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Applied Digital has “more near-term catalysts than the market expects,” says Needham

Applied Digital is up in early trading as Needham & Co. analyst John Todaro bangs the table on the Nvidia-backed data center upstart’s ability to secure energy to expand its operations.

In a note to clients, the analyst reiterated his “buy” rating while “calling attention to the possibility of more near-term catalysts than the market expects.”

The company recently announced a $5 billion, 15-year AI factory lease from a “US based investment grade hyperscaler” at its Polaris Forge 2 campus, which came on the heels of comments from its earnings call earlier this month about negotiations with two additional hyperscalers for two new locations.

The AI boom is resource-constrained in a variety of ways, including power. But after a recent conversation with Applied Digital’s management, Todaro thinks “there is a real pathway to source more power than previously thought,” writing, “APLD has received numerous calls from operators over the last few weeks offering stranded power; APLD is fairly confident it can continuously source power over the next five years.”

The Trump administration is reportedly pushing for a speedier approval process for data centers to connect to the power grid.

Todaro thinks the company’s goal of net operating income of $1 billion over the next five years “could prove conservative given the ongoing demand and ability to source available power.”

Wall Street is universally bullish on Applied Digital, with all 10 analysts who cover the stock having a “buy” (or equivalent) rating.

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Federal Reserve cuts rates and signals end to quantitative tightening

The Federal Reserve delivered its second rate cut of 2025 as expected, taking its policy rate down 25 basis points to a range of 3.75% to 4%. Officials also said they plan to stop reducing the size of their balance sheet as of December 1.

Stocks were little changed in the wake of this announcement.

It’s the first time since 1995 that the US central bank has held one of its meetings during a government shutdown, which has left monetary policymakers with less data than usual to aid in their decision-making processes.

In their statement, monetary policymakers said that the unemployment rate “remained low through August,” adding that “more recent indicators are consistent with these developments.” All in all, this does not necessarily escalating concern about the state of the labor market, given that officials used the past tense to describe how downside risks to employment “rose in recent months.”

Event contracts traded on Robinhood showed a rate cut of this size was a lock for this meeting. Heading into the decision, a separate contract showed that the odds of 75 basis points in easing for 2025 was roughly 83%, implying a strong expectation that another 25 basis point reduction will be delivered at its December meeting. The prediction market implied odds of no more cuts in 2025 or more than 25 basis points in cuts were little changed in the minutes following the release of today’s statement.

(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions. Event contracts trading is offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, a registered futures commission merchant with the CFTC.)

I do wonder if officials will be comfortable cutting rates again on December 10 if they go into that meeting with no official data reflecting activity in October and November,” writes Omair Sharif, president of Inflation Insights. “It may be hard to reach a consensus on another cut, especially given the split in the FOMC indicated in the September dot plot.”

There were two dissents at this meeting, as Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid preferred no change, while Fed Governor Stephen Miran wanted a 50 basis point cut.

Bloom Energy soars amid parade of price target hikes

Bloom Energy soars amid parade of post-earnings target hikes

Bloom’s share price is booming on Wednesday.

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Fubo climbs as Disney merges the platform with Hulu Live TV

Shares of streamer FuboTV are surging on Wednesday, after Disney announced it completed its majority stake acquisition of the company.

Fubo will be merged with Hulu Live TV, creating a juggernaut virtual pay-TV company rivaling YouTube. With about 6 million subscribers, the program will also become the sixth-largest pay-TV operator in the US. According to the companies, Fubo and Hulu Live will also continue to be available as separate services, “each offering consumers multiple plan options from skinny to robust at compelling price points.”

Disney now owns 70% of the joint venture. As part of the deal, which was first announced in January, Fubo dropped its lawsuit against Disney, which sought to block its planned joint sports streaming venture, Venu Sports. Venu was dissolved within a week after the deal. Fubo shares closed up more than 250% on the day the deal was first announced.

As part of the transaction, Fubo will have access to a $145 million term loan from Disney next year.

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