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Friends? Adversaries? Situationship? (Omer Taha Cetin/Getty Images)

Are Google and Reddit becoming frenemies?

Google’s short- and long-term potential headaches may be neatly encapsulated by its evolving relationship with Reddit.

A brief overview of the relationship between Alphabet and Reddit:

Many industries have been blindsided and humbled by algorithm tweaks from the likes of Google and Facebook. Ask any journalist and they’ll tell you, after visibly wincing.

It may be that this change, and its impact on Reddit, was unintentional and proves fleeting.

“We do not believe this was a major change or change targeted at RDDT, but more of the standard algorithmic changes that GOOGL makes multiple times a year (this also coincided with a bug on RDDT’s side that caused RDDT to serve comment pages to GOOGL with comments collapsed, meaning GOOGL couldn’t see the content),” write Morgan Stanley analysts led by Brian Nowak, who deem the sell-off to be a buying opportunity.

However, Reddit’s rise as an ultimate destination in search, at the same time as it’s enhancing its internal search capabilities, threatens to undermine the case for starting your search with Google to begin with. That’s a short-term (and potential long-term) headache.

On the other hand, Google expects to spend $75 billion on capex this year to build out its AI capabilities. Ponying up for Reddit data, along with those billions upon billions in outlays, points to the need for healthy activity on that platform as part of the plan to continue to improve its models, and, in turn, maintain its primacy in search.

As such, there’s seemingly a bit of tension between Google’s short- and longer-term aims (both dominating search, the latter with the aid of AI) that may be revealed in the evolution of its relationship with and actions regarding Reddit.

There are no points for guessing who the big fish and little fish are in this situation: Google still has a decent moat when it comes to search, despite the rise of AI chatbots and even though a decent chunk of those searching end up going immediately to Reddit. Alphabet is a multitrillion-dollar company by market cap; Reddit is not.

It’s a sign of who holds the cards here that Reddit CEO Steve Huffman faced a plethora of questions on Google during the company’s conference call with analysts to discuss its quarterly results, and called the relationship between the two companies “symbiotic.”

Huffman noted that the algo tweak “primarily affects logged-out users in the US” and that the team “adapted nice” and has since seen a recovery in the first quarter.

reddit users
Source: Sherwood News

But this line of questioning from LightShed Partners’ Rich Greenfield was the most direct, and the answers not very revealing.

What exactly did Google change in the algorithm? I think theres been a lot of view that sort of Google loves Reddit and was sort of prioritizing Reddit. So what exactly changed? And I guess, Steve, how do you get comfort or confidence that future changes are not going to be more problematic than this one?

Some excerpts from Huffman’s reply:

What did Google change? I have my suspicions, but its not my place to say, but Im not worried about it...

We collaborate in a number of ways, including how they can continue to follow us better. So theres zero concern from us in this department.

Traders clearly don’t share Huffman’s “zero concern,” judging by the post-earnings plunge in shares of Reddit. And this ongoing relationship bears close monitoring as a flashpoint for how Google may be attempting to balance the competing concerns of dominating search now and ensuring that this dominance endures well into the future.

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Exxon and Chevron surge as oil rises; gold keeps getting clobbered

Exxon and Chevron jumped again on Friday, the two largest positive contributors to the S&P 500 as of midday, even as the broader market remained mired in the red.

The two giant US energy companies are also on track to notch another in a series of new all-time highs as well Friday, and for obvious reasons.

Energy continues to be the bright spot for the S&P 500 since the start of the Iran war. (It is the only gainer of the 11 separate sectors that compose the blue-chip index, rising more than 7% in March.)

But energy’s gain has come with pain elsewhere. Since rising gas prices work mechanically as a tax on other forms of consumer spending, staples stocks have been hit hard, with the sector down more than 6% this month alone. Meanwhile, the inflationary pressure pushing the Fed away from further rate cuts continues to hit precious metals and miners. SPDR Gold Shares ETF and iShares Silver Trust futures both fell further on Friday; they’re down roughly 10% and 15% for the week, respectively, and producers like Newmont and Freeport-McMoRan also continue to drop.

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Investors have been drawn to software stocks since the Iran war started — Figma has been an exception

Since the Iran war started, risky assets have been in the crosshairs. Stocks have sold off as oil prices spiked, the odds of rate cuts later this year have been slashed, and even the usual safe havens like gold and silver have been unreliable ports in the growing storm.

