markets

Luke Kawa8/19/25

Fabrinet tanks after warning of supply chain issues in its Nvidia-linked business

Fabrinet, a maker of optical communication devices with many use cases (including in AI data centers!), is tumbling after management said that sales in its data communication business are expected to fall in the current quarter.

The warning came after Fabrinet delivered its Q4 report, with financials for the three months ended June 27 that were just peachy: both adjusted earnings per share and revenues exceeded analysts’ expectations.

The company counts Nvidia and Cisco as major customers and Amazon as a future big buyer (and also a warrant holder with significant equity exposure).

During the conference call following the release of earnings, Chief Financial Officer Csaba Sverha cited supply constraints as the cause of the anticipated drop-off in revenues for this segment:

“In Datacom, we are excited to see growing demand, especially for next-generation products. However, the surging demand has resulted in near-term supply constraints for some critical components, and as a result, we expect to see a sequential dip in Datacom revenue in Q1. We are working with our customer and suppliers to resolve these supply issues, which we expect to be temporary.”

Those “next-generation products” refer to Nvidia’s transition to 1.6-terabit networking technology.

CEO Seamus Grady later offered more detail, saying:

“We’re pretty confident we’re pursuing multiple paths with our customer and with the supply base to help remedy the constraints in order to meet the strong demand, and we believe the supply issues will be temporary. But they will take a little bit of time to fully resolve, maybe one or two quarters, but we do think it’s a short-lived problem. But it’s one we have to deal with right now.”

Even with these challenges, management still offered first-quarter guidance for adjusted earnings per share and sales that were ahead of what the Street had penciled in, but that’s of little solace to any shareholders today.

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J. Edward Moreno7/7/26

SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

US job growth falls far short of estimates in June; unemployment rate unexpectedly dips to 4.2%

Job growth was 57,000. Analysts foresaw job growth of 113,000; prediction markets were more optimistic, looking for job growth above 125,000 but below 150,000.

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Meta surges on report it’s starting a cloud business to sell excess AI compute

The story of the hyperscalers in 2026 has largely been “the beatings will continue until the cash flow outlook improves;” this could help change the story for Meta. Or not.

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markets

Paige Oamek6/30/26

Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).
Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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