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GE Vernova a Wall Street darling posts earnings
A GE Vernova gas turbine (China News Service/Getty Images)

GE Vernova jumps after Q2 earnings beat, as CEO hails firm’s role in the AI capex supercycle

Its nearly 240% gain over the last year is a supercharged part of the AI data center trade.

Matt Phillips

GE Vernova jumped in premarket trading Wednesday after the energy equipment giant posted better-than-expected Q2 results.

The supplier of gas turbines to the energy sector — one of three companies formed when General Electric completed its split-up last year — reported earnings per share of $1.86 compared to consensus expectations of $1.67, per analysts polled by Bloomberg. Sales also overachieved at $9.1 billion compared to forecasts for $8.8 billion.

Management upped its guidance for adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow for the full year.

“We are at the beginning of an investment supercycle into more reliable baseload power, grid infrastructure, and decarbonization solutions,” CEO Scott Strazik said. “Our near-term results are improving, but more importantly, our long-term potential is accelerating faster.”

It’s likely that some had even higher hopes, as the stock’s remarkable rise of roughly 240% in the 12 months that ended Tuesday has pushed its price-to-forward-earnings ratio to a multiple of more than 57x.

A few years back, it would have been difficult to imagine market sentiment toward this aging industrial giant — its roots go back to the old GE’s Power Systems division — would be so ebullient. (As an industrial conglomerate, GE sported an average forward P/E of less than 15x for most of the decade before the company was split up.)

But GE Vernova is clearly catching a bid from its proximity to the superhot AI power trade, capitalizing on the scramble to provide juice for the investment boom in the data centers that could provide computing power for the artificial intelligence revolution. Similar dynamics have also driven up Vistra (up 150% over the last 12 months), NRG (up 109%) and Constellation Energy (up 70%).

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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