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Elevance Health dives on outlook for post-Big Beautiful Bill world
(Samuel Corum/Getty Images)

ACA insurers drop as “beautiful” GOP law hits

Insurers that provide ACA coverage are getting battered after Elevance Health warned on the outlook for the market.

Health insurers that supply coverage to Affordable Care Act marketplaces, where some 24 million Americans get their health insurance, posted the ugliest losses in the S&P 500 on Friday, after one such insurer, Elevance Health, reported disappointing Q2 earnings and said it was raising premiums for such policies.

Elevance was the worst-performing stock in the S&P 500 for most of the first half of the day, before it was overtaken by Molina Healthcare, a similar insurer. Centene, another provider of government-related insurance, also tumbled.

Elevance’s Q2 numbers, released after the close of trading Thursday, weren’t horrible. They only just fell shy of Wall Street’s consensus expectation ($8.84 vs. $8.91). Sales of $49.42 billion were a bit better than expected.

But the company signaled growing uncertainty about its future, in part due to the “big, beautiful bill that passed the GOP-controlled Congress on a party-line vote and that President Trump signed into law early this month.

That bill lets the “enhanced subsides” for ACA marketplace buyers that began during the Covid crisis die at the end of the year.

According to the Congressional Budget Office, the loss of those enhanced subsidies is expected to knock roughly 4 million people off their ACA insurance in coming years.

This is a double whammy for insurers like Elevance. Obviously, it means fewer enrollees paying monthly premiums. But it also leaves insurers with a sicker client base and more expensive medical needs. (The people most likely to let their insurance lapse, even for reasons of affordability, tend to be those healthy enough to feel they can get away without coverage.)

“The biggest unknown for us right now is the policy uncertainties around the ultimate disposition of the enhanced subsidies in the individual ACA market,” Elevance CEO Gail Boudreaux told analysts after the company reported.

That said, the company is already raising the price of ACA individual insurance coverage to reflect the end of subsidies.

“Weve already repriced products for rising cost intensity,” Boudreaux said.

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Lululemon’s stretch getting tested: Stock plunges after after outlook is cut

Lululemon shares are down double digits in premarket trading after the company cut its full-year sales and profit outlook, overshadowing a Q1 beat and raising fresh concerns about the brand’s turnaround efforts.

The company now expects fiscal 2026 revenue to be flat to down 1%, compared with its prior forecast for 2% to 4% growth. Guidance for full-year diluted earnings per share was dragged down to a range of $10.95 to $11.15, below the company’s previous guidance of $12.10 to $12.30 and well below Wall Street’s estimate of $13.26.

Key numbers for Q1:

  • EPS of $1.69 vs. the $1.68 expected.

  • Revenue of $2.47 billion vs. the $2.43 billion expected.

The modest top-line beat masked a widening divergence between Lululemons geographic markets. While international revenue rose 22% overall with a 30% increase in Mainland China, the bigger problem remains North America, where revenue fell 5%.

Interim co-CEO and CFO Meghan Frank acknowledged during the earnings call that recent product rollouts underperformed. A highly anticipated yoga campaign failed to generate its expected halo effect across broader product lines.

Profitability metrics took a major hit, with gross margins contracting by 410 basis points to 54.2% due to mounting tariff costs and promotional markdowns. Operating income consequently fell 37% year over year to $276.9 million.

“We experienced spikes of negative commentary in the media and on social channels with regard to our brand, which had an impact on traffic and overall top-line performance,” Frank said during the earnings call. “And second, not all of our product launches have met our expectations. While we have had several successful launches so far this year, we have seen others as we start Q2 not generate the anticipated guest response.”

Lululemons valuation has already been steadily compressing for years. While it was once one of retails richly valued stocks, investors have been questioning whether the company can return to the double-digit growth era.

The results also arrive during a leadership transition. Lululemon announced back in April that former Nike executive Heidi ONeill is set to take over as CEO in September, with investors looking to her to revive growth in North America and restore the brands growth.

As Lululemon faces both macroeconomic pressure and brand-specific challenges, its stock has dropped around 40% year to date.

markets

US job growth skyrocketed in May, blasting past expectations

The US economy added 172,000 jobs in the month of May, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday, sending 10-year Treasury yields higher.

The strong May job market surprised economists. Experts had predicted only 85,000 new jobs — just half the reported number. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, as expected.

The job growth story is a hopeful spot for the economy as consumers continue to feel inflationary pressure from the Iran war.

Job gains were buoyed by the leisure and hospitality sector, which added 70,000 jobs, as well as local government, healthcare, and education.

Both the March and April jobs reports were revised upward, making them collectively 93,000 higher than previously reported.

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