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Discord is chatting about an IPO

Nice scoop from the Gray Lady, reporting that online chat group network Discord is in early, exploratory talks about going public.

An offering of shares would likely be of interest to some extremely online retail traders and gamers, many of whom are users. It would also be a welcome jolt for the IPO market, which has seen relatively few banner-name companies go public in the past few years.

In terms of potential comps for the company — which was last valued at $15 billion in 2021, per the Times — Reddit springs to mind, due to the close linkage of the two services. Many subreddits have associated Discord groups.

Reddit’s ride as a public company has been pretty strong, as the company has shown its ability to post profits.

Even more to the point in terms of potential IPOs, Reddit’s stock market performance since its IPO almost a year ago has been outstanding.

The company’s run-up over the past year has pretty much mirrored retail trading favorite Palantir, which was the best-performing stock in the S&P last year.

Both stocks have trounced the market since last November’s election, even after accounting for a brutal sell-off over the last couple weeks.

In terms of potential comps for the company — which was last valued at $15 billion in 2021, per the Times — Reddit springs to mind, due to the close linkage of the two services. Many subreddits have associated Discord groups.

Reddit’s ride as a public company has been pretty strong, as the company has shown its ability to post profits.

Even more to the point in terms of potential IPOs, Reddit’s stock market performance since its IPO almost a year ago has been outstanding.

The company’s run-up over the past year has pretty much mirrored retail trading favorite Palantir, which was the best-performing stock in the S&P last year.

Both stocks have trounced the market since last November’s election, even after accounting for a brutal sell-off over the last couple weeks.

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OpenAI reportedly seeking alternatives to Nvidia chips, unhappy with inference performance

Reuters reports that OpenAI is “unsatisfied” with Nvidia’s latest AI chips and has been seeking alternatives since last year, citing a whopping eight sources familiar with the matter.

This news comes on the heels of a recent report from The Wall Street Journal that Nvidia’s plan to invest $100 billion in OpenAI had stalled.

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang seemingly confirmed the WSJ reporting in comments to the press over the weekend, but still struck a positive public tone on OpenAI, indicating that the chip designer would be participating in its upcoming funding round.

Sources inside OpenAI appear to be choosing a more combative response.

Per Reuters, the specific shortcoming OpenAI sees in Nvidia’s offering involves inference, or the “thinking” being done by AI models.

Now, the idea that OpenAI is seeking alternatives to Nvidia, or at least additional sources, is well known: the ChatGPT maker struck highly publicized deals in October with Advanced Micro Devices that the chip designer said would “deliver tens of billions of dollars in revenue” as well as custom chip specialist Broadcom to develop and deploy 10 gigawatts of custom AI accelerators.

So this really has the feel of, “I dumped her, she didn’t dump me!”

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Microsoft is the biggest drag on the US stock market since Gemini 3’s launch

Microsoft is the publicly traded company that, due to its partnership with OpenAI, had a place of pride at the epicenter of the AI boom.

It doesn’t have that much to show for it.

Thanks to last week’s plunge following the release of its earnings, the tech behemoth is now trailing the SPDR S&P 500 ETF for the first time since November 30, 2022 — the day ChatGPT was released. It’s the only member of the so-called Magnificent 7 to trail the fund that tracks the benchmark US stock index over this stretch.

The OpenAI relationship has been more of a burden than a boon for the company as of late, as the ChatGPT maker’s cash burn and competitive pressures have cast a pall over its partners.

Per data from Bloomberg, Microsoft has been the biggest drag on SPY since the release of Gemini 3, shaving off 80 basis points. Alphabet, on the other hand, has been the largest driver of the ETF’s advance over this period.

Airline stocks climb as oil prices retreat on easing US-Iran tensions

West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell more than 5% on Monday, following President Trump’s comments over the weekend that Iran was “seriously talking” with the US — a sign that tensions between the countries could be easing.

That drop-off boosted major US airlines, which stand to benefit from lower fuel costs. Shares of carriers including Frontier, United Airlines, JetBlue, and Delta Air Lines were all up in the mid- to high single digits.

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