Markets
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Luke Kawa

AMD posts top- and bottom-line beat in Q3 with Q4 sales guidance ahead of estimates

Advanced Micro Devices reported third-quarter results after the close on Tuesday that exceeded analysts’ expectations on the top and bottom lines, with guidance to match.

  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share: $1.20 (compared to an analyst consensus estimate of $1.17)

  • Revenue: $9.25 billion (estimate: $8.74 billion, guidance: $8.4 billion to $9 billion)

  • Data center revenue: $4.34 billion (estimate: $4.14 billion)

  • Adjusted gross margin: 54% (estimate: 54%, guidance: 54%)

Its Q4 guidance for sales of $9.3 billion to $9.9 billion was strong relative to the anticipated $9.2 billion, while its adjusted gross margin outlook of 54.5% is bang in line with estimates.

Shares were as much as 6% lower following these results, but have since recovered and are in positive territory.

“AMD’s strong 3Q sales beat and 4Q outlook were likely driven by stronger PC and server CPU demand — similar to Intel’s results — along with continued share gains,” Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Kunjan Sobhani and Oscar Hernandez Tejada wrote. “The GPU ramp-up remains ahead of expectations, aided by a gaming rebound.”

AMD has had a high-profile Q4 so far, striking a megadeal with OpenAI that its CFO said “is expected to deliver tens of billions of dollars in revenue.” That announcement prompted more than 20 price target hikes from Wall Street analysts in a 24-hour span.

The company followed that up with a pact with Oracle, which said it would deploy 50,000 of AMD’s new flagship chips in data centers starting in the second half of next year. On the upcoming conference call, the Street will be looking for as much color as possible on the sales outlook for those MI450 chips.

Ahead of this release, Morgan Stanley analyst Joseph Moore wrote:

“The focus should remain on MI450. AMD’s rack scale solution shipping next year is the key, and we are excited to see what the company can do. It’s still early to make market share assessments, and while the Open AI agreement is clearly an accelerant, the reliance on cloud providers to ramp those 6 gigawatts still creates some uncertainty. Ultimately, to drive share gains, the company will need to provide better ROI than NVIDIA can offer, and customers still raise questions about that given lower rack density and the need to resolve ecosystem issues.”

The chip designer was the third-best-performing member of the VanEck Semiconductor ETF in 2025 heading into this report, with shares having more than doubled year to date.

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Luke Kawa

Core Scientific craters after soft Q4 sales

Core Scientific is sinking in postmarket trading after reporting much lower-than-expected sales in the final three months of 2025 and informing investors of an accounting error in its previous results.

For Q4, the bitcoin miner turned data center company reported:

  • Revenues of $79.8 million (estimate: $115 million).

  • Adjusted net income of $216 million (estimate: -$47.5 million).

Core Scientific’s self-mining and high-performance computing hosting divisions posted far less in sales than anticipated.

The company also indicated that it had overstated the value of property, plant, and equipment, requiring a number of previous releases to be restated. However, these changes do not affect revenue, adjusted EBITDA, or net cash flows, management said.

Core Scientific shareholders rejected CoreWeave’s offer to purchase the company in Q4, which would have created a more vertically integrated neocloud provider.

markets
Luke Kawa

Credo Technology tumbles after issuing mediocre guidance

Credo Technology Group is down double digits in postmarket trading after its solid Q3 results weren’t enough to offset a ho-hum outlook for the current quarter.

For Q3, the connectivity solutions company posted:

  • Revenues of $407 million (estimate: $406.4 million).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $1.07 (estimate: $0.92).

However, for Q4, management said sales would range between $425 million and $435 million, the midpoint of which is modestly below Wall Street’s call for $430.5 million.

Shares of Credo had spiked earlier this month when management released preliminary Q3 figures and signaled that its rapid sales growth would continue.

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Max Knoblauch

Archer reports deeper-than-expected Q4 loss

Air taxi maker Archer Aviation reported its fourth-quarter earnings results after the bell on Monday. Its shares fell 2.4% after-hours, eating into some of the gains the stock made in the regular session.

The company posted a loss of $0.26 per share, compared to the $0.24 loss per share expected by analysts polled by FactSet.

Archer ended 2025 with $1.96 billion in cash and cash equivalents, up from Q3’s $1.64 billion and up from $834.5 million in the same quarter the year prior.

Looking ahead to the first quarter, Archer said it expects adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of between -$160 million and -$180 million. Wall Street expected EBITDA of -$104.7 million in Q1.

Last week, Archer announced that it would partner with SpaceX’s Starlink to bring satellite internet into its Midnight aircraft. In its fourth-quarter shareholder letter, the company said it is targeting its first passenger flights this year, mirroring rival Joby’s timeline.

In a sign that investors, like CEO Adam Goldstein, see Archer’s most promising near-term opportunity in its defense business, its shares closed up more than 5% on Monday as investors scooped up defense contractor stocks. Goldstein told Sherwood News last year that he sees defense, with a focus on the autonomous and attritable industry, as the company’s “front and center” division for the next decade. Per the company’s shareholder letter:

“Our partnership with Anduril is at the core of our defense strategy, and it continues to accelerate. We are designing an autonomous, hybrid-electric VTOL aircraft built for dual use. For defense, it will fly alongside armed reconnaissance attack helicopters as a loyal wingman. The aircraft is designed to meet the needs of the U.S. and its allies for decades to come.”

Electric aircraft rivals Beta Technologies and Joby Aviation also ended the day higher.

markets
Luke Kawa

Plug Power pops after Q4 revenues exceed expectations

Plug Power is soaring in postmarket trading after issuing solid fourth-quarter sales that more than outweighed some massive red ink on its bottom line.

The hydrogen fuel cell company reported:

  • Revenues of $225.22 million (estimate: $217.26 million).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of -$0.06 (estimate: -$0.10).

$763 million in “various net charges” over the course of the quarter caused many of Plug’s other earnings metrics to look significantly worse.

Management reaffirmed its goal of having positive EBITDAS (the “S” is for stock-based compensation) by 2026, and said the company is “positioned” to do so.

Tasha Matsumoto
12h
Stocks close higher after whipsawing; oil surges

Defense and oil stocks rose after the US launched a series of attacks against Iran, while fuel-reliant travel assets fell.

Sunset Bull

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