phenomenon is also reflected in the average 1% market depth, which stood at approximately $2.6 million before the October 10 crash and is now closer to $1.7 million when aggregated across ETH, XRP, SOL, SUI, and LINK.” 

Market depth is used by investors and traders to gauge the scale of liquidity in a market. 1% market depth refers to the amount of liquidity needed to move the market by 1%. 

CoinGlass’s Altcoin Season Index, a measure to assess the performance of non-bitcoin cryptocurrencies, has been sitting above 50 this week, suggesting that the current market is neither in a bitcoin dominant phase nor an altcoin season.

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Payward, parent company of crypto exchange Kraken, puts plans for IPO on hold

Payward, crypto exchange Kraken’s parent company, has paused its plans for an initial public offering until market conditions improve, according to a report from CoinDesk that cited two people with knowledge of the matter. 

Since the firm announced in November its preparation for an IPO of its common stock, the total market capitalization of the crypto industry has shed around $652.2 billion, from $3.2 trillion to $2.5 trillion as of Wednesday, data from CoinGecko shows. 

The news comes two weeks after Kraken received approval for a master account from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, allowing the crypto exchange to connect to the Fed’s payment infrastructure used by traditional banks and credit unions. 

Last year, Kraken raised $800 million at a $20 billion valuation from institutional investors such as Jane Street and Citadel Securities.

The news comes two weeks after Kraken received approval for a master account from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, allowing the crypto exchange to connect to the Fed’s payment infrastructure used by traditional banks and credit unions. 

Last year, Kraken raised $800 million at a $20 billion valuation from institutional investors such as Jane Street and Citadel Securities.

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC. Futures and event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC.