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People passing by a betting office advertising board (Artur Widak/Getty Images)
They’re the same picture

Gen Z trades stocks the same way it gambles

Young people have high risk tolerance. More news at 11.

Luke Kawa

A friend passed along a recent blog post from Drive by DraftKings, a venture capital firm whose founding partners include (wait for it) DraftKings, titled, “The Gen Z Effect: The Behavioral Shift Shaping Gaming, Fandom, and Human Performance.”

Here’s a passage that piqued my interest (emphasis added)

“Gen Z’s approach to gaming is clear. They gravitate toward formats that are fast, emotionally charged, and offer the chance at a meaningful payoff. Traditional, slow-paced gameplay is losing ground to experiences that deliver instant feedback and the possibility of an outsized win.

This is why crash games, meme stocks, and parlay bets have gained so much traction with this generation. These formats share a common formula: low-cost entry, high potential upside, and just enough unpredictability to keep things exciting. A recent Morgan Stanley survey found that 60% of bettors aged 21 to 34 have placed parlays, a rate nearly 30% higher than the overall population. Similarly, around 30% of US stock investors aged 18 to 24 have invested in meme stocks compared to 12% of investors ages 45-54.

It’s not just the payout that attracts Gen Z. It’s the emotional volatility, the rush of possibility, and the shareable nature of “just-missed” or jackpot moments. The appeal is simple: put down a small amount, take a swing, and hope to hit it big. Most of these bets won’t pay off, but the ones that do tend to go viral. Social media elevates these wins, creating a sense of FOMO that draws others in. It becomes a feedback loop of visibility, aspiration, and repeat behavior, which keeps Gen Z highly engaged and emotionally invested in the experience.”

To riff on this conception of a “common formula” between parlays and meme stock punts, which often take place through the options market to access embedded leverage:

Both parlays and short-term options punts are examples of things where you need multiple things to go right to win. In parlays, it’s discrete (usually sports-related) outcomes; in options, you need to get the direction and magnitude right by a certain point in time.

samepic

This is why I love the use of options as a storytelling device: they are always and everywhere a greed, fear, or complacency play built around a specific date by which something needs to either happen or not happen. There’s a subject, verb, and time.

“I think one thing that’s very clear about Gen Z is that they’ve repeatedly been told nobody is coming to save you,” Emily Sundberg, author of the Feed Me Substack, said at a live taping of Bloomberg’s Odd Lots podcast. “You hear this sense of ‘get the bag while the world is still here for you to make some money out of it.’”

Kind of ironic that the generation that thinks nothing in the world is going right for them seeks out betting and trading structures that require multiple things to go right to profit.

Is this really a Gen Z thing, though?

One can quibble about some of this line of thought. And I will. The 2021 meme stock boom was occurring when the average member of Gen Z was just in their early high school years. I doubt many of them were part of the Apes Together Strong crew.  

The “YOLO” catchphrase that serves as a shorthand for the kind of “eff it, we ball” approach to life was popularized by a somewhat seasoned millennial.

And to dodge any accusations of millennial-boosting, manias have existed well before we were a twinkle in our boomer parents’ eyes and will continue to persist long after we’re ashes. To this author, a person’s willingness to dive headfirst into booms is much more defined by their stage of life rather than the generation they belong to. Oh, to be young…

Gen Z likes structures with huge payoffs that often end in busts? How convenient for the VC firm, which concludes that the shifts in Gen Z behavior “reinforce why we focus where we do — on the edge of behavioral change, where category defining companies are born,” highlighting portfolio companies Triumph and Picklebet as great examples of firms whose products have been built for this generation.

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IBM surges after Barclays initiates with a buy, video of Trump in 2025 saying stock will “go up a lot more” resurfaces

IBM shares are jumping in early trading because of both old and new praise. The old: a video featuring President Donald Trump complimenting the companys CEO, Arvind Krishna, was reshared by Polymarket Money’s X account, but without the context of it being from December. The new: Barclays initiated coverage of IBM at “overweight” with a $350 price target.

