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Palantir Q2 Earnings Numbers
Palantir CEO Alex Karp (Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/Getty Images)

GameStop short seller targets Palantir

“There’s never been a company that has that type of multiple or that type of P/E that’s not corrected 50%,” Citron Research’s Andrew Left said.

Short seller Andrew Left, of Citron Research, spotlighted Palantir’s seemingly absurd valuation in a television appearance Wednesday, suggesting that the retail momentum favorite — the best-performing stock in the S&P 500 this year — could be set up for a serious stumble.

“If this was the greatest company that was ever created and we gave it the same multiples as, let’s say, Nvidia in 2023, the stock still can get cut by two-thirds,” Left said during an appearance on Fox Business, adding that he is shorting the defense data and AI software company as part of a diversified portfolio.

Left is perhaps best known for being one of the short sellers whose bets against GameStop made him a handy foil for individual traders who rallied around the video game retailer’s shares back in 2021.

His issue with Palantir largely comes down to the company’s market valuation, which we — and many others — have previously spotlighted as downright absurd, dwarfing even the most optimistic valuations ever placed on tech giants, even those that actually became some of the greatest money machines in the history of capitalism.

But Palantir’s market multiples have only seemed to get more absurd, especially after it delivered a great Q2 earnings report earlier this month that received rave reviews from analysts.

Left acknowledged that valuation is a terrible tool for marking a turn in market prices, especially for a stock with this much retail participation and momentum behind it.

When asked why he thought he was right about shorting the stock, he admitted, “I’m probably not,” adding, “I mean, it could go higher. It’s part of being a short seller.”

Given the dynamics of stocks with heavy retail participation, where the online rallying cry of “squeeze the shorts” can generate a share and options buying binge that could inflict losses on a short, it does seem a bit strange for a short seller to be such an outspoken critic of such a popular company.

For the record, it might be worth taking some of Left’s public statements with a grain of salt.

In July 2024, he was indicted on multiple counts of securities fraud related to what federal prosecutors called a long-running “market manipulation scheme.” According to the indictment, “While Left made false representations to the public to bolster his credibility, behind the scenes, Left allegedly took contrary trading positions to reap quick profits off the stocks he either promoted or pilloried.”

Last month, Left’s legal request to dismiss the investigation — which argued he was the victim of selective prosecution by a government that sought to suppress his free speech rights — was denied.

That being said, the short seller also has some impressive career wins, including a short report on once-upon-a-time pharma juggernaut Valeant Pharmaceuticals that was followed by the shares losing over 90% of their value and the company ultimately changing its name.

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Roblox falls as options market turns against the company following a report about slowing growth

Roblox fell more than 5% on Friday morning as bearish options market bets against the company outweighed bullish ones by about three to one in early trading.

This would mark the most bearish tilt for its put/call ratio since 2022, and is fueling the largest intraday drop for the stock since August, when the company was rocked by child safety lawsuits.

Put options with a strike price of $130 that expire today have the most open interest and highest daily volume. They’ve swung from being out of the money to well in the money based on the price action so far on Friday.

Investors appear to be less optimistic about the gaming platform following an M Science report from analyst Corey Barrett that asserts that US bookings growth has “decelerated sharply” recently, slowing to the low 30% range down from the mid- to high 50% range in July.

markets

GameStop falls after securities filing that allows for potential shareholder dilution

GameStop is lower in early trading after filing paperwork that lays the foundation for the video game and collectibles retailer to raise money “from time to time” through the sale of stock, debt, and related securities.

Importantly, this filing does not include a specific intention to issue stock and dilute shareholders imminently, but merely provides management with the ability to do so at their discretion. The potential for future dilution may be front of mind for investors this morning, however, given the shares' dip.

The filing says that unless stated differently in a specific fundraising endeavor, management plans to use any proceeds that may be received in the future “for general corporate purposes, including making investments in a manner consistent with our investment policy and potential acquisitions. If we decide to use the net proceeds from a particular offering of securities for a specific purpose, we will describe that in the related prospectus supplement.”

Given GameStop’s history, which has been punctuated by a some huge spikes during which the company has been able to successfully raise money, it would be irresponsible to not have a standing shelf registration that lets management raise capital during periods of unbridled enthusiasm.

markets

An internal Army memo reportedly says Anduril and Palantir’s battlefield communication system has deep flaws

The new NGC2 platform, the Army’s next-gen battlefield communications network built by Anduril Industries, Palantir, and others, is full of “fundamental security” problems and should be considered “very high risk,” per an Army memo cited by Reuters.

Anduril and Palantir have both secured Pentagon contracts in recent months, with the former having promised faster, cheaper, and more advanced solutions than traditional defense suppliers. In July, Anduril won a $100 million contract to build a prototype of NGC2 alongside Palantir and several smaller contractors.

However, in an internal memo, the Army’s CTO warned the prototype version could allow adversaries to gain “persistent undetectable access,” with the memo explaining, “We cannot control who sees what, we cannot see what users are doing, and we cannot verify that the software itself is secure.”

Still, the Army’s chief information officer, Leonel Garciga, told Reuters that the memo was part of a process to “triage” vulnerabilities and address them.

markets

Applied Materials slumps after forecasting $600 million fiscal 2026 revenue hit from export curbs

Applied Materials is down 3% in early trading after the semiconductor machinery maker said revenues could take a $600 million hit in the next fiscal year, on the back of widening chip export restrictions.

Per the company’s regulatory filling, net revenue for the fourth quarter of 2025 will take a $110 million dent, while annual sales next year would be reduced by “approximately $600 million.” Applied Material’s fiscal 2026 runs through next October.

In a move to restrict the development of China’s domestic chip industry, the Commerce Department started to prevent sanctioned companies from using affiliates to access restricted US goods. On Monday, the blacklist was widened to include majority-owned subsidiaries of listed companies.

“We doubt AMAT will be the only US semicap player impacted here,” Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon cautioned, while noting that other players in the industry have not offered any commentary on this subject.

China is the top market for Applied Materials and others in the wafer fab equipment industry.

In its most recent quarter, 35% of AMAT’s net revenues were generated by sales to China. For peers Lam Research and KLA Corp, those shares stood at 34% and 33%, respectively, for the year ending in June.

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