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Bloom Energy soars amid parade of price target hikes
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Bloom Energy soars amid parade of post-earnings target hikes

Bloom’s share price is booming on Wednesday.

Better-than-expected earnings after the close yesterday kicked off a giant rally in Bloom Energy shares, as results from the AI energy and momentum play received a mixture of excitement and skepticism — there were a lot of questions about details of the company’s recently announced deal with Brookfield Asset Management — from Wall Street analysts.

Several raised price targets, but they also remained neutral on the stock after an incredible run over the last year that has pushed valuation metrics to extremely elevated levels. (HSBC did, however, slap a “buy” on the shares.)

Mizuho (Neutral, PT $79 -> $89): “We also come away constructive on their Brookfield deal (given wider nature beyond just fuel cell delivery), but await additional info on first sales. Our capacity expansion and revenue model is largely unchanged long term. We increase our price-target by 13% to $89 due to strong bookings and operating leverage.”

Clear Street (Hold, PT $43 -> $50): “We maintain our Hold rating because of valuation and the stock’s strong relative outperformance since we launched coverage 12 months ago (BE has outperformed the Russell 2000 Index by 1,064% since 10/31/24). We would like to see more incremental large orders from Oracle, AEP, Brookfield or AWS. We also deem the stock’s risk/reward not compelling enough here to warrant a Buy rating. However, we continue to like BE’s value proposition of its quicker time to power-up solutions and underlying sales growth tailwinds from datacenters & semiconductor manufacturing.”

BMO (Market Perform, PT $97 -> $136): “Bloom Energy beat 3Q estimates handily as it appears the company has already booked revenue for at least 1 if not more projects from its recent strategic agreement with Brookfield that was announced on October 13... That said, BE now trades at 26x our 2027E EBITDA AND assumes full utilization of 2 GWs for FY 2027. Our updated target is $136/share, and we remain Market Perform.”

Bank of America Securities (Underperform, PT $26): “A solid 3Q topline and margin beat (revenue $519M, +57% YoY; GM 30.4%), driven by AI-linked data-center deployments and early Brookfield JV projects. While MW growth and FY25 guidance upside validate commercial traction, we see this largely priced in amid consensus expectations for accelerating AI power demand. The quarter does little to resolve uncertainty around true project economics, cash conversion, and sustainability of Brookfield-driven volumes.”

RBC (Outperform, PT $123->$143)
: “We believe their remains continued positive demand momentum and believe BE is still in the very early stages of seeing broader adoption. PT to $143 from $123 on estimate revisions and multiple expansion. We believe the long term upside opportunity could be much greater with broader adoption.”

JPMorgan (Overweight, PT $90->$129): While the stock has significantly outperformed over the past few months, we maintain our Overweight rating and believe that additional contract announcements should provide further positive catalysts and potentially increased visibility into our unit shipment vs margin sensitivity analysis (see below). Our [year-end 2026] price target goes to $129, from $90.”

HSBC (Hold->Buy, PT $100->$150):
“Upgrade to Buy (from Hold) and raise [target price] to USD150 (from USD100). The increase in our [discounted cash flow-derived target price] is driven by the increase in our estimates, with our target based on an exit multiple assumption of 20x (unchanged) for our estimates beyond 2031 ... Bloom currently trades at 13x EV/sales versus its trailing two-year average of 3.4x per Bloomberg. We believe a premium multiple is warranted by the company’s exposure to secular growth themes of AI data centers and hydrogen, and improving margins and cash flow.”

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Exxon and Chevron surge as oil rises; gold keeps getting clobbered

Exxon and Chevron jumped again on Friday, the two largest positive contributors to the S&P 500 as of midday, even as the broader market remained mired in the red.

The two giant US energy companies are also on track to notch another in a series of new all-time highs as well Friday, and for obvious reasons.

Energy continues to be the bright spot for the S&P 500 since the start of the Iran war. (It is the only gainer of the 11 separate sectors that compose the blue-chip index, rising more than 7% in March.)

But energy’s gain has come with pain elsewhere. Since rising gas prices work mechanically as a tax on other forms of consumer spending, staples stocks have been hit hard, with the sector down more than 6% this month alone. Meanwhile, the inflationary pressure pushing the Fed away from further rate cuts continues to hit precious metals and miners. SPDR Gold Shares ETF and iShares Silver Trust futures both fell further on Friday; they’re down roughly 10% and 15% for the week, respectively, and producers like Newmont and Freeport-McMoRan also continue to drop.

