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Trump EV subsidies
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What Trump 2.0 actually means for EVs

Anti-EV messaging helped Trump win Michigan and destroy the Democratic blue wall. What does it mean for automakers and their shares?

Matt Phillips

It’s been a volatile couple days for electric-vehicle stocks, since former President Donald Trump prevailed in his bid to return to the White House next year.

Rivian tumbled 8% on Wednesday before recovering Thursday, and Lucid saw similar swings. (Tesla, on the other hand, shot up 15% on Wednesday, but we’ll come back to that.) Behind those swings is deep uncertainty about what Trump’s win means for the federal government policies at the heart of the EV business.

EVs were the target of a blistering negative advertising campaign in auto-industry center Michigan, for example, where they were painted as a risk to manufacturing jobs and unionized autoworkers.

Trump himself regularly took to saying of the vehicles, “They’re all made in China,” according to Bloomberg News. (They’re not. Tesla’s Model Y, the bestselling electric vehicle in the world, for instance, is made in the US.)

But what’s unclear is exactly what Trump plans to do once he returns to power. Bloomberg’s Kyle Stock reports:

“The easiest EV target to hit from the Oval Office would be consumer incentives, specifically tax rebates worth up to $7,500 per vehicle afforded by the Inflation Reduction Act. Even if there isn’t enough support in Congress to overturn the legislation entirely, Trump could make the credits harder to qualify for by putting stricter limits on where various parts and pieces are sourced from.”

Likewise the Detroit Free Press reports:

“It would be difficult for him to completely gut President Joe Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act initiatives, but through executive orders, Trump could defund or limit some of the EV subsidies included there. Many parts of the IRA, such as expanding EV charger infrastructure, were in place to help the Detroit Three encourage EV adoption.”

But here’s where we return to Tesla and the increasing prominence of its CEO Elon Musk in Trump’s orbit. Musk’s influence has made it less and less clear how Trump will proceed. As The Wall Street Journal notes:

“Trump has spoken skeptically of electric vehicles and federal policies that promote their use — including a $7,500 electric-vehicle tax credit. More recently, he has sounded a more positive note. I’m for electric cars,’ Trump said in August. I have to be because Elon endorsed me very strongly.’”

Interestingly, Tesla analyst Dan Ives told the Free Press that Tesla “does not need the tax credit as much as GM and Ford does, Ives said, because Tesla has the sales volume to lower prices and other cost advantages.”

Additionally, if Musk is indeed made “secretary of cost-cutting,” he could use that role to slash regulations slowing a nationwide rollout of Teslas’s autonomous vehicles. Investors’ confidence in his ability to sway Trump to his side partially motivated Wednesday’s massive rally.

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Data center trade deep in the red

The data center trade is seeing its steepest sell-off since the market rout that was ignited by President Donald Trump’s Rose Garden tariff announcement back in April.

Goldman Sachs’ themed basket of AI data center shares was down more than 6% at around 12 p.m. ET, putting it on track for its worst day since the tariff announcement.

Losses hammered seemingly every form of input needed for the sprawling concrete server warehouses at the heart of the investment boom.

Hardware makers including data storage companies like Sandisk, Western Digital, and Seagate Technology Holdings, as well as DRAM maker Micron — some of the best-performing stocks in the S&P 500 this year — were taking a licking, as were networking stocks Cisco and Arista Networks and data center builders such as Vertiv Holdings and electrical and mechanical contractor Emcor.

Optimism for all things AI has seemed to evaporate throughout the week, as the stock market greeted lackluster quarterly numbers from Oracle and Broadcom with jittery sell-offs and concern about growing debts that could crater cash flows.

Those worries seem to be spreading to ancillary beneficiaries of the AI boom on Friday, gouging a chunk out of charts that retail dip buyers have not — at least so far — stepped in to buy as we head into the weekend.

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Oracle denies Bloomberg report that it’s delaying some data centers for OpenAI to 2028 from 2027

Getting a multi-hundred-billion-dollar backlog for cloud computing revenues from data center projects is easy. Building them is hard.

Oracle extended declines to as much as -6.5% on the day on the heels of a Bloomberg report that the cloud giant has pushed back the completion dates for some of the data centers it’s building for OpenAI to 2028 from 2027, citing people familiar with the work. Oracle denied this report, telling Reuters that there have been no delays to any sites required to meet its contractual commitments and that all milestones remain on track.

Shares had fully pared their report-induced drop ahead of Oracle’s reply, but remain in the red for the day.

Bloomberg said the reported postponement was attributed to labor and material shortages.

Oracle has been spending more on capex than Wall Street had anticipated, leading to higher-than-expected cash burn. Management boosted its full-year capital spending plans by $15 billion after reporting Q2 results earlier this week.

Oracle’s cloud infrastructure sales came in short of estimates in its fiscal 2026 Q2, a signal that markets already had reason to doubt its ability to quickly turn its humungous RPO (that is, remaining purchase obligations) into revenues.

Traders also seem to be of the mind that potential delays to data center completions are going to limit sales for what goes into them.

Some of the bigger losers since the Bloomberg headline hit the wires include:

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Broadcom’s post-earnings tumble is weighing on Google’s entire AI ecosystem

Broadcom’s post-earnings plunge is prompting a sharp pullback in Google-linked AI stocks, which had been on fire thanks to the warm reception to Gemini 3.

The stocks getting hit hard:

A basket of these Google-linked AI stocks compiled by Morgan Stanley is suffering one of its worst losses of the year. This brisk retreat also follows the release of GPT-5.2 by OpenAI.

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Citi initiates coverage of Planet Labs with “buy” rating

Planet Labs was up after aerospace and defense analysts at Citi initiated coverage with a “buy/high risk” rating and $19 price target.

The stock is up more than 40% this week, after a strong earnings result that spotlighted the company’s growing opportunity in linking its core business of capturing daily images of the planet with AI technologies.

Citi analysts noted the potential for a positive flywheel effect for Planet Labs as it deepens its focus on integrating AI into its offerings:

“AI is accelerating the conversion of pixels to decisions, where Planet’s daily scan and deep archive offer a uniquely large training corpus and broad-area foundation for automation. AI-enabled solutions (MDA/GMS/AMS) are gaining traction with customers such as NATO and the U.S. DoW, validating the approach of integrating AI into broad-area monitoring products... These AI moves create a compounding advantage: more coverage generates more training data, which improves models, which in turn increases product utility and addressable demand.”

The stock has also caught the attention of some of the retail trading crowd, with call options activity spiking on Thursday as traders rode the market reaction to the results.

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