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Semiconductor Stocks China Taiwan
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Chip stocks are getting routed by political news

Both presidential candidates are doing damage, leading to the chip sector’s worst day in years

Semiconductor stocks staggered through their worst day in four years, as potential new Biden administration regulations on chip-related tech exports to China, and bombastic Trump comments aimed at Taiwan, put a hurt on the sector.

A large part of the downdraft is due to the Biden administration floating the possibility that it could impose harsh new restrictions on companies that export key chip-related technologies to China, including the strategically crucial manufacturers of chip production equipment ASML and Japan’s Tokyo Electron , which were both battered by the news.

Elsewhere, former President Donald J. Trump — who many investors are betting will win in November — upended long-standing assumptions about U.S. commitment to defending Taiwan. That relationship was built in recent decades around the strategic importance of the island’s role as the producer of a large share of the sophisticated microprocessors the American economy relies on — but in an interview with Bloomberg, Trump thew cold water on defending Taiwan:

Asked about America’s commitment to defending Taiwan from China, which views the Asian democracy as a breakaway province, Trump makes it clear that, despite recent bipartisan support for Taiwan, he’s at best lukewarm about standing up to Chinese aggression. Part of his skepticism is grounded in economic resentment. “Taiwan took our chip business from us,” he says. “I mean, how stupid are we? They took all of our chip business. They’re immensely wealthy.” What he wants is for Taiwan to pay the US for protection. “I don’t think we’re any different from an insurance policy. Why? Why are we doing this?”

Taiwan Semiconductor plunged following those comments — its worst drop in four years — and companies that lean heavily on TSMC to produce their chips on a contract basis such as Qualcomm, Broadcom and Nvidia, were also hit.

The best-performing chip stock on the day was longstanding sector laggard Intel, one of the last large domestic producers of semiconductors thought capable of possibly producing the kind of sophisticated chips Taiwan has specialized in for decades.

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Chipotle beats Q4 estimates, but sinks on underwhelming full-year guidance

Chipotle reported earnings results that beat Wall Street estimates, but gave underwhelming full-year guidance.

For the last three months of 2025, Chipotle reported:

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.25, compared to the $0.24 analysts polled by FactSet were expecting.

  • Revenue of $3 billion, a bit higher than the $2.9 billion the Street was penciling in.

  • A comparable-store sales decline of 2.5%, less than the 2.9% decline the Street was expecting.

For the full year in 2026, Chipotle expects:

  • Comparable-store sales to be flat, compared to the 1.7% growth analysts were expecting.

Chipotle has struggled to spark sales over the past year and has previously cited strained consumers as a major headwind. The company fell more than 9% in after-hours trading shortly after the report was released.

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Take-Two raises its net bookings outlook, reaffirms November release for “Grand Theft Auto 6”

“Grand Theft Auto” and “NBA 2K” maker Take-Two reported results for its fiscal third quarter on Tuesday. Its shares climbed about 4% in after-hours trading.

The company posted net bookings, or the amount customers spent on its products, of $1.76 billion, up 28% from the same quarter last year. Wall Street analysts polled by FactSet expected $1.58 billion. In November, Take-Two guided for Q3 net bookings of between $1.55 billion and $1.6 billion.

Take-Two hiked its full-year bookings outlook to between $6.65 billion and $6.7 billion, up from a range of $6.4 billion to $6.5 billion. The new outlook compares to Wall Street’s $6.47 billion estimate. The gaming giant trimmed its full-year net loss guidance to between $369 million and $338 million (prior guidance: between $414 million and $349 million).

In its last quarter, Take-Two pushed back the planned release date of “Grand Theft Auto 6” from May 2026 to November 19, 2026. The company reaffirmed that date in Tuesday’s report. The game’s last trailer came in May 2025.

Shares of Take-Two and other major gaming companies have been sinking since late last week as investors react to early showcases of Google’s Project Genie, which allows users to generate interactive, “playable” worlds with a text or image prompt. As of Tuesday’s close, Take-Two has shed nearly $6 billion in market cap since Project Genie was released.

Analysts have called the market reaction unjustified, saying that the tool doesn’t allow for meaningful interactivity or replay-ability. According to mBank analyst Piotr Poniatowski, Project Genie is — at the moment — essentially a “one-minute-long walking simulator generator.”

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