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Discord is chatting about an IPO

Nice scoop from the Gray Lady, reporting that online chat group network Discord is in early, exploratory talks about going public.

An offering of shares would likely be of interest to some extremely online retail traders and gamers, many of whom are users. It would also be a welcome jolt for the IPO market, which has seen relatively few banner-name companies go public in the past few years.

In terms of potential comps for the company — which was last valued at $15 billion in 2021, per the Times — Reddit springs to mind, due to the close linkage of the two services. Many subreddits have associated Discord groups.

Reddit’s ride as a public company has been pretty strong, as the company has shown its ability to post profits.

Even more to the point in terms of potential IPOs, Reddit’s stock market performance since its IPO almost a year ago has been outstanding.

The company’s run-up over the past year has pretty much mirrored retail trading favorite Palantir, which was the best-performing stock in the S&P last year.

Both stocks have trounced the market since last November’s election, even after accounting for a brutal sell-off over the last couple weeks.

In terms of potential comps for the company — which was last valued at $15 billion in 2021, per the Times — Reddit springs to mind, due to the close linkage of the two services. Many subreddits have associated Discord groups.

Reddit’s ride as a public company has been pretty strong, as the company has shown its ability to post profits.

Even more to the point in terms of potential IPOs, Reddit’s stock market performance since its IPO almost a year ago has been outstanding.

The company’s run-up over the past year has pretty much mirrored retail trading favorite Palantir, which was the best-performing stock in the S&P last year.

Both stocks have trounced the market since last November’s election, even after accounting for a brutal sell-off over the last couple weeks.

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Retail traders are “skipping the dip” this time

Here’s one noteworthy feature of the recent market downturn that has the S&P 500 poised for its worst week since reciprocal tariffs were announced in early April: retail traders seemingly aren’t eager to buy the weakness in single stocks the way they used to be.

JPMorgan strategist Arun Jain has flagged that retail traders instead appear to be “skipping the dip.”

“In contrast to the behavior observed during the post-Liberation Day selloff, retail investors did not seize the opportunity to buy-the-dip on Tuesday, with a few exceptions such as META,” he wrote of the day where the benchmark US stock index fell 1.2%. “In fact, they scaled back their ETF purchases and turned net sellers in single stocks.”

Then on Thursday, when the S&P 500 fell 1.1%, Jain projected that retail traders sold $261 million in single stocks. Through noon ET on Friday, his daily outflow estimate stands at $851 million.

With that intel, it’s little wonder why the carnage this week has been particularly intense in more speculative single stocks that had been favored by the retail community, including IREN, IonQ, Rigetti, Cipher Mining, Bloom Energy, and Oklo.

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Archer Aviation plunges on $650 million share sale following its third-quarter results

Air taxi maker Archer Aviation is deep in the red on Friday morning after reporting its third-quarter results after the bell Thursday. The stock is down more than 12%.

Investors don’t appear to be thrilled about the company’s $650 million direct stock offering, announced alongside its results.

The move marks at least the third major equity raise, and dilution, for Archer this year. The company raised $300 million from a new stock sale in February, and sold $850 million worth of shares in June.

On Archer’s earnings call Thursday, interim CFO Priya Gupta said the company came to the decision after “substantial inbound interest.” According to Gupta, the company has heard from government and commercial partners that liquidity is a “key driver to their decisions of who to partner with.” With its latest share sale, Archer said its total liquidity is more than $2 billion.

The move marks at least the third major equity raise, and dilution, for Archer this year. The company raised $300 million from a new stock sale in February, and sold $850 million worth of shares in June.

On Archer’s earnings call Thursday, interim CFO Priya Gupta said the company came to the decision after “substantial inbound interest.” According to Gupta, the company has heard from government and commercial partners that liquidity is a “key driver to their decisions of who to partner with.” With its latest share sale, Archer said its total liquidity is more than $2 billion.

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