Barclays analyst Raimo Lenschow urged investors to stop looking at IBM through the lens of legacy hardware in a Monday note. Instead, he said to focus on the sheer defensive dominance of IBMs highly specialized software segment, which currently generates nearly half of the corporation’s overall revenue and the vast majority of its net profit.

“While software has a negative investor connotation at the moment, IBM is offering infrastructure software (the good part) to large, often heavily regulated customers, which creates a very sticky set-up that should not see negative AI implications,” Lenschow noted.

Compounding the institutional buying enthusiasm is a wave of retail momentum triggered by social media posts, as traders on X and TikTok began widely sharing a video clip from 2025 where Trump explicitly praises the technology company, confidently stating that IBM stock is going to “go up a lot more.”

IBM’s move builds on momentum from last week following its commitment to spend $10 billion in quantum computing over the next five years to build the first large-scale quantum computer. This comes after the Trump administration signed a number of letters of intent to award a total of $2 billion in grants to nine quantum companies, including IBM, in deals that also include equity stakes.

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MGM Resorts surges after report Barry Diller is planning a bid for the company

MGM Resorts is up more than 11% in premarket trading Monday following a report that the casino giant is the target of an acquisition by billionaire Barry Diller’s People Inc. (IAC).

The deal would value MGM at $18 billion, according to The New York Times.

People Inc. already holds more than a quarter of MGM and two board seats. (Diller holds one of them.)

The news comes just days after MGM rival Caesars Entertainment reached an agreement to be acquired by billionaire Tilman Fertitta’s company for $5.7 billion.

People Inc. already holds more than a quarter of MGM and two board seats. (Diller holds one of them.)

The news comes just days after MGM rival Caesars Entertainment reached an agreement to be acquired by billionaire Tilman Fertitta’s company for $5.7 billion.

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Nvidia jumps after entering laptop market with new PC “superchip”

Nvidia shares are rising after the company announced its push into the PC processor market, unveiling the company’s highly anticipated RTX Spark “superchip,” a new processor designed to bring advanced AI capabilities directly to Windows laptops.

There is no question this reinvention of the computer is as big of a deal as the reinvention of the phone into what we now know as the smartphone, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said at the Computex trade show in Taipei.

Nvidia said the company is reimagining the PC “for the first time in 40 years” and the new platform is built for agentic AI, allowing AI models and assistants to run locally on laptops rather than relying entirely on cloud computing. Microsoft simultaneously unveiled its Surface Laptop Ultra powered by RTX Spark, while Dell, HP, and Lenovo are expected to launch systems based on the chip later this year.

RTX Spark combines an Arm-based CPU, Nvidias Blackwell graphics architecture, and dedicated AI hardware into a single chip designed for AI-heavy workloads.

This move put the company into more direct competition with Intel, AMD, Qualcomm, and Apple in the personal computing industry. Shares of Intel, Qualcomm, and AMD are all sinking right now after the Nvidia announcement. The move also positions the RTX Spark on a collision course with the M5 from Apple, which is also trading lower. Meanwhile, Arm Holdings, on whose architecture RTX Spark is built, surging in premarket trading along with Microsoft and HP Enterprise.

For investors, the announcement serves as another reminder that the AI trade is increasingly expanding beyond data centers and into consumer hardware.

Chinese EV makers’ sales mostly rebound in May, with Nio deliveries surging 62%

Several Chinese EV makers saw deliveries rebound in May, with Nio logging its best month of 2026.

Nio delivered 37,705 vehicles in May, up more than 28% from April and more than 62% from the same month last year. It launched its Onvo L80 electric SUV on May 15 and its ES9 SUV last week. Its US-listed ADRs were up about 3% in premarket trading on Monday.

XPeng ADRs climbed more than 4% premarket as it reported 3.7% month-over-month delivery growth from April. Its deliveries are expected to grow in June as it ramps up production of a new SUV.

BYD logged a 19% month-over-month sales hike from April. The company is rapidly boosting its overseas business to make up for flailing domestic sales, and that was reflected in its sales figures: overseas sales grew 80% from last year, while domestic sales fell 24%. Its ADRs were flat in premarket trading.

Li Auto dipped in premarket trading — its May sales were down 18% from last year and about 2% from April.

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