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Figma plunges after first earnings since IPO, as lockup for some shareholders set to expire, guidance fails to excite

Figma shares were trading as much as 16% lower in early trading on Thursday after the design software company reported Q2 results — the company’s first report since its IPO in July.

Second-quarter revenue increased 41% year over year to $249.6 million, narrowly ahead of analyst estimates of $248.7 million, and adjusted earnings came in at $0.085 per share, topping Bloomberg-compiled forecasts of $0.081.

Given Figma’s lofty valuation — at yesterday’s close, the company’s market cap was more than 32x its expected revenues for this fiscal year — guidance, which is broadly in line with consensus forecasts, may not have been enough to excite investors. The company expects third-quarter revenue to be between $263 million and $265 million, with sales for the full year between $1.021 billion and $1.025 billion.

Perhaps most importantly, however, is that the company also disclosed that certain conditions about its stock price are likely to be met this week, triggering the early release for 25% of the eligible securities owned by certain Figma employees and service providers. Per the company:

“Figma anticipates that the Early Release Condition will be satisfied following the close of market on September 4, 2025. Accordingly, pursuant to the Lock-Up Agreements, Figma expects that the Lock-Up Period will terminate with respect to the Early Release Shares, and such shares will become eligible for immediate sale in the public market, at the open of trading on September 5, 2025.”

Figma also said that, on August 30, 2025, it entered into an extended lockup agreement with holders of approximately 54.1% of the company’s outstanding shares of Class A Common Stock, with staggered releases of their stock each quarter through June 2026.

Meanwhile, Figma’s peers, like CRM software company Salesforce and design competitor Adobe, have seen shares slide over the potential threat AI poses to their businesses.

Wall Street analysts remain lukewarm about the stock, too: three of the 10 analysts tracked by Bloomberg with coverage on Figma rated the stock as a “buy,” with the remaining seven recommending it as a “hold.”

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United beats Q1 earnings and revenue estimates, lowers full-year profit guidance amid surging jet fuel prices

United Airlines reported its first-quarter earnings results after the bell on Tuesday. The carrier’s shares ticked down in after-hours trading.

For Q1, United reported:

  • Adjusted earnings of $1.19 per share, compared to the Wall Street estimate of $1.08 per share compiled by FactSet.

  • $14.6 billion in revenue, compared to the $14.39 billion consensus estimate.

In the first quarter, United’s fuel expense grew 12.6% from the same period last year to $3.04 billion.

For the second quarter, United expects adjusted earnings per share of between $1 and $2, shy of Wall Street expectations of $2.08. For the full year ahead, United said it expects earnings between $7 and $11 per share, compared to its prior guidance of between $12 and $14 per share.

“Guidance assumes United’s revenue recovers 40% to 50% of the fuel price increases in the second quarter, 70% to 80% of the fuel price increases in the third quarter and 85% to 100% of the fuel price increases in the fourth quarter 2026,” read the company’s investor update.

Earlier this month, United was among the first major US airlines to hike its bag fees amid higher fuel costs. Its shares have fallen more than 15% from a February high days before the war in Iran began.

United has also made waves this month following reports that CEO Scott Kirby had floated the idea of a merger with American Airlines to President Trump. A merger between two of the big four airlines would create a true US behemoth, controlling more than a third of the American market. American Air last week said it wasn’t interested in merging with United and hadn’t held talks on the idea. On Tuesday, Trump told CNBC that he doesn’t like the idea either.

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Hedge funds are following retail traders into the Magnificent 7

Hedge funds are following retail traders into the stocks the masses never stopped buying.

“As we kick off earnings for megacap tech stocks, this stood out: [hedge funds] have started buying Mag7 stocks again this month though positioning remains well below the peak levels seen in early 2016,” wrote Goldman Sachs’ Cullen Morgan.

Goldman PB Mag 7
Source: Goldman Sachs

In early April, JPMorgan strategist Arun Jain noted that retail investors had basically been selling everything but the Magnificent 7 stocks as part of a more cautious stance due to the Iran war.

(Apple has been a long-standing exception to this trend, presumably because retail traders arent fond of its hands-off approach to AI.)

JPM Retail flows

Last August, Jain discussed how retail activity tended to “crowd in” institutional buyers in meme stocks, while Goldman’s John Marshall advised clients to piggyback on stocks beloved by retail traders. Speculative, retail-geared assets proceeded to go on a tremendous run that soured in October.

But there are some early indications that a similar bout of speculative fervor is bubbling up once more.

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POET Technologies surges above $10 for first time in 4 years amid explosion in call volumes

POET Technologies is up nearly 40% this week as options market activity goes haywire in a faint echo of what got the stock on retail traders’ radars in October.

As of 11:12 a.m. ET, more than 10 calls have changed hands for every put traded. This bullish impulse has propelled the stock above the $10 threshold for the first time since March 2022.

Shares of the optical communications firm briefly dipped last week after Wolfpack Research said it was short the company because its investors would be exposed to an “IRS tax nightmare.”

The company responded that day saying it was taking measures for US shareholders that “should mitigate certain potential adverse US federal income tax consequences to it that could otherwise result from the Company’s status as a passive foreign investment company.”

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