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Investors have been drawn to software stocks since the Iran war started — Figma has been an exception

Since the Iran war started, risky assets have been in the crosshairs. Stocks have sold off as oil prices spiked, the odds of rate cuts later this year have been slashed, and even the usual safe havens like gold and silver have been unreliable ports in the growing storm.

One port of refuge, however, has been in software stocks. As noted by my colleague Matt Phillips recently, a number of high-profile software names — the same ones that some pundits doomed to obsolescence because of AI just a few short weeks ago — have held up well. Design company Figma, however, has not been one of those names.

Figmas stock has dropped 19% since the close of trading on February 27, while the iShares Expanded Tech Software ETF has gained 2%.

Though still notching very respectable top-line growth, with sales up 40% last year, Figma is far from the cash cow stage of its life — perhaps why its been hit harder than peers such as Adobe, Workday, or Salesforce. Indeed, on a GAAP basis, Wall Street still expects the company to lose $477 million this year, as heavy stock-based compensation weighs on its profitability.

Figmas pain was then compounded when Google announced a major update to Stitch on Wednesday — a product described as an AI-native software design canvas that allows anyone to create, iterate and collaborate on high-fidelity UI from natural language.

Debate is still raging on Reddit and other social media platforms as to whether Stitch, or other vibe-coding platforms and tools, will meaningfully eat into Figmas core business. One user said that it offers very little to experienced designers. It removes the tools Figma offers and delegates everything to AI. Figma at least has all the capabilities plus AI for people who want to use AI. Another — complaining about the newly prohibitive cost of credits in Figmas own AI-powered tool, Figma Make — was more bearish on Figmas usefulness, saying that the number of credits the designer would need to use would cost $16,000 under Figmas new pricing model.

For now, investors arent giving Figma the benefit of the doubt, with the stock down 12% in the last two days alone.

markets

Chip-smuggling charges against Super Micro cofounder boost rival server maker Dell

Dell is up in early Friday trading after rival Super Micro Computer plunged on news that one of its cofounders had been charged by US prosecutors with allegedly illegally smuggling AI chips to China.

Dell, Super Micro, and HP Enterprise are all what’s known as “system makers”: they sell ready-to-roll rack servers, storage systems, and the other hardware that’s needed to fill all those data centers that hyperscalers are so desperate to build.

Dell and Super Micro both sell systems built around Nvidia GPUs, so the US government’s allegations against key personnel tied to Super Micro could jeopardize the company’s access to Nvidia products and give Dell a leg up in that crucial AI-related server market.

Dell, Super Micro, and HP Enterprise are all what’s known as “system makers”: they sell ready-to-roll rack servers, storage systems, and the other hardware that’s needed to fill all those data centers that hyperscalers are so desperate to build.

Dell and Super Micro both sell systems built around Nvidia GPUs, so the US government’s allegations against key personnel tied to Super Micro could jeopardize the company’s access to Nvidia products and give Dell a leg up in that crucial AI-related server market.

markets

Planet Labs soars after earnings beat and positive analyst commentary

Planet Labs held on to huge post-earnings gains early Friday as analysts that cover the retail favorite issued largely upbeat reviews of its Q4 report released Thursday after the bell. Here’s some of their commentary on the satellite services company:

Wedbush (rating: “outperform, price target: $40): PL is seeing major tailwinds in the geopolitical space, continuing to drive mission-critical demand globally. Total RPO came in at ~ $852 million (up ~106% y/y) with backlog of ~$900+ million (up ~79% y/y) highlighted by 9- figure deal with the Swedish Armed Forces which was the third 9-figure Satellite Services contract over the past 12 months totaling $500+ million across Sweden, Japan, and Germany, with management noting on the call that both deal count and average size in the satellite services pipeline has grown appreciably.”

Citizens (rating: “market perform, price target: N/A): “In our view, Planets solid performance in the quarter and the significant revenue acceleration implied for FY27 reflect the companys success in shifting to a satellite services model and leaning (heavily) into the needs of Defense & Intelligence segment customers. We believe this is the correct area of focus (for management and investors) and view some of the flashier announcements around Project Suncatcher (space-based data centers), or more recently, AI enabling a renaissance within Planet’s Civil and Commercial businesses as somewhat of a distraction.”

Clear Street (rating: “buy, price target: $34): “While F2026 revenue grew 26%, non-defense verticals have lagged. Management signaled an inflection point, with use cases such as maritime awareness data poised towards gaining traction across finance, insurance, and supply chain, supported by a more tailored approach with LLM partnerships like Anthropic (private).”

There’s a reason the stock has built a strong retail following: it had already surged more than 500% over the past year, even before jumping another 20% after last night’s earnings.

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