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Luke Kawa

Will Corporate America’s AI adoption justify the massive capital spending?

We don’t seem to live in a world where AI capex for capex’s sake is rewarded by investors anymore. Investors likely need to see increasing downstream adoption — that is, AI being used more and more in the field.

One problem with this is that surveys on Corporate America’s utilization of AI are all over the map; I’ve seen some in the low double digits and others in the neighborhood of 60% or more.

AI capex is both offensive — a bid to create new revenue streams and enable products that don’t exist — but also defensive, made by tech behemoths trying to ensure their existing dominant positions don’t get swept away by the tide of this new technology.

In many cases, Fortune 500 companies that want to implement — or, at least, dip their toe in the AI waters — don’t have a preestablished strategy or plan of action to do so. They need outside help for that.

Some good proxies for Corporate America’s willingness to spend on AI, therefore, can be found through consulting giant Accenture’s new bookings as well as IBM’s generative-AI book of business.

Accenture is in the business of helping companies “reinvent” themselves, a process that the consulting giant itself has had to undergo in light of how the industry has been rattled by the emergence of AI. And to do that, it’s turned to… AI, overhauling its work force, striking partnerships with OpenAI, Anthropic, Snowflake, and Palantir, and also buying a majority stake in DLB Associates, an AI data center engineering and consulting firm.

“We are expanding in these partnerships because of what we see in client demand,” CEO Julie Sweet said during Accenture’s December 18 earnings call. “We really try to be number one with all of the partners so that we can help our clients integrate and use these new technologies with their existing ecosystem, which is absolutely critical to them.”

Annoyingly, Accenture has decided that it won’t be breaking out AI-specific financial performance going forward, but that’s also a signal of how much management thinks this is integral to its overall growth.

And for IBM, AI-related consulting feeds through to other parts of its business, as its AI book of business also includes associated software revenues.

“Definitely the AI piece is a strong contributor to the software growth and I believe it’s a big piece of why consulting is beginning to return to growth, because we called the play to move toward AI almost two years ago,” IBM CEO Arvind Krishna said on the company’s most recent earnings call.

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Sandisk and Micron slip as Samsung rushes new product into production

Sandisk and Micron, which have boomed along with prices for the memory chips needed for the AI data center build-out, are limping behind the broader market Monday after a weekend report that South Korean chip giant Samsung is beginning “mass production” of its latest memory product, HBM4, slightly earlier than expected.

US memory chip maker Micron also makes HBM (high-bandwidth memory), which is essentially a large memory product designed for AI applications.

Sandisk doesn’t make HBM. But it is developing a kind of high-bandwidth flash NAND memory product that is intended to function as an HBM option for AI data centers.

More broadly, signs that Asian production giants are responding to high prices by ramping up supply means that the nosebleed pricing of memory chips that quintupled Sandisk’s profit over the last year might not last forever.

US memory chip maker Micron also makes HBM (high-bandwidth memory), which is essentially a large memory product designed for AI applications.

Sandisk doesn’t make HBM. But it is developing a kind of high-bandwidth flash NAND memory product that is intended to function as an HBM option for AI data centers.

More broadly, signs that Asian production giants are responding to high prices by ramping up supply means that the nosebleed pricing of memory chips that quintupled Sandisk’s profit over the last year might not last forever.

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Oracle rises as DA Davidson gives it a “buy” rating because of OpenAI positivity

Oracle rose after receiving an upgrade to start the week. Analysts at DA Davidson bumped up their view on the stock from “neutral” to “buy” and kept their $180 price target on the shares. That’s about 27% higher than Friday’s close.

Their shift isn’t so much about Oracle but about OpenAI, which Davidson folks now think is increasingly likely to be able to make good on billions of dollars’ worth of planned spending on computing power at Oracle and other hyperscalers. They wrote:

We are now more positive on OpenAI, based on changes in strategy, new frontier models, the pressure on Google’s competitors from its recent ascent, and progress on its fundraising efforts. Most importantly, we believe OpenAI already has as much as $40B of cash on hand and may be raising as much as another $100B by the end of the quarter, which should help pay for the data centers Oracle is building for OpenAI. Since the market is currently assigning the OpenAI relationship a negative value, we believe the fundraise will serve as a catalyst for outperformance.

For OpenAI’s part, CEO Sam Altman just told employees that the company was “back to exceeding 10% monthly growth,” according to CNBC reporting.

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Roblox rises following upgrade and price target hike from Roth Capital as growth in older players boosts optimism

Shares of Roblox are up in early trading on Monday following a price target hike and an upgrade from “neutral” to “buy” from Roth Capital.

Roth bumped its price target up from $78 to $84, with analyst Eric Handler citing the company’s “sustainable virtuous circle where continuously improving creator/development tools are producing higher quality games, which enhances the user experience, and drives higher engagement.”

Handler also noted Roblox’s success in growing its 18-plus player base, which increased 50% last year and, per Roth, “monetized 40% higher than under-18-users.”

The platform surged after reporting its fourth-quarter earnings last week, with stronger-than-expected full-year bookings guidance. Still, the stock remains below levels in January, before the debut of Google’s AI interactive worlds generator, Project Genie.

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