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Bitcoin ATM at the Arturo Soria Plaza Shopping Centre on December 8, 2025, in Madrid, Spain (Cristina Arias/Getty Images)

Figure Technology sinks after mixed Q4 results

These Q4 figures were slightly below the midpoints of the preliminary results released earlier this month.

Luke Kawa

Figure Technology Solutions released Q4 results after the close on Thursday that weren’t much of a surprise, despite a key executive flagging the event as a potential major catalyst for the company.

Shares slumped 6% in trading early Friday.

The Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue: $159.9 million (estimate: $156.2 million)

  • Adjusted EBITDA: $81.3 million (estimate: $81.5 million)

On Sunday, the cofounder tweeted this ahead of earnings, seemingly implying that these numbers might kick off a short squeeze (while also saying he was not trying to cause such an event):

The firm already released preliminary ranges for these results on February 13 as management announced a non-dilutive secondary offering of blockchain-native shares, which were ultimately priced at a substantial discount and received heavy interest.

The actual Q4 figures turned out to be modestly below the midpoints of the ranges provided.

In the wake of this release, Needham analyst Kyle Peterson cut his price target on the stock to $55 from $71, while Keefe Bruyette analyst Ryan Tomasello also trimmed his to $55 from $62.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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