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Applied Digital Q3 results crush estimates

The AI data center operator just released its fiscal Q3 results.

Luke Kawa

Applied Digital delivered Q3 results far better than expected, but the stock is running into some overhead resistance.

For its fiscal Q3, the data center operator reported:

  • Revenue of $126.6 million (estimate: $76.5 million).

  • Adjusted EBITDA of $44.1 million (estimate: $20.8 million).

The stock had risen double digits during regular trading on Wednesday, with enthusiasm for risk assets returning as the US and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire. It was up another 3% after-hours, briefly breaching $30, before reversing to trade slightly negative as of 7:17 a.m. ET.

That $30 level is noteworthy, as it’s the strike with by far the most call open interest among options expiring this Friday. So if the shares are unable to breach that level, that will likely fuel some mechanical selling pressure as the contracts become less likely to be money-good following this catalyst.

“We are also starting to see the earnings power of our platform come through, with a full quarter of revenue from our first building now recognized,” Chairman and CEO Wes Cummins said in a press release. “That initial 100 MW represents approximately one-sixth of our contracted capacity and one-tenth of what is operating or under construction, but we believe it begins to show what’s possible from here as we continue to bring additional capacity online in the coming quarters.”

During the conference call that followed Q2 results three months ago, Cummins said that the company was in “advanced discussions” on three sites that represent 900 megawatts in total with “another investment-grade hyperscaler across multiple regions.”

When asked about the status of talks during the Q3 earnings call on Wednesday, Cummins said, “We have still three sites in exclusivity with hyperscaler, and we'll see how all of that plays out, but we feel really good, again, about those assets and getting those leases signed, at a minimum, I would say during this year, but I'm more optimistic that it will be more near-term.”

This looks poised to break a recent streak in which earnings reactions had been incredibly strong for APLD, with the shares gaining 8%, 16%, and 31% the session after dropping its three most recent sets of results.

We continue to await the next lease(s) as APLD is now actively marketing 4 sites and has exclusivities in place with more than one hyperscaler,” wrote Needham analyst John Todaro. “Demand remains robust, but mgmt. emphasized new utilities and new counterparties is adding to longer time to lease signing than initially hoped.”

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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Rocket Lab deal lifts space stocks

Shares of Rocket Lab are surging after announcing an $8 billion acquisition of satellite communications operator Iridium Communications, helping lift a broader basket of space-related stocks as investors piled back into the sector.

Planet Labs, AST SpaceMobile and Redwire all traded higher alongside Rocket Lab, extending gains in an industry that has drawn enhanced investor attention in recent months in light of the strategic importance that governments place on space and satellite communications infrastructure.

In a presentation, Rocket Lab’s management called the purchase “a shortcut” for its satellite communications business.

Under the terms of the agreement, Iridium shareholders will receive $27 in cash and Rocket Lab stock, valuing Iridium at $54 per share. Backed by a $3.6 billion bridge loan committed by Deutsche Bank and Wells Fargo, Rocket Lab absorbs Iridium’s globally licensed spectrum and an active base of 2.5 million subscribers.

Rocket Lab has also remained one of the most active launch providers in the sector. The company completed its 12th launch of the year last week, maintaining one of the highest launch cadences among commercial space companies.

Today's rally helps offset a brutal stretch for the group. Rocket Lab shares had fallen over 35% over the prior month, while Planet Labs stock was down more than 40% and AST SpaceMobile stock was down around 30% over the same window.

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