Culture
Los Angeles Premiere Of The Apple Original Film "Wolfs”
Brad Pitt & George Clooney attend premiere of Apple Original "Wolfs" (Photo Amy Sussman)
Straight to streaming

Apple spent billions making movies for theatrical release, it didn’t really work

The tech giant’s hits have been few and far between, so it’s starting to swerve cinemas again

Tom Jones

Apple will send more movies straight to streaming as it switches up its plan to pump $1 billion every year into theatrical releases, having spent more than $20 billion on a string of hit-and-miss movies and TV shows over the last 5 years. Its most recent effort, Wolfs — starring Brad Pitt & George Clooney — landed on Apple TV+ after a very limited theatrical run.

Two bites at the apple

While a handful of Apple’s efforts have proved popular with critics — it became the first streamer to pick up the Best Picture Oscar in 2022 with CODA — audiences haven’t always flocked to see them in theaters. Argylle, for example, was seen as a flop when it hit cinemas in February, grossing just $96 million at the global box office. However, the movie found success when it was later released on Apple TV+, perhaps taking some of the sting out of the film’s failure to meet the reported $500 million break-even point.

Apple TV+ movies
Sherwood News

While the iPhone-maker’s decision to pivot to making around a dozen movies each year, most of which will head straight to Apple TV+ and cost less than $100 million to produce, isn’t particularly exciting news for film fans, it makes sense from a business perspective. Even Apple’s biggest hits have lost money in theaters: the company’s 3 top-grossing movies of all time (Argylle, Martin Scorsese’s Killers of the Flower Moon, and Ridley Scott’s Napoleon) took a total of $476 million around the world, but cost Apple at least $700 million to make and market, per Variety.

If Apple execs need any other evidence that big budgets aren’t enough to guarantee success, they need to look no further than last weekend’s Megalopolis. The largely self-funded passion project of Hollywood royalty Francis Ford Coppola, which was rejected by studio after studio, took just ~$4 million domestically over its opening weekend. It cost ~$120 million to make.

More Culture

See all Culture
culture
Saleah Blancaflor

Prediction markets show “One Battle After Another” leads in Oscar race for Best Picture

It’s finally Oscars week — and with voting officially closed, all that’s left to do is count the ballots and wait to see who wins this Sunday night. 

This year, the acting categories have been the most interesting to watch, especially the showdown between “Marty Supreme” star Timothée Chalamet and “Sinners” actor Michael B. Jordan for Best Actor. While Chalamet was long the favorite, Jordan has caught up and overtaken him after winning the Actor Award.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But perhaps the most exciting race of all is for Best Picture. Out of the 10 nominees, the two at the top are Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After Another” and Ryan Coogler’s “Sinners,” both of which are studio releases from Warner Bros. Discovery

Which will win the top prize seems to be split among award pundits and experts. As of Monday afternoon, Gold Derby still has “One Battle After Another” as the front-runner with odds of 76.87%. AwardsWatch, AwardsRadar, and Numlock Awards are also still predicting that “One Battle After Another” will take the statue for Best Picture.

On the other side, reporters from some major trade publications like Variety’s Clayton Davis and The Hollywood Reporter’s Scott Feinberg predict that “Sinners” will take the top honor.

Odds in the prediction markets currently show that “One Battle After Another” is still ahead of “Sinners,” with the former priced in at 75% while the latter is priced at 23%.

Loading...
 
Loading...
 
culture
Saleah Blancaflor

Prediction markets show Jordan catching up to Chalamet following Actor Awards

The Screen Actors Guild hosted its Actor Awards on Sunday, with the film awards closely monitored ahead of the Academy Awards. The Best Supporting Actor and Actress races remain suspenseful as Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) and Amy Madigan (Weapons) took home the Actor Awards in those respective categories, shifting the odds in both markets predicting who’ll take home the Oscar.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But the most exciting race is for Best Actor. Several award pundits and experts predicted that Marty Supreme star Timothée Chalamet was a lock for the Actor Award despite his loss at the BAFTA Film Awards the previous weekend. But a few suggested that either Blue Moonlead Ethan Hawke or Michael B. Jordan could receive the honor instead. And thats exactly what happened when the Sinners star was announced as the winner.

While some have pointed out that the Actor Awards arent a reliable signifier for who will win the Oscar (Demi Moore and Chalamet received the SAG honors last year, but didn’t win the Oscar), it certainly puts Jordan at a higher advantage and makes the Best Actor race closer than its ever been. Chalamet previously had a higher lead in the prediction markets, but markets are now pricing in a 49% chance he takes the Oscar while Jordan’s odds have risen to 40%.

Loading...
 
Loading...
 

Latest Stories

Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC. Futures and event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC.