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Luke Kawa

e.l.f Beauty plunges as tariff headwinds wreak havoc on Q2 results, full-year outlook

The same day that tariff-exposed stocks soared as traders judged that the Supreme Court was likely to rule against a large portion of President Trump’s tariffs, e.l.f. Beauty showed just how much these changes to cross-border commerce are crushing select businesses.

The beauty retailer reported disappointing Q2 results after the close on Wednesday, with both net sales and adjusted earnings per share well below estimates, and offered full-year guidance that was shy of the Street’s view on both of those metrics as well.

The stock is down roughly 34% in early trading, which would be a record loss if it fails to recover during today’s session.

On the conference call, Chief Financial Officer Mandy Fields laid out in stark terms just how onerous the operating environment is for the retailer:

“To set the foundation, about 75% of our global production today comes from China. Between April 9 and May 13, we were subject to tariffs at the 170% level. From May 14 through the end of October, product imports to the U.S. were subject to tariffs at the 55% level. As of November, we are now subject to a lower tariff at the 45% level given the recent reduction announced by the administration.”

Every 10% tariff increases e.l.f.’s cost of goods sold by $17 million on an annualized basis, per the company’s earnings presentation. The company delivered an across-the-board $1 increase in a bid to offset higher costs, but that wasn’t nearly enough to prevent gross margins from sinking by about 165 basis points compared to the same quarter a year ago.

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Ford beats revenue estimates in Q4, with weaker-than-expected earnings

The Detroit automaker released its fourth-quarter and full-year results after the bell on Tuesday.

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Robinhood Q4 revenue misses estimates, but earnings beat

Robinhood Markets posted fourth-quarter revenue that fell short of analysts’ estimates, but earnings topped Wall Street’s forecasts.

(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions. I own Robinhood stock as part of my compensation.)

The stock, crypto, and options trading platform reported:

  • Q4 earnings per share of $0.66 vs. analysts’ consensus estimate of $0.63, according to FactSet.

  • Sales of $1.28 billion vs. expectations of $1.35 billion.

  • Transaction-based revenue of $776 million vs. expectations of $797.6 million. 

Shares of the company were down 5.4% shortly after the report.

Robinhood shares notched gains of 193% and 204% in 2024 and 2025, respectively, though they’ve recently given up some of those gains amid volatility in the crypto markets.

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The tech sector’s biggest winners and losers are swapping places

It’s bizarro world for the tech sector.

Software stocks, the market’s collective whipping boy in 2026 in light of the presumptive threat of AI disruption, are continuing to recover on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the biggest winners of the AI boom this year — memory stocks, benefiting from intense shortages — are taking their turn in the red.

The iShares Expanded Tech Software ETF’s gains are being led by Datadog, a rare case of a software stock rising after reporting earnings this season, with heavyweights Oracle and ServiceNow outperforming the industry. Figma, which isn’t in this product, is also up double digits.

On the other side of the spectrum, Micron, Sandisk, Seagate Technology Holdings, and Western Digital are selling off.

The seesaw of modern markets often requires that as one group’s fortunes inflect positively after a long drubbing, so too must a high-flyer have its wings clipped.

That is, if you’re a portfolio manager long memory and short software stocks, and enough investors are willing to catch a falling knife and buy the beaten-down group, staying market-neutral and reducing this position would require you to purchase software and dump some memory stocks.

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC.