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Five Below pops after Wall Street gives the discount retailer another green light

Five Below shares climbed over 4% Tuesday afternoon after Loop Capital bumped its rating on the stock from “hold” to “buy” and lifted its price target to $165 from $130 — about a 20% leap from current trading levels. It marks Loop Capital’s second upgrade for the chain this summer, after lifting its price target to $130 from $90 in June.

The upgrade comes on the heels of Five Below’s strong Q1 results in June as well as a fresh partnership with Uber Eats. Analysts at Loop Capital cited sharper merchandising, refreshed marketing, tighter inventory control, and pricing changes as core drivers, even as the broader retail space stays choppy.

It’s the latest sign of growing optimism around the retailer: UBS reiterated its “buy” rating on the stock in June and also lifted its price target to $160 from $110. In April, JPMorgan upgraded its outlook on the stock from “underweight” to “neutral.”

Five Below shares are up over 38% year to date.

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Chip stocks post record outperformance of software companies in never-before-seen divergence

One session in 2026 brings one thing we’ve never seen before in markets: a massive divergence between the two big parts of the technology sector.

The VanEck Semiconductor ETF absolutely trounced the iShares Expanded Tech Software ETF today, with the former gaining 3.7% leaving while the latter dropped 2.9%.

The 6.6-percentage point gap is the biggest outperformance for SMH versus IGV on record, going back to December 2011.

Since these two are both parts of a broader technology whole, it’s rare to have one up a ton while the other gets shellacked. The rolling one-year correlation of daily returns for these two ETFs was about 0.8 heading into today.

There have been only three sessions (including today) where the chip stock ETF was up at least 1.5% while the software ETF was down 1.5% or more. We’ve never seen SMH gain 2% while IGV fell 2% before Friday’s session. And there’s been only one session where the reverse happened (November 11, 2024).

The opening trading day of 2026 was phenomenal for the AI picks and shovels trade, while very poor for their more downstream peers.

How and why did this happen? Who knows really, but this looks like the kind of thing where a couple major funds decide to keep their total AI exposure stable but lean into a hardware-over-software tilt when adjusting their positioning at the start of the year, which kicks off intraday momentum that forces everyone else along for the ride.

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AI downstream stocks tumble even as their picks and shovels peers soar

While the AI picks and shovels stocks are enjoying a strong start to 2026, the same can’t be said for the companies more downstream in this theme — even most of the hyperscalers.

The S&P 500’s biggest losers today include:

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