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Dell's earnings still aren't living up to AI expectations

Two weeks ago, I noted that an unexpected stock had matched Nvidia’s rocketship performance over the last year: Dell.

Dell appeared to be riding the AI wave, with its stock price jumping 11% on May 15 after Morgan Stanley raised its price target and predicted that Dell would benefit from more demand for its AI servers. However, that demand had not yet translated to Dell’s top line, with its revenue declining in a period when its market capitalization tripled.

Dell released Q1 earnings today, and it appears that investors are growing tired of waiting for Dell's financial performance to justify its valuation, with the stock falling as much as 15% after hours. Let's compare Dell's Q1 performance to Nvidia's numbers from a week ago:

Dell: Q1 revenue of $22.2B, up 6% from Q1 2024, and operating income of $920M down 14% from the same quarter last year.

Nvidia: Q1 revenue of $26B, up 262% from the year before (and 18% from the quarter before), and operating income of $16.9B, up 690% from the year before.

While Dell's management did note that servers and networking revenue, which includes the most AI-sensitive parts of its business, increased by 42% annually, the market reaction shows that this wasn't enough to impress investors.

Dell released Q1 earnings today, and it appears that investors are growing tired of waiting for Dell's financial performance to justify its valuation, with the stock falling as much as 15% after hours. Let's compare Dell's Q1 performance to Nvidia's numbers from a week ago:

Dell: Q1 revenue of $22.2B, up 6% from Q1 2024, and operating income of $920M down 14% from the same quarter last year.

Nvidia: Q1 revenue of $26B, up 262% from the year before (and 18% from the quarter before), and operating income of $16.9B, up 690% from the year before.

While Dell's management did note that servers and networking revenue, which includes the most AI-sensitive parts of its business, increased by 42% annually, the market reaction shows that this wasn't enough to impress investors.

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Rocket Lab builds on Friday’s gain after landmark $816 million satellite contract and record Electron rocket launches in 2025

Rocket Lab is ending the year with a timely boost to its fortunes.

The company is up another ~4% in pre-market trading on Monday, building on Friday’s ~18% gain which came after the company announced an $816 million deal to design and manufacture 18 satellites for the US Space Development Agency on Friday, marking the company’s largest single contract to date.

Per Rocket Lab’s press release, CEO Peter Beck commented that, “As the only commercial provider producing both spacecraft and payloads in-house for the SDA Tracking Layer, Rocket Lab is delivering a truly disruptive solution that combines speed, resilience, and affordability,” emphasizing the company’s vertically integrated manufacturing approach, with all of the major components of its satellites designed and produced in-house.

In a separate announcement on Monday, Rocket Lab also shared the successful launch of its 21st Electron rocket of the year, and the seventh for Japanese Earth imaging company Institute for Q-shu Pioneers of Space, Inc., finishing the year with a 100% mission success for its flagship spacecraft and establishing it as the world’s most frequently-launched small-lift orbital rocket, according to the company. The company has plans for five additional Electron launches for iQPS 2026.

Another name in the space arena, satellite peer AST SpaceMobile, is also trading higher after spiking at the end of last week. Following a 15% gain on Friday, ASTS is up another 4% early on Monday as optimism builds for its BlueBird 6 launch, pivotal to the company’s direct-to-smartphone strategy, scheduled to launch on December 23, 2025 at 10:24 p.m. ET.

markets
Nate Becker

Health insurance stocks lose steam as Trump says he’ll lobby insurers for lower prices

Shares of health insurance companies dropped Friday afternoon, as President Trump said he would ask insurers to meet with him in the coming weeks to seek lower prices.

Stocks including Humana, UnitedHealthcare, Cigna, CVS Health, and Elevance Health all either pared gains or went further into the red after Trump’s remarks, which came at the end of a press event to announce pricing deals with nine drugmakers.

“I’m going to call a meeting of the big insurance companies that have gotten so rich,” Trump said, noting that he would lobby them for lower prices.

“I would say that maybe with one talk, they would be willing to cut their prices by 50, 60, or 70%. They’ve made a fortune.”

markets

Rivian’s surge continues as stock reaches highest level since December 2023 on analyst upgrades

Shares of EV maker Rivian are on pace to close up double digits for the second day in a row on Friday as bullish investors pour into the stock following analyst upgrades.

Rivian shares were up more than 10% on Friday afternoon, with the stock climbing to its highest level since December 2023.

Webush’s Dan Ives boosted his Rivian price target by 56% to $25 in a note on Friday morning. The analyst wrote that 2026 is a “prove-me” year for the automaker, with its lower-cost R2 model set to launch in the first half.

Ives’s note follows a separate optimistic bit of analysis from Baird, which also boosted its Rivian price target to $25 in a note on Thursday.

If today's gains hold, Friday will mark the third day of double-digit gains for Rivian in the past six trading days. An “AI Day” event that saw the automaker detail autonomous updates and tease a robotaxi plan started the recent run.

markets
Luke Kawa

The neoclouds are shooting back up into the stratosphere

Investors’ faith in tech CEOs’ pursuit of digital God has seemingly been restored for now, sparking an intense rally in the speculative AI players that had been in full-on meltdown mode over concerns that the boom had passed its best-before date.

The data center companies colloquially known as the “neoclouds” — CoreWeave, Nebius, IREN, and Cipher Mining — are up more than double digits over the past two sessions, as of 10:40 a.m. ET.

The past 48 hours have brought a steady drumbeat of positive news for the AI theme.

CoreWeave received a vote of confidence from Wall Street as Citi resumed coverage with a buy rating and price target of $135. Oracle, the epicenter of AI credit concerns, has seen a reversal in its fortunes as it nears an acquisition of TikTok’s US operations. And OpenAI’s fundraising efforts appear be going so well that its reported valuation has gone up in back-to-back days.

Before that, Micron’s earnings reaffirmed the intense demand for AI compute, which continues to outstrip supply — a positive sign for the neoclouds. The macro backdrop is also turning perhaps a bit more in favor of lower interest rates, as CPI inflation came in well below expectations.

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