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Citi: Palantir priced for “beyond perfection”

Analysts at Citi raised their estimates and price target on Palantir, but they still won’t push the buy button.

The reason, of course, is valuation, which has emerged as a sticking point for others, judging by the sharp sell-off the stock endured despite reporting results that were widely hailed on Wall Street as quite strong.

In raising their target price from $110 to $115, Citi analysts concurred, as far as the numbers were concerned. But they still couldn’t get comfortable with the remarkably high multiple that the market is putting on the stock. In a note published May 7, they wrote:

While all very impressive fundamentals, we see the stock as priced for beyond perfection at 55x full year 2026, [on an enterprise value-to-sales ratio] and with tougher comps (let alone a tough macro) likely to drive slowing growth in the second half of 2025 and into full-year 2026.

This high valuation issue is a pretty standard sticking point for Wall Street analysts covering the shares. Just seven of the 27 covering the stock — or 26% — have a “buy” or “overweight” rating on the stock, which is very much in the hunt to be the top performer in the S&P 500 for the second year in a row.

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Trump’s “impossible trinity” on AI and energy

Everyone loves a good trilemma.

In economics, the most famous of the genre was developed by Fleming and Mundell, which posits that you can only successfully achieve two of the following three objectives: the free flow of capital, a fixed exchange rate, and independent sovereign monetary policy.

George Pollack, senior US policy analyst at Signum Global Advisors, proposed a trilemma of his own to describe the Trump administration’s competing policy aims as a red-hot AI boom devours power and leaves households miffed by rising electricity bills.

He wrote:

“This note flags what we believe to be a simple reality whose salience will continue growing in US politics in coming months: the Trump administration, in its remaining three years will face a trilemma as the nation waits for its energy bet to play out — proving able to achieve two, but not all three, of the following objectives:

-Fulfill AI’s energy-appetite.
-Keep repressing renewable sources of energy.
-Appease American electricity consumers.”

Trump AI trilemma

As for evidence that the Trump administration is taking a fossil fuels-first approach while stunting renewables, Pollack pointed to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which shrinks access to tax credits for green energy, as well as the end to the federal pause on liquefied natural gas export permits. However, it would be “inaccurate and unfair” to blame President Trump’s policies for surging electricity prices in recent months, he added.

While the government has pursued the expansion of nuclear power as a way to solve this trilemma, the long lead times involved are incongruent with a short-term fix.

Palantir reports Q3 earnings results

Palantir climbs toward a fresh record high ahead of earnings report

Traders and Wall Street are waiting to see whether Palantir’s latest numbers after market close today will continue to beat expectations.

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