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Game Stop Shares Rise On Large Stock Sale By The Company
Merchandise lines the shelves of a GameStop store in Miami, Florida (Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

GameStop is on the verge of selling more collectibles than video games

Collectibles’ share of segment revenues have more than doubled in the past six years.

Luke Kawa

GameStop. CollectiblesStart.

The brick-and-mortar retailer’s recent impressive financial results — which featured much higher earnings per share than analysts were anticipating, its largest quarterly operating profit since 2017, and the decision to allow bitcoin on its balance sheet — also offer some perspective on how the company is evolving in the face of secular pressures on its legacy gaming business.

GameStop breaks out three major segments for its sales: 

  • Hardware (consoles and accessories)

  • Software (games, downloadable content, in-game currency)

  • Collectibles (Funko Pops, “Pokémon” cards, and the like)

With revenues of $270 million (versus estimates of $216 million), collectibles were the only segment to exceed analysts’ expectations, and did so handily. That’s the third consecutive quarter where collectibles revenues sequentially increased and surprised to the upside. Software sales, meanwhile, haven’t beaten estimates since Q4 2022.

In short, GameStop is on the verge of generating more money from collectibles than video games. Collectibles’ share of segment revenues has more than doubled from 8.8% in the 2018 holiday quarter to 21% as of its most recent reporting period, where they were less than $16 million away from surpassing software revenues.

The less good news is that revenues in every single one of these segments are falling year on year — including collectibles. With GameStop’s shrinking footprint, having reduced its store count by nearly 60% since the end of 2017 and by roughly one-quarter over the past year, it’s tough for the top-line results to inflect higher.

As such, until we see GameStop post more consistent operating profits — or have bumper holiday earnings enough to offset losses in other quarters — this is still painting the picture of a challenged brick-and-mortar retailer. The biggest decision that will drive fluctuations in the bottom line over the near term is not one that has anything to do with video games or collectibles: how much bitcoin will management accumulate, and what will the price of that asset do?

Now, we could discuss what kind of valuation should apply to a company that finds itself in such a situation, but I’d rather go search for a PSA 9 or above 1st Edition Zapdos…

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What to look for in Oracle’s Q3 earnings

On Tuesday, Oracle will announce its third-quarter earnings, and all eyes are on the company’s massive AI data center build-out. Last month, the company told investors that it plans to raise $45 billion to $50 billion to fund its ambitious capex plans.

With so much new spending, the company is reportedly looking to make steep job cuts —  thousands of positions across the company — and may be freezing hiring in its cloud division.

Shares of Oracle are down by more than 20% since the start of the year. The stock is down about 56% from its 52-week high of $345.72.

The company’s big bet on AI is causing some concerns among investors, and Oracle has recently seen a wave of lowered price targets from analysts:

  • Jefferies: to $320 from $400.

  • Scotiabank: to $215 from $220.

  • Deutsche Bank: to $300 from $375.

  • Baird: to $200 from $300.

On Friday, shares dropped sharply on reports that OpenAI had pulled out of a planned expansion of the Stargate data center in Abilene, Texas. But OpenAI has since clarified that the decision to back out of plans for the expansion was just the result of shifting capacity to other data center sites under construction.

The company will announce its earnings after market close on Tuesday.

FactSet’s survey of analysts shows they expect earnings per share of $1.70 and revenue of $16.9 billion for Oracle’s third quarter. Cloud revenue is expected to be $8.76 billion, and all eyes will be on Oracle’s capex, which is expected to be $14 billion.

Joby, Archer, and Beta climb following their inclusion in the Trump administration’s air taxi pilot program

Shares of air taxi makers Joby Aviation, Archer Aviation, and Beta Technologies are climbing in Monday afternoon trading following the Department of Transportation’s announcement of their inclusion in the eVTOL Integration Pilot Program.

Archer and Joby, which announced their plans to participate in the program back in September, each climbed more than 4% on Monday, while Beta surged more than 12%. Boeing’s air taxi subsidiary, Wisk, was also named in the DOT’s announcement.

The DOT and FAA selected eight projects spanning 26 states to speed up the development of “advanced air mobility.” Operations will begin this summer. According to an Archer press release, the program could mark “a major step toward bringing electric air taxis to market in the United States.”

“These partnerships will help us better understand how to safely and efficiently integrate these aircraft into the National Airspace System,” FAA Deputy Administrator Chris Rocheleau said. “The program will provide valuable operational experience that will inform the standards needed to enable safe Advanced Air Mobility operations.”

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As the S&P 500 announces new members, index investors could get exposure to SpaceX

Here’s something kind of strange.

If all goes as planned, investors in the most basic kind of investment available — your plain-vanilla, low-cost S&P 500 Index fund, such as SPDR S&P 500 ETF — will soon get a form of pre-IPO exposure to Elon Musk’s SpaceX, one of most sought-after stakes in the private markets.

That’s because one of the new companies that will be added to the S&P 500 (via additions announced on Friday) is EchoStar, the indebted satellite services company that owns Dish Network.

EchoStar — which along with Vertiv Holdings, Lumentum, and Coherent will go into the index on March 23 — is also set to become a not insignificant owner of class A common stock in SpaceX.

SpaceX is said to be targeting an over $1 trillion valuation for an IPO this June. EchoStar has struck deals for shares that would give it a roughly 2.8% stake in SpaceX, analysts say.

SpaceX sold that stake to pay EchoStar for part of the roughly $20 billion cost of prized spectrum assets. The company first struck a spectrum deal with SpaceX in September, before it expanded in November. Investors have since seemed to view the company as a way to gain backdoor exposure to Musk’s hot, privately held space company.

That excitement continues, but it should be noted that even though EchoStar struck a deal for SpaceX shares, company officials say that stock is not yet in its coffers and it won’t be until its SpaceX deals close.

Speaking to analysts after the company’s earnings call on March 2, EchoStar CEO Hamid Akhavan said:

“Until the closing, we dont have actually the — that SpaceXs equity. So that is not something that we can make any plans on till we actually get the equity. We have a right to it, but we dont have the — we actually dont have that equity yet. So well see how that plays out.”

No closing date was offered when the initial deal with SpaceX was announced in September, with EchoStar releases saying only the “closing of the proposed transaction will occur after all required regulatory approvals are received and other closing conditions are satisfied.”

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