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US office occupancy declined slightly since Amazon’s RTO announcement last month
Sherwood News

Amazon’s office policy hasn’t moved the needle on RTO

A month after Amazon said it was calling workers back to the office full time, office-occupancy rates for everyone else have gone down.

When Amazon CEO Andy Jassy announced last month that one of the largest employers in the country would require workers to return to the office five days a week, some speculated that it could spell the end of remote and hybrid work. Not so fast.

Data from office-keycard company Kastle shows that office occupancy has actually gone down slightly since the announcement. Last month, the 10-city average office-occupancy rate was 50.99% and now it’s 50%. In other words, companies haven’t immediately followed Amazon back to the office.

Stanford economist Nick Bloom, who helps run WFH Research, noted on LinkedIn that one reason could be that the “reputational and stock-price damage to Amazon has made other firms wary.” Amazon’s stock is down about 3% in the last month.

As Sherwood’s Jack Raines noted at the time, asking people to come back into the office five days a week appeared to be a cover for cutting head count. But it seems like layoffs by any other name are still perceived as layoffs.

The layoffs, at least, might be working.

To wit, an anonymous Blind survey of 2,585 Amazon workers after the announcement found that 91% were dissatisfied with the decision, and nearly three-quarters said they were looking for other employment because of the RTO mandate. Roughly a third of poll respondents said they knew someone who has already quit because of it.

“All else being equal, the average employee will choose to go to a company that offers more flexibility,” Rob Sadow, CEO and cofounder of Flex Index, told Sherwood last month. “So Amazon may have to pay more vs. a competitor for the same talent, and will be confined in their hiring to people who live within a reasonable geographic radius of their offices.”

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Saleah Blancaflor

Prediction markets show “One Battle After Another” leads in Oscar race for Best Picture

It’s finally Oscars week — and with voting officially closed, all that’s left to do is count the ballots and wait to see who wins this Sunday night. 

This year, the acting categories have been the most interesting to watch, especially the showdown between “Marty Supreme” star Timothée Chalamet and “Sinners” actor Michael B. Jordan for Best Actor. While Chalamet was long the favorite, Jordan has caught up and overtaken him after winning the Actor Award.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But perhaps the most exciting race of all is for Best Picture. Out of the 10 nominees, the two at the top are Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After Another” and Ryan Coogler’s “Sinners,” both of which are studio releases from Warner Bros. Discovery

Which will win the top prize seems to be split among award pundits and experts. As of Monday afternoon, Gold Derby still has “One Battle After Another” as the front-runner with odds of 76.87%. AwardsWatch, AwardsRadar, and Numlock Awards are also still predicting that “One Battle After Another” will take the statue for Best Picture.

On the other side, reporters from some major trade publications like Variety’s Clayton Davis and The Hollywood Reporter’s Scott Feinberg predict that “Sinners” will take the top honor.

Odds in the prediction markets currently show that “One Battle After Another” is still ahead of “Sinners,” with the former priced in at 75% while the latter is priced at 23%.

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