Markets
markets
Matt Phillips

Analysts on hard drives: “Supply remains tight”

Bank of America analysts bumped up price targets for hard disk drive (HDD) industry leaders — and S&P 500 top stocks — Seagate Technology Holdings and Western Digital as surging AI data center demand for these low-cost, long-term data storage devices continues to ramp up. They wrote:

“We raise our calendar year hard disk drive exabyte shipment forecast to 1,602 exabytes (+28% y/y) from 1,575 exabytes (+26% y/y) and see room for further upside as demand continues to outpace supply. Despite double digit percentage increases in total capacity... from STX & WDC so far during C25, HDD industry supply remains tight.”

BofA boosted its price target for Seagate from $170 a share to $215, slightly above where the stock is trading on Monday. The analysts also increased their stock price target on Western Digital from $100 to $123, implying a roughly 20% premium to where its share were trading Monday afternoon shortly before 2 p.m. ET.

Besides being an influential market driver this year, demand for hard disk data storage also reflects the vast amounts of data that the boom in AI is expected to generate. (A single exabyte is the equivalent of 1 billion gigabytes.)

As a result, hard drive makers like Seagate and Western are focusing on the next generation of high-capacity data storage gizmos that pack more data bits. These devices are also more profitable than traditional disk drives, which has helped to boost the profitability of the industry, BofA analysts said.

“As HDD demand continues to outpace supply, STX & WDC have seen profitability metrics hit all-time highs,” they wrote.

Those profitability metrics could help explain why the stocks have suddenly caught the fancy of traders.

“We estimate that STX & WDC can get above 42-43% corp gross margin levels exiting [calendar year 2028],” they wrote. “But if pricing is stronger than expected or if manufacturing efficiencies lower COGS, we believe margins could go even higher. Key risks include pause in hyperscaler capex (low probability) and tariffs.”

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Tasha Matsumoto
20h
Tech drags down stocks; gold and silver plummet

Gold and silver sank amid Trump’s plans to nominate reputed inflation hawk Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair.

Public sculptures along the Clear Creek Trail in downtown Golden, Colorado.
Ben Walsh, Luke Kawa

Gold and silver plunge, suffering their worst losses since the 1980s

Gold and silver suffered their worst losses in decades on Friday, with the iShares Silver Trust falling more than 30% at one point during afternoon trading before recovering slightly.

After recently crossing $5,000 per ounce for the first time, gold’s dip was relatively muted compared to silver’s rout, but nevertheless eye-watering for a traditional safe haven asset. At one point, gold’s intraday dip exceeded 10%, its worst intraday drop since the 1980s and surpassing its declines seen during the 2008 financial crisis, per Bloomberg.

Silver’s drop was its worst in percentage terms since 1980.

Gold, and particularly silver, have been pushed higher recently by a storm of retail trader enthusiasm for the metals, as well as more traditional drivers of precious metals such as geopolitical risks and concerns over a fall in the dollar’s value due to trade wars and possibly waning central bank independence.

Leveraged ETFs that hold gold and silver futures have become increasingly popular trading vehicles amid the parabolic moves in precious metals prices, and likely contributed to the magnitude of the unwind today.

Case in point: look at silver futures for delivery in March. That’s the dominant contract held by the ProShares Ultra Silver ETF, which offers exposure to 2x the daily move in the shiny metal. Volumes exploded (and the contract rebounded modestly) right around 1:25 p.m. ET, which is when silver futures settled and around the time the ETF performed its daily rebalancing (which in this case, involved massive selling).

Max Knoblauch

Gaming stocks plunge following release of Google’s AI tool that can create playable, copyrighted worlds

Shares of major gaming companies are plunging on Friday as investors get a deeper look at the capabilities of Google’s new generative-AI prototype, Project Genie.

The tool allows users to “create and explore infinitely diverse worlds” with a text or image prompt. Users have already exposed its ability to realistically recreate knockoffs of copyrighted games from Nintendo and other gaming companies.

As users experiment with recreations of game worlds like Take-Two’s “Grand Theft Auto 6,” shares of major gaming companies are sinking. Unity Software, the maker of the popular Unity game engine, is down over 25%, while gaming platform Roblox is down about 9%.

Collision 2019 - Day One

D-Wave Quantum CEO on what’s next after the most eventful month in the company’s history

“If 2025 was the international year of quantum, 2026 is the international year of D-Wave Quantum,” said CEO Dr. Alan Baratz.

Luke Kawa1/30/26
markets
Matt Phillips

SoFi bests Wall Street’s Q4 expectations, shares rise

SoFi Technologies reported better-than-expected Q4 sales and earnings-per-share numbers Friday before market open, sending the shares higher in the premarket. 

The online lender reported: 

  • Adjusted Q4 earnings per share of $0.13 vs. the $0.12 consensus estimate collected by FactSet.

  • Adjusted revenue of $1.01 billion in Q4 vs. the Wall Street forecast for $977.4 million.

  • Q1 2026 adjusted net revenue guidance of approximately $1.04 billion vs. the $1.04 billion consensus expectation, according to FactSet.

SoFi shares rallied roughly 70% last year, as the company’s growing menu of financial products — including trading, wealth management, mortgages, credit cards, and cryptocurrency trading — showed signs of gaining traction beyond its traditional base of student borrowers. But the stock has stumbled in early 2026, falling nearly 7% in January through Thursday’s close, though most of that slump seems to have been reversed this morning.

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