One port of refuge, however, has been in software stocks. As noted by my colleague Matt Phillips recently, a number of high-profile software names — the same ones that some pundits doomed to obsolescence because of AI just a few short weeks ago — have held up well. Design company Figma, however, has not been one of those names.

Figmas stock has dropped 19% since the close of trading on February 27, while the iShares Expanded Tech Software ETF has gained 2%.

Though still notching very respectable top-line growth, with sales up 40% last year, Figma is far from the cash cow stage of its life — perhaps why its been hit harder than peers such as Adobe, Workday, or Salesforce. Indeed, on a GAAP basis, Wall Street still expects the company to lose $477 million this year, as heavy stock-based compensation weighs on its profitability.

Figmas pain was then compounded when Google announced a major update to Stitch on Wednesday — a product described as an AI-native software design canvas that allows anyone to create, iterate and collaborate on high-fidelity UI from natural language.

Debate is still raging on Reddit and other social media platforms as to whether Stitch, or other vibe-coding platforms and tools, will meaningfully eat into Figmas core business. One user said that it offers very little to experienced designers. It removes the tools Figma offers and delegates everything to AI. Figma at least has all the capabilities plus AI for people who want to use AI. Another — complaining about the newly prohibitive cost of credits in Figmas own AI-powered tool, Figma Make — was more bearish on Figmas usefulness, saying that the number of credits the designer would need to use would cost $16,000 under Figmas new pricing model.

For now, investors arent giving Figma the benefit of the doubt, with the stock down 12% in the last two days alone.

markets

Chip-smuggling charges against Super Micro cofounder boost rival server maker Dell

Dell is up in early Friday trading after rival Super Micro Computer plunged on news that one of its cofounders had been charged by US prosecutors with allegedly illegally smuggling AI chips to China.

Dell, Super Micro, and HP Enterprise are all what’s known as “system makers”: they sell ready-to-roll rack servers, storage systems, and the other hardware that’s needed to fill all those data centers that hyperscalers are so desperate to build.

Dell and Super Micro both sell systems built around Nvidia GPUs, so the US government’s allegations against key personnel tied to Super Micro could jeopardize the company’s access to Nvidia products and give Dell a leg up in that crucial AI-related server market.

Dell, Super Micro, and HP Enterprise are all what’s known as “system makers”: they sell ready-to-roll rack servers, storage systems, and the other hardware that’s needed to fill all those data centers that hyperscalers are so desperate to build.

Dell and Super Micro both sell systems built around Nvidia GPUs, so the US government’s allegations against key personnel tied to Super Micro could jeopardize the company’s access to Nvidia products and give Dell a leg up in that crucial AI-related server market.

markets

Planet Labs soars after earnings beat and positive analyst commentary

Planet Labs held on to huge post-earnings gains early Friday as analysts that cover the retail favorite issued largely upbeat reviews of its Q4 report released Thursday after the bell. Here’s some of their commentary on the satellite services company:

Wedbush (rating: “outperform, price target: $40): PL is seeing major tailwinds in the geopolitical space, continuing to drive mission-critical demand globally. Total RPO came in at ~ $852 million (up ~106% y/y) with backlog of ~$900+ million (up ~79% y/y) highlighted by 9- figure deal with the Swedish Armed Forces which was the third 9-figure Satellite Services contract over the past 12 months totaling $500+ million across Sweden, Japan, and Germany, with management noting on the call that both deal count and average size in the satellite services pipeline has grown appreciably.”

Citizens (rating: “market perform, price target: N/A): “In our view, Planets solid performance in the quarter and the significant revenue acceleration implied for FY27 reflect the companys success in shifting to a satellite services model and leaning (heavily) into the needs of Defense & Intelligence segment customers. We believe this is the correct area of focus (for management and investors) and view some of the flashier announcements around Project Suncatcher (space-based data centers), or more recently, AI enabling a renaissance within Planet’s Civil and Commercial businesses as somewhat of a distraction.”

Clear Street (rating: “buy, price target: $34): “While F2026 revenue grew 26%, non-defense verticals have lagged. Management signaled an inflection point, with use cases such as maritime awareness data poised towards gaining traction across finance, insurance, and supply chain, supported by a more tailored approach with LLM partnerships like Anthropic (private).”

There’s a reason the stock has built a strong retail following: it had already surged more than 500% over the past year, even before jumping another 20% after last night’s earnings.

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