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The Animation Guild ratified its new contract with studios, despite members’ AI concerns

Max Knoblauch

After three months of negotiations, the more than 5,000-member Animation Guild (a Hollywood union representing artists, writers, and other animation workers) has ratified a new contract. But as with so many issues in the industry today, the specter of AI looms.

The three-year deal, which covers animation studios including Netflix, Disney, and Warner Bros. Discovery, will see member wages climb 7% in the first year, followed by smaller additional bumps in the following years.

Still, the deal, which was tentatively struck late last month, doesn’t address AI concerns that some workers view as critical. The lack of AI protections remains a longer-term issue that the industry is still working through: a study released by the guild earlier this year found that around 30% of animation jobs could be disrupted by AI in the next three years.

Earlier this month, some negotiating committee members said they’d vote against the deal, saying it didn’t provide workers with enough protection against AI. For example, the new contract doesn’t allow guild members to opt out of using AI or having their work be used to train AI models.

Just over three quarters of voting members approved the new contract — likely feeling the pressure amid Hollywood’s lengthy labor contraction and an increase in Hollywood animation outsourcing. Its last contract was approved by nearly 90% of members.

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Prediction markets show “One Battle After Another” leads in Oscar race for Best Picture

It’s finally Oscars week — and with voting officially closed, all that’s left to do is count the ballots and wait to see who wins this Sunday night. 

This year, the acting categories have been the most interesting to watch, especially the showdown between “Marty Supreme” star Timothée Chalamet and “Sinners” actor Michael B. Jordan for Best Actor. While Chalamet was long the favorite, Jordan has caught up and overtaken him after winning the Actor Award.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But perhaps the most exciting race of all is for Best Picture. Out of the 10 nominees, the two at the top are Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After Another” and Ryan Coogler’s “Sinners,” both of which are studio releases from Warner Bros. Discovery

Which will win the top prize seems to be split among award pundits and experts. As of Monday afternoon, Gold Derby still has “One Battle After Another” as the front-runner with odds of 76.87%. AwardsWatch, AwardsRadar, and Numlock Awards are also still predicting that “One Battle After Another” will take the statue for Best Picture.

On the other side, reporters from some major trade publications like Variety’s Clayton Davis and The Hollywood Reporter’s Scott Feinberg predict that “Sinners” will take the top honor.

Odds in the prediction markets currently show that “One Battle After Another” is still ahead of “Sinners,” with the former priced in at 75% while the latter is priced at 23%.

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